Unequaled-Specification — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$276

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

218

2,605 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.40K

$38.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 11-11 18:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% -$429

Politics

0% 0% -$165

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 20:15 UTC	7	$941	889	874	+15	Down	+$705	01-31 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	28	$652	619	313	+306	Down	+$9	05-08 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	14	$639	525	343	+182	Up	+$39	05-09 01:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 02:45 UTC	10	$607	449	444	+5	Down	+$205	01-20 03:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 21:30 UTC	10	$550	796	0	+796	Down	-$550	02-07 21:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 00:45 UTC	26	$501	328	327	+1	Down	+$93	02-23 00:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	13	$476	515	0	+515	Down	+$39	05-03 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	8	$473	285	225	+60	Down	-$15	05-05 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	7	$444	245	234	+11	Down	+$30	05-05 13:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 22:00 UTC	2	$394	326	321	+5	Up	+$94	02-07 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	16	$389	518	90	+428	Down	-$211	05-09 01:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 21:45 UTC	2	$346	326	321	+5	Up	+$51	02-07 21:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 23:45 UTC	19	$343	332	293	+39	Down	+$192	01-29 23:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 21:45 UTC	37	$323	322	218	+104	Down	+$78	02-08 21:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 22:15 UTC	16	$317	217	215	+3	Up	+$30	02-07 22:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 18:15 UTC	17	$313	240	237	+4	Down	+$122	02-15 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	22	$313	209	209	+0	Up	+$100	05-17 18:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 18:00 UTC	15	$304	253	249	+4	Up	+$108	02-15 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	18	$300	268	149	+119	Down	+$17	05-07 13:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 01:00 UTC	12	$291	170	169	+1	Up	+$42	01-22 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	5	$285	154	149	+6	Down	+$15	05-05 13:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 23:00 UTC	17	$283	200	197	+3	Up	+$71	02-12 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	8	$282	306	0	+306	Down	+$24	05-03 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	7	$278	155	146	+9	Up	+$19	05-05 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	6	$275	147	141	+6	Down	+$10	05-05 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	16	$275	309	0	+309	Down	+$34	05-03 15:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 00:30 UTC	8	$273	192	188	+4	Down	+$73	02-08 00:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 21:45 UTC	16	$272	175	174	+1	Down	+$68	01-22 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	14	$272	304	0	+304	Down	-$272	05-05 13:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 00:30 UTC	15	$266	160	158	+1	Down	+$42	01-23 00:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 18:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xc48ebf…
11-11 18:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x00421f…
11-11 18:49:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0x6d10a9…
11-11 18:49:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0xd0c677…
11-11 18:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x5f0ed3…
11-11 18:48:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x1148f0…
11-11 18:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x29e9bf…
11-11 18:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x912979…
11-11 18:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x786301…
11-11 18:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	112	53¢	$59	0x1080ef…
11-11 18:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0ccee5…
11-11 18:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb4aa08…
11-11 18:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x6e5c50…
11-11 18:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x39f268…
11-11 18:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe71583…
11-11 18:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb9dbf8…
11-11 18:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x2250f2…
11-11 18:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0x5f3f7d…
11-11 18:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x08399e…
11-11 18:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x80db76…
11-11 18:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x388341…
11-11 18:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x7adc34…
11-11 18:17:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xbbe4a4…
11-11 18:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x9822bc…
11-11 18:03:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xe87782…
11-11 18:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x3c113c…
11-11 17:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x82fd60…
11-11 17:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x3fbfe8…
11-11 17:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x22d52a…
11-11 17:54:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x929827…
11-11 17:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xab40af…
11-11 17:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xaebb33…
11-11 17:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xcd596f…
11-11 17:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x41d562…
10-25 23:49:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	294	2¢	$5	0x6329fe…
10-25 23:22:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	89	11¢	$10	0x231695…
10-25 23:04:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	177	17¢	$30	0x15aa6a…
10-25 22:18:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xa259d0…
10-25 22:14:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	230	43¢	$100	0x200904…
10-10 02:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0x4c13e5…
10-10 02:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xfe9aec…
10-10 02:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xeb608b…
10-10 02:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xdd7898…
10-10 02:00:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x2bd6c2…
10-10 01:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x03ec55…
10-10 01:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0xbfdf88…
10-10 01:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xe9dfc0…
10-10 01:54:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0xc2d6da…
10-10 01:54:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x5dbc76…
10-10 01:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0xebd153…
10-10 01:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x1a3fb2…
10-10 01:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x77c80f…
10-10 01:48:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x524e52…
10-10 01:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xaad36f…
10-10 01:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xd72a34…
10-10 01:45:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x9cd1fe…
10-10 01:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x22b466…
10-10 01:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xef8cd2…
10-10 01:42:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	67¢	$8	0xe68c7a…
10-10 01:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	90¢	$12	0x273c09…
10-10 01:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xffc14a…
10-10 01:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc50751…
10-10 01:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x0c5371…
10-10 01:38:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	53	8¢	$4	0x43e04c…
10-10 01:33:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x187f02…
10-10 01:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x29810d…
10-10 01:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x2858fb…
10-10 01:33:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x34fb8e…
10-10 01:33:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x2b461c…
10-10 01:32:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xa06064…
10-10 01:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0d82b7…
10-10 01:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa10a27…
10-10 01:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xfece44…
10-09 01:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0x05da3f…
10-09 01:32:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x6cb9ec…
10-09 01:32:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x3f4399…
10-09 01:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	88¢	$10	0x9b8458…
10-09 01:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x6acdf2…
10-09 01:31:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xca1a78…
10-09 01:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xd91b73…
10-09 01:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x707b3f…
10-09 01:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x017368…
10-09 01:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x4e6ae8…
10-09 01:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x126b7c…
10-09 01:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9d5e38…
10-09 01:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x554de2…
10-09 01:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0x87350f…
10-09 01:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x3130d7…
10-09 01:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x0af0ed…
10-09 01:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x49de21…
10-09 01:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0x14afae…
10-09 01:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x66cd37…
10-09 01:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x9d3ec7…
10-09 01:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x84cc48…
10-09 01:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x716036…
10-09 01:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xa486cf…
10-09 01:17:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x910531…
10-09 01:16:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x8c5cbf…
10-09 01:16:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0x444add…
10-09 01:16:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x06f3e5…