Shady-Wiseguy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.8%

Resolved

Trades

661

lifetime

Volume

$5.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 06-08 11:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 65% $-6

Politics

19% 0% $-1

Other

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 163 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	4	$271	155	277	-122	open	—	05-24 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	5	$148	141	104	+38	open	—	05-01 18:29
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$140	111	111	+0	open	—	06-01 17:00
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	5	$125	81	81	+0	open	—	06-04 02:29
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	6	$125	266	113	+153	open	—	05-28 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	4	$114	82	82	+0	open	—	05-01 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	4	$113	71	71	+0	open	—	05-01 09:15
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	9	$105	74	74	+0	open	—	05-14 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$97	143	60	+83	open	—	05-01 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	8	$89	65	65	+0	open	—	05-01 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$88	49	49	+0	open	—	05-01 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	6	$86	58	58	+0	open	—	05-01 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	6	$78	50	50	+0	open	—	05-01 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$74	44	44	+0	open	—	05-01 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	6	$67	43	43	+0	Up	$-2	05-07 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	6	$66	50	50	+0	open	—	05-01 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$62	56	56	+0	open	—	05-01 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	05-01 19:05
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	2	$55	34	34	+0	open	—	06-01 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	4	$52	35	35	+0	Down	+$5	05-07 06:08
codmw faz van 2026 06 06	3	$52	85	19	+66	open	—	06-06 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	6	$51	38	38	+0	open	—	05-04 16:39
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$50	47	47	+0	open	—	05-14 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	6	$50	39	39	+0	Up	$-2	05-07 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$49	28	28	+0	open	—	04-30 20:00
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$45	74	74	+0	open	—	05-15 04:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$43	23	23	+0	open	—	04-30 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	4	$41	25	25	+0	open	—	05-01 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	6	$35	34	34	+0	open	—	05-01 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	6	$35	38	38	+0	open	—	05-24 21:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 11:27:51	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	35	55¢	$19	0xff2a3d…
06-07 23:55:48	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x75f14b…
06-07 00:04:36	btc updown 5m 1780790400	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0698ca…
06-07 00:01:03	will trump say kuwait this week	Yes	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0x22592d…
06-06 23:55:54	btc updown 5m 1780790100	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x970e32…
06-06 23:28:33	codmw faz van 2026 06 06	Vancouver Surge	BUY	66	45¢	$30	0x6f43b4…
06-06 23:26:36	codmw faz van 2026 06 06	FaZe Vegas	SELL	19	36¢	$7	0x0b535c…
06-06 22:42:03	codmw faz van 2026 06 06	FaZe Vegas	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x785b9a…
06-06 21:53:48	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06 game2	OpTic Texas	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x3a9e60…
06-06 21:47:55	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06 game2	OpTic Texas	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x257b9c…
06-06 04:32:13	btc updown 5m 1780720200	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa2a9e5…
06-04 22:21:40	will trump say nuclear 3 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201997	Yes	BUY	29	63¢	$18	0x7c6a76…
06-04 02:29:04	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	SELL	43	85¢	$36	0xdece13…
06-04 02:19:37	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	43	82¢	$35	0xf132ec…
06-04 00:48:40	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	SELL	38	81¢	$31	0x7b465d…
06-03 23:32:49	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xd5d83a…
06-03 23:25:33	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xea133b…
06-02 23:49:01	Will Trump say "Kuwait" this week?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x62a1b9…
06-01 17:00:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0x7b9498…
06-01 12:26:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0xfa240c…
06-01 12:24:35	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	92¢	$31	0xbab864…
06-01 01:50:21	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	70¢	$24	0xfdfd57…
05-30 21:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x32fcc8…
05-30 21:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb7da85…
05-30 21:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xed6eda…
05-30 21:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x766941…
05-30 21:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x14c1b1…
05-30 21:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x088213…
05-30 21:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x5cd025…
05-30 21:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x4433e0…
05-30 21:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x57d2d3…
05-30 21:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	74¢	$3	0xe37ae0…
05-30 21:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x7677f3…
05-30 21:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4242f8…
05-30 21:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x1de910…
05-30 21:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0xbd2af7…
05-30 21:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x2c18d2…
05-30 21:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	83¢	$3	0xb3ba7d…
05-30 21:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x482ca6…
05-30 21:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xda5e77…
05-30 21:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x129322…
05-30 21:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x8f9cc2…
05-30 20:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0xf31b87…
05-30 20:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x927c27…
05-30 20:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xb4c01e…
05-30 20:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xe09b0f…
05-30 20:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x940b3d…
05-30 20:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xda1d75…
05-30 20:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x93f032…
05-30 20:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x9c846c…
05-30 20:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x108e13…
05-30 20:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x072b46…
05-30 20:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x46d6ee…
05-30 20:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x5e9b3e…
05-30 20:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0xc297d3…
05-30 20:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xde01f9…
05-30 20:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xc82602…
05-30 20:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x0565e6…
05-30 20:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xc4aed5…
05-30 20:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x1a8eec…
05-30 20:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x91bd43…
05-30 20:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xb4760f…
05-30 20:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x62d16f…
05-30 20:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x53b7b0…
05-30 20:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xad3c4f…
05-30 20:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x23f2f0…
05-30 20:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x00c2f7…
05-30 19:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x484047…
05-30 19:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0xe9040e…
05-30 19:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x09bf33…
05-30 19:41:15	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x834207…
05-30 17:59:44	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	43	24¢	$11	0xac1ef6…
05-30 17:59:44	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	57	20¢	$11	0x10c67e…
05-28 13:43:26	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	102	24¢	$25	0x2d4b5f…
05-28 13:18:11	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x1d5a02…
05-27 01:40:17	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	106	44¢	$47	0xa80c4d…
05-26 22:56:03	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xdf8aa0…
05-26 22:55:26	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x87da80…
05-26 22:39:05	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	107	22¢	$24	0x85eac7…
05-25 16:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	69¢	$5	0x2a5c9f…
05-25 16:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x08f9d4…
05-25 15:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x8f39da…
05-25 15:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x7444bb…
05-25 15:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xc8ca32…
05-25 15:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x8bb4b2…
05-25 15:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x07b96b…
05-25 15:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x5d087a…
05-25 15:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0xcc1e61…
05-25 15:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb13b14…
05-25 15:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0x0a6922…
05-25 15:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb215d0…
05-25 15:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x12409e…
05-25 15:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x7cce9f…
05-25 15:18:55	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	SELL	101	8¢	$8	0xfb9a47…
05-25 14:20:48	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	101	8¢	$8	0xe8441f…
05-25 14:19:45	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x834efd…
05-25 14:17:14	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x19c04c…
05-24 21:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	84¢	$8	0x5d31aa…
05-24 21:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x050103…
05-24 21:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0xdcd821…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	236	$220.5K	8,147	06-09 03:35
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	234	$74.6K	22,005	06-07 00:04
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	234	$69.7K	20,336	06-07 00:04
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	232	$78.7K	12,769	06-07 00:04
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	231	$86.6K	14,325	06-07 00:04
(anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101	231	$17.6K	2,155	06-07 00:04
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	228	$182.9K	11,964	05-30 21:54
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	228	$39.1K	2,186	06-07 00:04