Worst-Modernist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.08K

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

55.8%

Resolved

2,634

Trades

2,731

lifetime

Volume

$30.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$76

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-03 07:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 259 days

Categories

Other

74% 54% -$675

Sports

22% 50% -$445

Crypto

2% 50% +$64

Politics

1% 83% -$28

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-69	-$51	96¢	$-66	-$15	05-02 16:04
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	B8		+26	$10	40¢	$10	+$0	11-03 07:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	12	$350	331	331	+0	Yes	+$190	02-16 08:10
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$83	0	85	-85	Yes	-$1	04-25 08:38
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$64	0	64	-64	Yes	$0	01-28 15:26
nhl nyi buf 2026 03 31	3	$59	85	31	+54	Sabres	-$21	03-31 10:19
euroleague paris milano 2026 04 02	3	$59	79	40	+38	Paris Basketball	-$20	04-02 16:03
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	1	$51	0	69	-69	open	—	05-02 16:04
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	1	$50	57	0	+57	Yes	-$50	02-24 08:05
epl mac new 2026 02 21 mac	3	$46	70	47	+23	Yes	+$10	02-21 18:07
bra flu bot 2026 02 12 flu	3	$45	59	31	+29	Yes	+$14	02-12 18:10
atp lehecka fils 2026 03 27	3	$45	61	36	+25	Jiri Lehecka	-$15	03-27 16:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$42	24	24	+0	Yes	+$2	02-09 15:13
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	2	$41	22	22	+0	No	+$1	02-09 15:13
nba sas lac 2026 04 02	2	$40	88	0	+88	Spurs	-$40	04-02 21:25
lal cel ala 2026 03 22 total 2pt5	2	$40	71	0	+71	Over	-$40	03-22 11:12
will bitcoin dip to 60k in february 2026 394 616	1	$40	47	0	+47	Yes	-$40	02-03 23:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$40	43	0	+43	No	+$3	01-16 23:20
nba phx cha 2026 04 02	2	$40	60	0	+60	Hornets	+$20	04-02 21:14
nba lal okc 2026 04 02	2	$40	53	0	+53	Thunder	+$13	04-02 21:11
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$40	48	0	+48	No	+$8	01-05 21:52
moltbook shutdown by feb 28	1	$40	43	0	+43	No	+$3	02-01 10:51
euroleague panathin paris 2026 02 26	2	$38	101	0	+101	Paris Basketball	+$18	02-26 21:45
epl liv new 2026 01 31 liv	2	$35	70	0	+70	Yes	-$35	01-31 20:32
epl ars che 2026 03 01 ars	2	$35	49	0	+49	Yes	+$14	03-01 16:58
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar	1	$35	41	0	+41	Jannik Sinner	+$6	04-29 13:07
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	2	$34	27	27	+0	No	-$6	01-14 18:07
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	1	$33	34	0	+34	No	+$0	01-01 00:33
epl mac wol 2026 01 24 mac	1	$30	40	0	+40	Yes	+$10	01-24 10:28
euroleague panathin monaco 2026 03 27	1	$30	38	0	+38	Panathinaikos	+$8	03-27 10:45
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	1	$30	65	0	+65	No	-$30	05-16 15:05
ucl fcb1 kob1 2026 01 28 fcb1	1	$30	34	0	+34	Yes	+$4	01-28 15:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 07:25:33	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	B8	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x315766…
11-03 03:24:43	Heat vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xd53ec8…
11-02 21:36:03	Suns vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xb4ae4e…
11-02 20:24:31	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	G2	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xf9b12f…
11-02 20:00:43	Avalanche vs. Blackhawks	Avalanche	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xd50618…
11-02 20:00:15	Pelicans vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xc738a6…
11-02 19:59:46	Bears vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x8edd2a…
11-02 18:36:10	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Thunder	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x76cfe4…
11-02 18:36:00	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Thunder	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xcd79c8…
11-02 10:36:51	Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alexander Blockx	Daniel Merida Aguilar	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd0fe1a…
11-01 21:42:55	Senators vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x0ab45f…
11-01 20:45:57	Patriots vs. Dolphins	Patriots	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xf898d4…
11-01 15:28:52	Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	111	3¢	$3	0x190cd7…
11-01 15:28:25	Utah vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x404733…
11-01 15:28:06	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x1c1aa4…
11-01 15:27:54	Cardinals vs. Cowboys	Cardinals	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xbd4cc9…
11-01 15:27:42	Ravens vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xc92b7a…
11-01 10:24:21	Will Panathinaikos Athens win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x7c777a…
11-01 10:19:22	Will OFI Crete win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xf5e551…
11-01 10:18:40	Spread: Aris Thessaloniki (-1.5)	Aris Thessaloniki	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x5a44ad…
11-01 10:18:31	APO Levadiakos FC vs. Aris Thessaloniki: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x46a2a7…
11-01 10:16:49	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs	1WIN	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x73d9c8…
10-31 18:49:42	Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5)	LOS	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x852852…
10-31 18:25:25	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x05c815…
10-31 18:25:04	Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)	Bucks	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc72bbf…
10-31 14:41:28	Delaware State vs. Norfolk State	Delaware State	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x68647f…
10-31 14:03:00	Spread: Olympiacos Piraeus (-2.5)	Olympiacos Piraeus	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xd5790d…
10-31 14:02:46	Spread: Olympiacos Piraeus (-1.5)	Olympiacos Piraeus	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x13a202…
10-31 14:01:28	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x2448be…
10-31 14:00:45	Kansas State vs. Colorado	Kansas State	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x60c6d1…
10-31 11:42:57	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xe2b661…
10-30 21:01:06	Clippers vs. Timberwolves	Clippers	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xea43bd…
10-30 20:33:19	Devils vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x30b432…
10-30 20:33:01	Baylor vs. UCF	UCF	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xbefa57…
10-30 20:32:18	Hornets vs. Wizards	Hornets	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc7a80b…
10-30 15:16:01	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x5de8b4…
10-30 13:25:07	Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs PRIVATE (BO3) - CyberClash Playoffs	PRIVATE	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x8d3e62…
10-30 09:16:30	Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x09aa58…
10-30 00:30:07	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Grizzlies	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x0893c4…
10-30 00:29:39	Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x97e44b…
10-29 20:28:19	Sabres vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xc341c9…
10-29 19:57:01	Bruins vs. Blues	Blues	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x536cfe…
10-29 19:56:43	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x371433…
10-29 19:56:07	Capitals vs. Predators	Capitals	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdaad94…
10-29 14:23:11	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x7f5c1e…
10-29 10:49:11	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Playoffs	FaZe	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xb006a0…
10-29 09:56:41	Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x452971…
10-29 07:46:20	Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x1944cc…
10-29 06:34:10	Counter-Strike: BIG vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	BIG	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x4333d1…
10-29 06:33:59	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	England	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xaef772…
10-28 21:10:28	Devils vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xf2719d…
10-28 21:10:11	Spread: Pistons (-7.5)	Hornets	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5e7217…
10-28 21:09:59	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Bulls	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa3f2f4…
10-28 21:09:46	Magic vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x0f97fc…
10-28 21:09:19	Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Nuggets	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x7194d6…
10-28 21:09:08	Spread: Rockets (-8.5)	Bucks	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2af9cd…
10-28 21:08:52	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x909939…
10-28 15:50:46	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x784f7d…
10-28 15:04:34	Will AEK win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x3fb4c9…
10-28 15:04:26	Will PAOK win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x29d279…
10-28 15:03:52	PAOK vs. AEK: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x976e04…
10-28 15:03:11	Panathinaikós AO vs. AS Áris Thessaloníkis: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x6242ce…
10-28 15:02:58	Panathinaikós AO vs. AS Áris Thessaloníkis: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xcef98b…
10-28 15:02:50	Panathinaikós AO vs. AS Áris Thessaloníkis: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc9c2ea…
10-28 12:59:23	Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x02bc6d…
10-28 12:59:13	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xc5b2b0…
10-28 12:59:04	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Natus Vincere	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x5f0389…
10-28 12:58:56	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	BIG	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xeb9e32…
10-28 10:07:07	Counter-Strike: Astralis vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xd36b6e…
10-27 22:42:57	Islanders vs. Predators	Predators	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xcfe0fe…
10-27 22:42:48	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x79139a…
10-27 22:42:39	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x1e32ea…
10-27 18:20:26	Canadiens vs. Blues	Blues	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xeecda7…
10-27 18:09:39	Delaware vs. Western Kentucky	Delaware	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x842158…
10-27 16:34:35	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x2a3a1f…
10-27 14:22:57	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B	Astra Invicta	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x37c051…
10-27 13:51:41	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)	TYLOO	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x9157fe…
10-27 11:22:24	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Natus Vincere	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x1d0c50…
10-27 09:21:09	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x7c0c59…
10-27 08:17:44	Counter-Strike: magic vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	BIG	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x932262…
10-27 08:17:33	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Legacy	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe30174…
10-26 21:45:45	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xb02963…
10-26 18:35:42	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xd6634d…
10-26 17:46:47	Wizards vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x82f4e9…
10-26 17:42:12	Kings vs. Rangers	Kings	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x391d99…
10-26 12:29:57	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x166060…
10-26 09:46:02	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x357cd7…
10-26 08:35:56	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x701bb8…
10-26 07:07:15	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x00bbae…
10-26 07:06:45	Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)	Nemiga	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xe6a3a0…
10-25 20:11:53	Spread: Lions (-10.5)	Packers	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x3df5db…
10-25 18:57:32	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xb81a6e…
10-25 18:57:18	Spread: Pacers (-6.5)	Pacers	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x149e7c…
10-25 18:57:02	Spread: Pistons (-1.5)	76ers	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x67fd75…
10-25 18:56:47	Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5	Over	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x90ba27…
10-25 17:54:20	Spread: Lakers (-6.5)	Jazz	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5c8598…
10-25 17:53:56	Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)	Gen.G	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x286ab6…
10-25 17:53:45	Raptors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0f2010…
10-25 17:53:20	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Knicks	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0b3c98…
10-25 17:52:59	Spread: Thunder (-14.5)	Thunder	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x72d71f…