Faint-Burrito — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

98.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,923

lifetime

Volume

$441.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$151

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-25 18:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

89% — —

Crypto

9% 36% $-7

Other

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No		-10	$-4	60¢	$-6	$-2	05-30 21:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	223	$101.5K	51,800	53,743	-1,942	open	—	03-01 05:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	253	$94.8K	56,320	44,775	+11,545	open	—	01-30 23:26
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	541	$77.5K	51,534	48,447	+3,087	open	—	02-01 09:44
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	49	$31.2K	19,372	19,372	+0	open	—	03-01 05:20
israel strikes iran by january 23 2026	42	$24.1K	12,742	12,019	+722	open	—	01-24 19:33
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	34	$10.5K	7,278	3,999	+3,278	open	—	01-16 14:00
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?	11	$3.3K	1,667	1,667	-0	open	—	01-12 05:01
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	9	$3.1K	2,315	2,315	+0	open	—	01-27 20:49
will khamenei leave iran by jan 16 974	9	$3.1K	2,058	1,059	+998	open	—	01-16 04:09
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	6	$2.8K	1,951	1,000	+951	open	—	01-12 20:56
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	6	$2.6K	1,299	1,299	+0	open	—	02-07 00:05
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	6	$2.4K	2,222	2,222	+0	open	—	02-28 06:51
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	2	$2.1K	1,181	1,181	+0	open	—	01-15 00:00
israel strikes iran by january 25 2026	5	$2.0K	1,046	1,046	+0	open	—	01-25 23:07
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-08 04:28
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	01-19 03:42
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 10, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	01-11 05:03
will khamenei leave iran by friday	5	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	01-06 02:50
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	5	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	-0	open	—	01-25 18:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	13	$1.9K	1,206	1,206	+0	open	—	05-21 16:04
iran strike on israel by january 31	7	$1.9K	1,218	1,218	+0	open	—	02-01 09:43
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	21	$1.8K	1,260	879	+381	open	—	01-16 13:07
iran strike on israel by february 28	9	$1.6K	1,278	1,278	+0	open	—	02-28 06:47
israel strikes iran by january 14 2026	8	$1.6K	1,676	0	+1,676	open	—	01-15 02:32
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	5	$1.4K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	02-28 06:50
israel strikes iran by january 9 2026	4	$1.3K	1,377	0	+1,377	open	—	01-07 12:13
iran strike on israel by january 15	5	$1.2K	621	621	+0	open	—	01-16 08:51
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	1	$997	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-15 22:16
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	4	$992	1,008	0	+1,008	open	—	01-17 22:56
nvda up or down on february 13 2026	6	$970	500	500	+0	open	—	02-13 19:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 18:27:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	103	31¢	$32	0xe0ba36…
06-20 16:52:28	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1f5f66…
06-20 16:14:14	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 corners first half total 3pt5	Over	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x07cdea…
06-19 18:58:50	bitcoin up or down on june 20 2026	Up	SELL	232	42¢	$97	0x809883…
06-19 18:58:49	bitcoin up or down on june 20 2026	Up	SELL	21	42¢	$9	0x3c5e37…
06-19 18:40:49	bitcoin up or down on june 20 2026	Up	BUY	253	40¢	$100	0x887198…
06-17 18:09:04	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 corners second half total 3pt5	Over	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x2301cf…
06-17 17:55:44	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 corners second half total 3pt5	Over	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xe1f518…
06-17 17:54:59	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 corners second half total 3pt5	Over	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x9e3780…
06-17 17:54:52	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 corners second half total 3pt5	Over	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x5ad2aa…
06-17 17:52:07	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 corners second half total 3pt5	Over	SELL	5	75¢	$3	0x402db9…
06-17 17:51:53	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 corners second half total 3pt5	Over	SELL	5	75¢	$3	0x1bf6e1…
06-17 16:36:34	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 corners second half total 3pt5	Over	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x3784d0…
06-16 10:22:00	bitcoin up or down on june 16 2026	Up	SELL	262	24¢	$63	0x8b0c90…
06-16 10:05:57	bitcoin up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	262	17¢	$46	0x088b95…
06-13 11:33:21	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 7am et	Down	SELL	49	16¢	$8	0x45f398…
06-13 11:08:34	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	49	35¢	$17	0xc59269…
06-12 15:09:15	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 11am et	Down	SELL	45	42¢	$19	0xb5d9c7…
06-12 15:08:21	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	45	40¢	$18	0x5ae6d7…
06-12 14:21:57	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	80	27¢	$22	0xbd0d05…
06-12 14:19:36	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x6339fc…
06-11 22:04:48	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 6pm et	Down	SELL	61	37¢	$22	0x76b23b…
06-11 22:04:24	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x9cb9fa…
06-11 19:12:18	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 3pm et	Up	SELL	55	57¢	$31	0x3a19d3…
06-11 19:06:33	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	55	52¢	$29	0x3fb54c…
06-11 13:18:51	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	62	42¢	$26	0x2f8aaf…
06-11 13:11:40	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x84cfe8…
06-11 11:02:03	bitcoin up or down on june 11 2026	Up	SELL	144	78¢	$112	0x042d39…
06-11 09:04:19	bitcoin up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	144	68¢	$98	0xe16831…
05-31 22:03:03	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xc1841f…
05-30 21:04:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x05a352…
05-30 20:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	124	5¢	$6	0xee4517…
05-30 20:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	89	11¢	$10	0x0f3323…
05-30 20:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x9544a0…
05-30 19:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	106	35¢	$37	0xc29b17…
05-30 19:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x32f83d…
05-30 19:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0xbc4a53…
05-30 19:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x7eaaaf…
05-30 19:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	26	43¢	$11	0xc3e49e…
05-30 19:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xb06428…
05-30 19:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	27	39¢	$11	0x9a5929…
05-30 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x01bd35…
05-30 18:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	45	26¢	$12	0x70219e…
05-30 18:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x291476…
05-30 18:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	23	46¢	$11	0x1bbaac…
05-30 18:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xfb05c1…
05-30 17:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0xef4fb5…
05-30 17:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xfd513f…
05-30 17:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	37	30¢	$11	0xc8b1c0…
05-30 17:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xc79c8f…
05-30 17:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	28	40¢	$11	0xbc98d9…
05-30 17:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x091a4d…
05-30 17:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	27	41¢	$11	0xe5e555…
05-30 17:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x74e8e5…
05-30 17:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	24	47¢	$11	0xfd2262…
05-30 17:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x1520ab…
05-30 17:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	23	47¢	$11	0x4143e8…
05-30 17:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x62f66a…
05-30 17:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	22	47¢	$10	0xa0a716…
05-30 17:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x22a188…
05-30 16:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0xfbf5f8…
05-30 16:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x75994a…
05-30 16:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0x04db2e…
05-30 16:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xf72420…
05-30 15:28:58	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x5bc845…
05-30 15:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	77	41¢	$32	0xbb7d8e…
05-30 15:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0xfccce2…
05-30 13:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	Up	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0x4f0da8…
05-30 13:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	Up	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x0575d7…
05-30 13:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0xfa4fa8…
05-30 13:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0x43f5fe…
05-30 13:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	87	32¢	$28	0x618d18…
05-30 12:32:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xed87cc…
05-29 17:56:04	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xbdbce1…
05-27 16:05:42	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xfc4155…
05-27 15:40:12	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xc0ff04…
05-27 13:32:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	214	61¢	$131	0x66236d…
05-27 13:27:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	70	62¢	$43	0xb23f24…
05-27 13:27:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x3c066a…
05-27 12:51:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xe2814c…
05-27 12:50:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	409	63¢	$256	0x73493a…
05-26 14:03:05	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x938dfc…
05-26 14:02:42	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xa16e98…
05-25 21:44:20	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x34a808…
05-25 21:43:29	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x3f8e51…
05-25 16:15:48	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x42a51a…
05-24 16:06:30	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xe85df5…
05-24 01:03:30	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x1c4b2b…
05-23 22:53:57	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x6dbd1d…
05-23 12:49:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x912b89…
05-23 12:49:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd2bd12…
05-22 20:02:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	SELL	134	38¢	$51	0xbc80ec…
05-22 19:53:43	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x58e051…
05-22 19:50:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	SELL	60	39¢	$24	0x50f35e…
05-22 18:54:04	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	SELL	201	44¢	$88	0x680883…
05-22 16:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?	Up	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0xe22f5d…
05-22 16:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?	Up	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xe8894a…
05-22 13:01:46	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	BUY	44	37¢	$16	0x98b12a…
05-22 12:45:59	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	BUY	70	37¢	$26	0x69fa93…
05-22 12:45:59	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	BUY	31	37¢	$11	0x197ef9…