Faint-Burrito — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

98.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,894

lifetime

Volume

$440.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$152

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-31 22:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

89% — —

Crypto

8% 36% $-7

Other

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No		-10	$-4	52¢	$-5	$-1	05-30 21:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	223	$101.5K	51,800	53,743	-1,942	open	—	03-01 05:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	253	$94.8K	56,320	44,775	+11,545	open	—	01-30 23:26
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	541	$77.5K	51,534	48,447	+3,087	open	—	02-01 09:44
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	49	$31.2K	19,372	19,372	+0	open	—	03-01 05:20
israel strikes iran by january 23 2026	42	$24.1K	12,742	12,019	+722	open	—	01-24 19:33
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	34	$10.5K	7,278	3,999	+3,278	open	—	01-16 14:00
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?	11	$3.3K	1,667	1,667	-0	open	—	01-12 05:01
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	9	$3.1K	2,315	2,315	+0	open	—	01-27 20:49
will khamenei leave iran by jan 16 974	9	$3.1K	2,058	1,059	+998	open	—	01-16 04:09
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	6	$2.8K	1,951	1,000	+951	open	—	01-12 20:56
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	6	$2.6K	1,299	1,299	+0	open	—	02-07 00:05
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	6	$2.4K	2,222	2,222	+0	open	—	02-28 06:51
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	2	$2.1K	1,181	1,181	+0	open	—	01-15 00:00
israel strikes iran by january 25 2026	5	$2.0K	1,046	1,046	+0	open	—	01-25 23:07
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-08 04:28
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	01-19 03:42
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 10, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	01-11 05:03
will khamenei leave iran by friday	5	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	01-06 02:50
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	5	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	-0	open	—	01-25 18:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	13	$1.9K	1,206	1,206	+0	open	—	05-21 16:04
iran strike on israel by january 31	7	$1.9K	1,218	1,218	+0	open	—	02-01 09:43
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	21	$1.8K	1,260	879	+381	open	—	01-16 13:07
iran strike on israel by february 28	9	$1.6K	1,278	1,278	+0	open	—	02-28 06:47
israel strikes iran by january 14 2026	8	$1.6K	1,676	0	+1,676	open	—	01-15 02:32
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	5	$1.4K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	02-28 06:50
israel strikes iran by january 9 2026	4	$1.3K	1,377	0	+1,377	open	—	01-07 12:13
iran strike on israel by january 15	5	$1.2K	621	621	+0	open	—	01-16 08:51
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	1	$997	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-15 22:16
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	4	$992	1,008	0	+1,008	open	—	01-17 22:56
nvda up or down on february 13 2026	6	$970	500	500	+0	open	—	02-13 19:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 22:03:03	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xc1841f…
05-30 21:04:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x05a352…
05-30 20:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	124	5¢	$6	0xee4517…
05-30 20:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	89	11¢	$10	0x0f3323…
05-30 20:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x9544a0…
05-30 19:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	106	35¢	$37	0xc29b17…
05-30 19:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x32f83d…
05-30 19:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0xbc4a53…
05-30 19:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x7eaaaf…
05-30 19:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	26	43¢	$11	0xc3e49e…
05-30 19:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xb06428…
05-30 19:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	27	39¢	$11	0x9a5929…
05-30 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x01bd35…
05-30 18:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	45	26¢	$12	0x70219e…
05-30 18:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x291476…
05-30 18:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	23	46¢	$11	0x1bbaac…
05-30 18:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xfb05c1…
05-30 17:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0xef4fb5…
05-30 17:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xfd513f…
05-30 17:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	37	30¢	$11	0xc8b1c0…
05-30 17:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xc79c8f…
05-30 17:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	28	40¢	$11	0xbc98d9…
05-30 17:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x091a4d…
05-30 17:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	27	41¢	$11	0xe5e555…
05-30 17:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x74e8e5…
05-30 17:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	24	47¢	$11	0xfd2262…
05-30 17:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x1520ab…
05-30 17:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	23	47¢	$11	0x4143e8…
05-30 17:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x62f66a…
05-30 17:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	22	47¢	$10	0xa0a716…
05-30 17:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x22a188…
05-30 16:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0xfbf5f8…
05-30 16:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x75994a…
05-30 16:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0x04db2e…
05-30 16:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xf72420…
05-30 15:28:58	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x5bc845…
05-30 15:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	77	41¢	$32	0xbb7d8e…
05-30 15:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0xfccce2…
05-30 13:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	Up	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0x4f0da8…
05-30 13:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	Up	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x0575d7…
05-30 13:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0xfa4fa8…
05-30 13:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0x43f5fe…
05-30 13:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	87	32¢	$28	0x618d18…
05-30 12:32:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xed87cc…
05-29 17:56:04	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xbdbce1…
05-27 16:05:42	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xfc4155…
05-27 15:40:12	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xc0ff04…
05-27 13:32:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	214	61¢	$131	0x66236d…
05-27 13:27:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	70	62¢	$43	0xb23f24…
05-27 13:27:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x3c066a…
05-27 12:51:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xe2814c…
05-27 12:50:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	409	63¢	$256	0x73493a…
05-26 14:03:05	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x938dfc…
05-26 14:02:42	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xa16e98…
05-25 21:44:20	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x34a808…
05-25 21:43:29	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x3f8e51…
05-25 16:15:48	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x42a51a…
05-24 16:06:30	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xe85df5…
05-24 01:03:30	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x1c4b2b…
05-23 22:53:57	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x6dbd1d…
05-23 12:49:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x912b89…
05-23 12:49:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd2bd12…
05-22 20:02:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	SELL	134	38¢	$51	0xbc80ec…
05-22 19:53:43	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x58e051…
05-22 19:50:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	SELL	60	39¢	$24	0x50f35e…
05-22 18:54:04	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	SELL	201	44¢	$88	0x680883…
05-22 16:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?	Up	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0xe22f5d…
05-22 16:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?	Up	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xe8894a…
05-22 13:01:46	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	BUY	44	37¢	$16	0x98b12a…
05-22 12:45:59	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	BUY	70	37¢	$26	0x69fa93…
05-22 12:45:59	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	BUY	31	37¢	$11	0x197ef9…
05-22 12:27:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	BUY	56	37¢	$21	0x305421…
05-22 11:19:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	SELL	201	38¢	$76	0x6d0d2e…
05-22 01:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x33a945…
05-22 01:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xd079ef…
05-21 23:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0x99e205…
05-21 23:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	47	34¢	$16	0x4996ad…
05-21 23:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xe3c72b…
05-21 19:21:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x67be1c…
05-21 17:57:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	201	30¢	$60	0x1f4f04…
05-21 16:44:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x844fc2…
05-21 16:42:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x9b9fa4…
05-21 16:42:30	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x94d9d7…
05-21 16:22:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	BUY	1	41¢	$1	0x904da0…
05-21 16:22:46	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0x866c9f…
05-21 16:22:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	201	33¢	$66	0x2b0a7d…
05-21 16:04:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	201	78¢	$157	0xc735ba…
05-21 16:03:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	201	78¢	$157	0x59c946…
05-21 14:12:02	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Down	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x0fcc2c…
05-21 12:56:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	201	81¢	$163	0x6b2204…
05-21 12:34:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	201	81¢	$163	0x7fdfab…
05-21 01:26:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	201	84¢	$169	0xafc1c3…
05-20 23:51:18	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	201	83¢	$167	0x4bbaac…
05-20 22:17:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	195	34¢	$66	0xc653a2…
05-20 22:16:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0xc4bf84…
05-20 21:43:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	201	33¢	$66	0xf39310…
05-20 19:02:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	201	78¢	$157	0x1c14c3…
05-20 19:01:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	201	77¢	$155	0x0b887c…
05-20 18:41:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	201	78¢	$157	0x3f5c07…
05-20 17:48:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	201	78¢	$157	0xd1b57d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	411	$199.5K	30,793	04-11 16:40
Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038	407	$702	1,204	05-30 20:57
Cavernous-Emanate 0x0cf7…f03a	387	$130.8K	22,915	05-11 20:39
(anonymous) 0x4543…72d1	379	$134.0K	22,856	04-16 19:19
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	365	$195.9K	6,844	05-30 19:53
(anonymous) 0xb9fc…da76	354	$70.0K	19,542	03-23 23:57
Safe-Irony 0xa08b…855b	352	$2.44K	402	05-18 09:09
Clueless-Frog 0x3b40…494c	352	$2.23K	412	05-15 19:35