Concerned-Transfer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

157

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 07-10 01:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 100% +$3

Other

15% — —

Politics

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 76k on march 22	2	$231	116	116	+0	open	—	03-22 12:16
bitcoin above 68k on march 18	2	$222	112	112	+0	open	—	03-18 05:51
bitcoin above 64k on march 13	2	$215	108	108	+0	open	—	03-13 11:05
bitcoin above 76k on march 9	2	$208	104	104	+0	open	—	03-09 12:22
bitcoin above 64k on march 25	2	$197	99	99	+0	open	—	03-25 05:44
bitcoin above 64k on april 13	2	$197	99	99	+0	open	—	04-13 12:50
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	2	$196	99	99	+0	open	—	02-27 05:51
bitcoin above 66k on april 9	2	$194	97	97	+0	open	—	04-09 07:18
bitcoin above 60k on april 3	2	$191	96	96	+0	open	—	04-03 07:47
bitcoin above 60k on april 1	2	$191	96	96	+0	open	—	04-01 14:24
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	2	$191	96	96	+0	open	—	02-24 06:07
bitcoin above 76k on april 14	2	$190	99	99	+0	open	—	04-14 01:07
bitcoin above 74k on march 31	2	$190	95	95	+0	open	—	03-31 13:22
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	2	$188	95	95	+0	open	—	02-23 04:11
bitcoin above 78k on march 20	2	$187	94	94	+0	open	—	03-20 10:48
bitcoin above 78k on march 27	2	$184	92	92	+0	open	—	03-27 01:39
bitcoin above 66k on march 26	2	$182	92	92	+0	open	—	03-26 03:13
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$179	91	91	+0	open	—	02-21 05:41
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	2	$175	89	89	+0	open	—	02-20 01:43
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	2	$173	87	87	+0	open	—	02-19 01:09
bitcoin above 78k on march 11	2	$171	86	86	+0	open	—	03-11 01:14
bitcoin above 60k on march 10	2	$169	85	85	+0	open	—	03-10 05:50
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	2	$164	83	83	+0	open	—	02-15 01:26
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 16	2	$158	79	79	+0	open	—	03-15 12:36
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	2	$158	82	82	+0	open	—	02-14 01:36
bitcoin above 64k on march 14	2	$140	70	70	+0	open	—	03-14 13:39
highest temperature in nyc on february 5 2026 34forhigher	2	$140	71	71	+0	open	—	02-06 01:52
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 400 419	2	$130	68	68	+0	open	—	02-03 11:55
bitcoin above 64k on march 21	2	$109	55	55	+0	open	—	03-21 05:49
bitcoin above 66k on july 10 2026	1	$105	106	0	+106	open	—	07-10 01:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 01:14:34	bitcoin above 66k on july 10 2026	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x869716…
07-08 15:50:46	bitcoin above 66k on july 9 2026	No	BUY	105	100¢	$104	0x3f1c82…
07-07 01:34:10	bitcoin above 68k on july 7 2026	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xbe7830…
07-04 14:50:49	bitcoin above 56k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x87eaee…
07-02 12:28:11	bitcoin above 58k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x0432aa…
06-29 03:37:35	bitcoin above 54k on june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbfd649…
06-28 15:47:59	bitcoin above 66k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x548b76…
06-27 07:54:35	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x48c812…
06-27 07:54:11	bitcoin above 58k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0x6b0ed4…
06-26 14:11:55	bitcoin above 54k on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x4babba…
06-25 03:11:31	bitcoin above 54k on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x4eeecc…
06-25 03:10:58	bitcoin above 56k on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xf27183…
06-24 08:29:53	bitcoin above 58k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xd8dc18…
06-22 09:39:35	bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xa88255…
06-18 08:25:16	bitcoin above 60k on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x2a526a…
06-16 13:53:19	bitcoin above 68k on june 16 2026	No	BUY	102	100¢	$101	0xff3250…
06-14 11:51:13	bitcoin above 66k on june 14 2026	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x526190…
06-10 15:24:00	bitcoin above 56k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x67119d…
06-08 15:32:00	bitcoin above 56k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4a6dce…
06-01 14:49:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x00a352…
05-31 12:09:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x16445c…
05-29 13:36:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x546bd1…
05-27 14:10:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xcff9b3…
05-25 15:14:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0xef6acf…
05-23 05:49:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xa77177…
05-21 12:48:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x261038…
05-20 01:28:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xea22ee…
05-17 05:11:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x240a5f…
05-17 05:11:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x105106…
05-16 03:08:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0xc5a9f9…
05-14 01:57:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x509530…
05-10 15:34:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x0a0e63…
05-08 14:35:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0xe89595…
05-06 13:59:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x5bdc59…
05-05 09:46:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0x7674ee…
04-29 15:00:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	93	100¢	$92	0x893012…
04-26 02:02:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0xfaa628…
04-23 11:04:40	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	92	98¢	$91	0xeabb8d…
04-16 12:56:28	bitcoin above 70k on april 17	Yes	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x7a5075…
04-14 01:07:01	bitcoin above 76k on april 14	No	SELL	99	91¢	$90	0x71f049…
04-13 12:50:55	bitcoin above 76k on april 14	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xcdf5f3…
04-13 12:50:15	bitcoin above 64k on april 13	Yes	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x97864c…
04-12 04:20:51	bitcoin above 64k on april 13	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$98	0x6a871f…
04-10 12:32:13	bitcoin above 78k on april 11	No	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0x534b1c…
04-09 07:23:13	bitcoin above 68k on april 9	Yes	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0x25522f…
04-09 07:18:17	bitcoin above 66k on april 9	Yes	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x906cd8…
04-08 14:54:51	bitcoin above 66k on april 9	Yes	BUY	97	99¢	$97	0xc2cdfb…
04-06 09:19:25	bitcoin above 76k on april 7	No	BUY	97	100¢	$96	0xdee7b9…
04-03 07:50:15	bitcoin above 72k on april 4	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xcfd290…
04-03 07:47:27	bitcoin above 60k on april 3	Yes	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0xe946f6…
04-01 14:24:49	bitcoin above 60k on april 3	Yes	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0x71601f…
04-01 14:24:03	bitcoin above 60k on april 1	Yes	SELL	96	100¢	$95	0xabfe67…
03-31 13:22:51	bitcoin above 60k on april 1	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$95	0x32196b…
03-31 13:22:17	bitcoin above 74k on march 31	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0xebc59f…
03-30 06:44:30	bitcoin above 74k on march 31	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x2ccdf9…
03-29 12:10:00	bitcoin above 68k on march 29	No	BUY	94	98¢	$93	0xd9d0db…
03-27 01:39:23	bitcoin above 76k on march 28	No	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0x3726cd…
03-27 01:39:05	bitcoin above 78k on march 27	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0x0907c9…
03-26 08:08:29	highest temperature in seoul on march 26 2026 9c	No	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x4221d2…
03-26 03:16:09	bitcoin above 78k on march 27	No	BUY	92	99¢	$92	0x8884b6…
03-26 03:13:33	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0x4eb100…
03-25 05:46:35	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0x188440…
03-25 05:45:35	highest temperature in seoul on march 26 2026 9c	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x0bef9a…
03-25 05:44:27	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0xb448fd…
03-24 15:40:13	highest temperature in seoul on march 25 2026 11c	No	BUY	21	97¢	$21	0x759640…
03-24 15:35:59	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 400 419	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x20f6fd…
03-24 05:51:07	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0x0aca40…
03-24 05:49:51	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 400 419	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x26b573…
03-22 12:30:53	bitcoin above 70k on march 22	No	BUY	78	98¢	$76	0x5764ee…
03-22 12:29:47	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 165 189	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x3b200d…
03-22 12:16:51	bitcoin above 76k on march 22	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x6aa18b…
03-21 11:24:41	bitcoin above 76k on march 22	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xe89326…
03-21 05:49:17	bitcoin above 64k on march 21	Yes	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x62cd82…
03-20 10:51:43	bitcoin above 64k on march 21	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x8dee8b…
03-20 10:51:09	bitcoin above 68k on march 20	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x1af98a…
03-20 10:49:59	highest temperature in seoul on march 21 2026 7c	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xece8fc…
03-20 10:48:13	bitcoin above 78k on march 20	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0x4435d0…
03-19 03:09:33	bitcoin above 78k on march 20	No	BUY	94	99¢	$93	0x8562ef…
03-19 03:08:45	highest temperature in seoul on march 20 2026 7c	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xdf359b…
03-19 03:07:21	bitcoin above 80k on march 19	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x517060…
03-19 03:07:11	highest temperature in shanghai on march 19 2026 10c	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x103f43…
03-18 05:57:23	bitcoin above 80k on march 19	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x93aaee…
03-18 05:57:15	bitcoin above 70k on march 18	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x83668a…
03-18 05:53:57	highest temperature in shanghai on march 19 2026 10c	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9925ae…
03-18 05:51:45	bitcoin above 68k on march 18	Yes	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0xca3220…
03-17 03:46:19	bitcoin above 68k on march 18	Yes	BUY	112	98¢	$110	0x448365…
03-17 01:18:23	bitcoin above 66k on march 17	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x640895…
03-16 11:37:35	bitcoin above 66k on march 17	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xc3ad43…
03-16 11:35:45	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x0d1699…
03-15 12:38:25	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xec6c4d…
03-15 12:36:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 16	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x8e7f3a…
03-15 12:35:17	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x6baf04…
03-14 13:47:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 16	No	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0x02042f…
03-14 13:43:57	highest temperature in shanghai on march 15 2026 12c	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x477a46…
03-14 13:39:49	bitcoin above 66k on march 14	Yes	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x41626c…
03-14 13:39:41	bitcoin above 64k on march 14	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x810feb…
03-13 11:07:25	bitcoin above 64k on march 14	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x792e54…
03-13 11:07:17	bitcoin above 66k on march 14	Yes	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x895a12…
03-13 11:05:43	bitcoin above 64k on march 13	Yes	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x4b188b…
03-12 14:17:25	bitcoin above 64k on march 13	Yes	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0x15cf58…