Shady-Wiseguy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.8%

Resolved

Trades

746

lifetime

Volume

$5.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 06-29 22:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 65% $-6

Politics

23% 0% $-1

Other

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 163 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	4	$271	155	277	-122	open	—	05-24 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	5	$148	141	104	+38	open	—	05-01 18:29
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$140	111	111	+0	open	—	06-01 17:00
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	5	$125	81	81	+0	open	—	06-04 02:29
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	6	$125	266	113	+153	open	—	05-28 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	4	$114	82	82	+0	open	—	05-01 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	4	$113	71	71	+0	open	—	05-01 09:15
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	9	$105	74	74	+0	open	—	05-14 21:35
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	29	$98	99	99	+0	open	—	06-18 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$97	143	60	+83	open	—	05-01 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	8	$89	65	65	+0	open	—	05-01 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$88	49	49	+0	open	—	05-01 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	6	$86	58	58	+0	open	—	05-01 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	6	$78	50	50	+0	open	—	05-01 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$74	44	44	+0	open	—	05-01 18:15
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	7	$68	80	80	+0	open	—	06-26 22:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	6	$67	43	43	+0	Up	$-2	05-07 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	6	$66	50	50	+0	open	—	05-01 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$62	56	56	+0	open	—	05-01 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	05-01 19:05
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	2	$55	34	34	+0	open	—	06-01 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	4	$52	35	35	+0	Down	+$5	05-07 06:08
codmw faz van 2026 06 06	3	$52	85	19	+66	open	—	06-06 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	6	$51	38	38	+0	open	—	05-04 16:39
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$50	47	47	+0	open	—	05-14 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	6	$50	39	39	+0	Up	$-2	05-07 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$49	28	28	+0	open	—	04-30 20:00
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$45	74	74	+0	open	—	05-15 04:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$43	23	23	+0	open	—	04-30 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	4	$41	25	25	+0	open	—	05-01 08:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 22:13:50	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	Yes	SELL	631	0¢	$1	0x7a475b…
06-28 13:24:13	will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	No	BUY	65	5¢	$3	0x4bc21c…
06-28 13:21:25	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0xb3179c…
06-28 00:23:19	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x11b5cc…
06-27 23:58:52	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0x33aee5…
06-26 23:32:34	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x11f746…
06-26 23:30:43	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	Yes	BUY	381	2¢	$6	0xb88fa0…
06-26 23:28:50	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	Yes	SELL	28	30¢	$8	0x6f4132…
06-26 23:21:34	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x718855…
06-26 23:08:16	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	Yes	SELL	32	14¢	$5	0x3e3f58…
06-26 22:27:35	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3d8047…
06-26 22:27:04	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xcc8382…
06-26 22:23:04	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xe0dd9e…
06-26 22:22:08	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	36	7¢	$2	0x4fdcb3…
06-25 17:31:44	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 28 2026	No	SELL	21	12¢	$3	0xf98d3e…
06-24 23:54:08	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc60f1c…
06-24 23:53:34	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xb19abb…
06-24 23:53:23	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x8865d8…
06-24 20:00:55	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xedbd05…
06-24 16:45:17	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 28 2026	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0cc3c0…
06-24 14:26:01	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 28 2026	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x62b400…
06-23 22:12:55	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	13	25¢	$3	0x19ead5…
06-23 14:11:32	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0xdd7180…
06-22 18:25:43	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x21027d…
06-22 18:24:49	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xbadd8d…
06-22 15:11:19	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x010eb6…
06-22 15:09:16	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xb45aef…
06-22 15:07:16	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x5bf2e0…
06-22 04:57:19	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xdae640…
06-22 04:56:25	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x3ed0cb…
06-21 13:37:25	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x27769d…
06-21 12:51:10	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	98	6¢	$6	0x1fb1cb…
06-21 12:29:26	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x5dc6be…
06-20 17:18:04	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xe7b7d7…
06-19 21:02:37	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0x39c9b6…
06-19 20:10:07	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x9f3d5c…
06-19 20:02:32	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xac724d…
06-19 19:57:17	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0xed21d9…
06-19 19:42:41	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x8524d0…
06-18 20:07:56	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0x235733…
06-18 19:34:01	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x8e1290…
06-18 19:26:13	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xee9f16…
06-18 19:18:53	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x31f1b0…
06-18 19:12:40	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x1ac8a4…
06-18 19:11:05	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x11f3f2…
06-18 19:01:32	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x98f5db…
06-18 19:01:11	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0xd7eb19…
06-18 19:00:10	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xddf9fd…
06-18 18:59:55	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x355371…
06-18 18:58:52	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x54e55c…
06-18 18:58:31	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x578e83…
06-18 18:52:14	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	32	34¢	$11	0xd21948…
06-18 18:35:26	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	17	66¢	$11	0xf4d896…
06-18 18:17:20	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xc07bca…
06-18 18:17:02	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x4ce9f4…
06-18 17:38:23	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xdc7992…
06-18 17:00:49	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0xdb5da3…
06-18 16:18:41	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x21c2e3…
06-18 16:07:49	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x729030…
06-18 15:44:32	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0xf21ae1…
06-18 15:38:26	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x896262…
06-18 15:37:14	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x13c7b6…
06-18 15:32:49	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x89ca58…
06-18 15:31:32	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	76¢	$0	0xd94690…
06-18 15:30:13	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x2100c2…
06-18 15:26:05	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x1910b6…
06-18 15:19:43	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc8ef52…
06-18 15:19:10	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x825149…
06-18 15:18:20	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x0a8a7d…
06-18 15:16:19	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0x2a541a…
06-18 12:23:05	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	SELL	33	29¢	$10	0x1fd49b…
06-18 11:02:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x63fb85…
06-18 01:38:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xaccfb2…
06-17 22:31:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	16	22¢	$4	0x45c0e0…
06-17 19:47:58	will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xd08321…
06-17 19:10:46	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x23c639…
06-17 18:59:47	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0bcfb0…
06-17 16:49:29	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x2514f2…
06-17 16:45:44	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0427b1…
06-17 14:41:14	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xd53e3e…
06-17 14:29:28	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x778689…
06-15 05:34:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xc58323…
06-14 21:30:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	12	72¢	$9	0x831121…
06-14 02:06:21	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	166	4¢	$7	0x88a93e…
06-14 01:20:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	166	3¢	$5	0x345e91…
06-08 11:27:51	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	35	55¢	$19	0xff2a3d…
06-07 23:55:48	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x75f14b…
06-07 00:04:36	btc updown 5m 1780790400	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0698ca…
06-07 00:01:03	will trump say kuwait this week	Yes	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0x22592d…
06-06 23:55:54	btc updown 5m 1780790100	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x970e32…
06-06 23:28:33	codmw faz van 2026 06 06	Vancouver Surge	BUY	66	45¢	$30	0x6f43b4…
06-06 23:26:36	codmw faz van 2026 06 06	FaZe Vegas	SELL	19	36¢	$7	0x0b535c…
06-06 22:42:03	codmw faz van 2026 06 06	FaZe Vegas	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x785b9a…
06-06 21:53:48	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06 game2	OpTic Texas	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x3a9e60…
06-06 21:47:55	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06 game2	OpTic Texas	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x257b9c…
06-06 04:32:13	btc updown 5m 1780720200	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa2a9e5…
06-04 22:21:40	will trump say nuclear 3 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201997	Yes	BUY	29	63¢	$18	0x7c6a76…
06-04 02:29:04	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	SELL	43	85¢	$36	0xdece13…
06-04 02:19:37	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	43	82¢	$35	0xf132ec…
06-04 00:48:40	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	SELL	38	81¢	$31	0x7b465d…