Ultimate-Bondsman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.5%

Resolved

Trades

278

lifetime

Volume

$4.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 05-11 03:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 79% +$3

Politics

2% 100% +$0

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	3	$150	193	0	+193	Up	+$43	05-07 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$142	93	93	+0	Down	+$42	05-06 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$118	68	68	+0	Down	+$18	05-06 21:50
btc updown 5m 1776898500	2	$112	106	102	+4	open	—	04-22 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$111	62	62	+0	Down	+$11	05-06 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	3	$110	143	0	+143	Up	+$33	05-07 01:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$107	57	57	+0	Down	+$7	05-06 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$106	56	56	+0	Up	+$6	05-09 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$103	53	53	+0	Down	+$3	05-06 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$102	53	53	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$100	128	0	+128	Up	+$28	05-11 03:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$100	106	0	+106	Up	+$6	05-06 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$100	110	0	+110	Down	+$10	05-06 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1PM ET	2	$80	62	62	+0	open	—	04-28 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	4	$79	62	59	+3	open	—	04-28 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	5	$63	44	44	+0	open	—	05-02 04:01
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 6pm et	2	$60	32	32	+0	open	—	04-23 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$60	65	0	+65	Down	+$5	05-06 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$60	67	0	+67	Up	+$7	05-06 19:52
btc updown 4h 1776816000	4	$59	62	6	+56	open	—	04-22 02:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	1	$55	60	0	+60	open	—	04-26 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$50	74	0	+74	Up	$-50	05-07 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$50	67	0	+67	Down	+$17	05-07 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$50	54	0	+54	Down	+$4	05-06 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$50	85	0	+85	Down	+$35	05-07 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$50	70	0	+70	Down	$-50	05-07 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$50	75	0	+75	Down	$-50	05-07 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$50	61	0	+61	Up	$-50	05-07 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$50	60	0	+60	Up	$-50	05-11 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$50	59	0	+59	Up	+$9	05-06 23:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 03:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xf96f7f…
05-11 03:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x3cada5…
05-11 03:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x23d211…
05-10 14:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x96d231…
05-09 13:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0x806ebb…
05-09 13:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x6c3013…
05-07 04:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xfca198…
05-07 03:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xd1eab3…
05-07 02:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x3169e6…
05-07 02:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x2c9890…
05-07 01:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x9d8c69…
05-07 01:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x72194b…
05-07 01:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x6d2888…
05-07 01:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x259376…
05-07 01:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	74	67¢	$50	0x6a2351…
05-07 01:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	75	66¢	$50	0x0bbdbd…
05-07 01:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xf52f6a…
05-07 01:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x8534ac…
05-07 01:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x967f50…
05-07 01:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x243d02…
05-07 01:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	70	72¢	$50	0x2ccd6c…
05-07 01:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xc6ca37…
05-07 01:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x755d03…
05-07 00:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x7d22b1…
05-07 00:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x1e7ec6…
05-07 00:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xdb27f5…
05-07 00:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xcf69cc…
05-07 00:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x8b9c5c…
05-07 00:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x5e78ae…
05-07 00:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x066c5e…
05-07 00:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x265b1a…
05-07 00:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x41ffc5…
05-07 00:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa80c50…
05-07 00:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xbf532b…
05-07 00:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x07a100…
05-07 00:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x7a00a6…
05-07 00:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x114cd9…
05-07 00:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x9568f8…
05-07 00:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf80e56…
05-07 00:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xff04a0…
05-07 00:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x19690f…
05-07 00:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x520485…
05-07 00:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xe0e1ab…
05-07 00:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0x1001fd…
05-06 23:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x5086f5…
05-06 23:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x58c7fd…
05-06 23:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x95f5f0…
05-06 23:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xbb5951…
05-06 23:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x45f261…
05-06 23:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xfee79a…
05-06 23:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x1b537a…
05-06 23:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xbd5d17…
05-06 23:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd71273…
05-06 23:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x945273…
05-06 23:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x180c14…
05-06 23:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xa6bed1…
05-06 23:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x349403…
05-06 23:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x51da77…
05-06 23:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xb37916…
05-06 22:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x3a3454…
05-06 22:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x4c7144…
05-06 22:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xf332de…
05-06 22:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x629869…
05-06 22:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0x7e132a…
05-06 22:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x2aa319…
05-06 22:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x3e9060…
05-06 22:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xcb9875…
05-06 22:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	62	99¢	$61	0xbe187d…
05-06 22:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x439350…
05-06 22:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x902cb1…
05-06 22:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x35c455…
05-06 22:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0xe1c604…
05-06 21:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xc422d1…
05-06 21:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	68	99¢	$68	0x72bc92…
05-06 21:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x2ca219…
05-06 21:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xdb291e…
05-06 21:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0x0fb2b3…
05-06 20:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x19841e…
05-06 20:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	93	99¢	$92	0xda2619…
05-06 20:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x095111…
05-06 20:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x86c2d2…
05-06 20:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xc94ac4…
05-06 19:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	62	89¢	$55	0xc577ba…
05-06 19:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xdccb4a…
05-06 17:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x4b108a…
05-06 17:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x49f67b…
05-06 17:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x12fecb…
05-06 17:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x141510…
05-06 17:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x74cff8…
05-06 17:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xecc916…
05-06 17:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xc66ced…
05-06 12:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x1c9d97…
05-05 13:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x2a43b4…
05-05 13:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x7ae74f…
05-05 13:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xa5a2ae…
05-05 13:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x43f2b2…
05-05 13:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9884c9…
05-05 12:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x9b9486…
05-05 12:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xa8db3c…
05-02 12:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x051e3f…