Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$49

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

256

Trades

812

lifetime

Volume

$29.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-09-30

last 10-27 20:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 66% +$49

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes		+90	$4	5¢	$4	+$0	10-27 20:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	11	$1.1K	859	859	+0	Up	-$32	10-22 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	5	$808	577	577	+0	Up	+$28	10-21 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	4	$788	562	562	+0	Down	-$12	10-20 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	6	$681	616	616	+0	Down	-$19	10-22 05:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:50 UTC	4	$649	447	447	+0	Down	+$49	09-30 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$555	585	585	+0	Down	+$55	10-21 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	11	$480	306	306	+0	Up	+$18	10-24 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	4	$466	303	303	+0	Down	+$26	10-01 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$454	256	256	+0	Up	+$54	10-26 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	4	$446	319	319	+0	Up	+$6	10-01 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$443	286	286	+0	Down	+$43	10-26 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	4	$432	297	297	+0	Down	+$32	10-21 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	7	$428	495	394	+100	Down	+$4	10-19 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$420	222	222	+0	Down	+$20	10-21 00:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$418	314	314	+0	Down	+$18	10-23 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	9	$408	418	418	+0	Down	-$12	10-26 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	4	$374	370	370	+0	Down	-$26	10-21 17:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:40 UTC	3	$362	431	200	+231	Down	-$7	09-30 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$307	411	167	+244	Down	-$243	10-22 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$300	337	0	+337	Down	+$37	10-26 16:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	6	$275	263	263	+0	Down	+$15	10-01 23:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:15 UTC	3	$272	246	213	+32	Down	+$54	09-30 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$259	185	185	+0	Down	-$1	10-07 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	3	$259	361	169	+192	Up	-$121	10-26 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$256	159	159	+0	Down	+$56	10-19 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$254	159	159	+0	Up	+$54	10-20 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	15	$244	153	153	+0	Up	+$15	10-05 21:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	4	$242	191	191	+0	Down	+$2	10-22 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$234	166	166	+0	Up	+$34	10-24 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	7	$230	132	132	+0	Up	+$30	10-24 21:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:40:47	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x7d4346…
10-26 20:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	192	73¢	$140	0x1b5b63…
10-26 20:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	169	41¢	$69	0x382b44…
10-26 20:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	169	30¢	$50	0x780e8c…
10-26 20:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	105	98¢	$103	0xe49ec7…
10-26 20:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x607e2a…
10-26 19:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	270	74¢	$200	0x0f3c0b…
10-26 19:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xde6236…
10-26 19:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xe3d884…
10-26 19:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xdbb700…
10-26 19:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xa70e36…
10-26 19:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	256	99¢	$254	0x74a704…
10-26 19:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0xee4580…
10-26 19:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xc5bf41…
10-26 19:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x63b79d…
10-26 18:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	43	59¢	$25	0x77b298…
10-26 18:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xaec114…
10-26 18:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x7efcda…
10-26 18:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x252438…
10-26 18:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x55fa5c…
10-26 18:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	286	85¢	$243	0x02ad55…
10-26 18:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	286	70¢	$200	0xdd092b…
10-26 18:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	52	2¢	$1	0x16416c…
10-26 18:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0xdbef43…
10-26 18:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	284	70¢	$200	0x759f4e…
10-26 18:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	67	99¢	$66	0x048edd…
10-26 18:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xe2a0c4…
10-26 16:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xb61423…
10-26 16:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xb23355…
10-26 16:46:11	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xaaec9a…
10-26 16:46:00	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xde33ef…
10-26 16:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	97	55¢	$53	0xcb66c0…
10-26 16:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0xff41af…
10-26 16:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	133	42¢	$56	0x504672…
10-26 16:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	133	60¢	$80	0xa00887…
10-26 16:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	148	47¢	$69	0x29cd5c…
10-26 16:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	109	55¢	$60	0x865e7a…
10-26 16:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x10c4d7…
10-26 16:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	41	48¢	$20	0xa1d96c…
10-26 16:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x29bbb6…
10-26 16:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	337	89¢	$300	0xf88f5c…
10-26 06:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	59	84¢	$50	0x3080fa…
10-26 06:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	59	59¢	$35	0xeb2e4f…
10-24 23:21:48	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	109	4¢	$5	0x893eff…
10-24 23:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0x8011b6…
10-24 22:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0xed12a4…
10-24 22:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0xd6164c…
10-24 22:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	60	13¢	$8	0x2c616b…
10-24 22:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x359dc3…
10-24 22:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	166	81¢	$134	0xe54aff…
10-24 22:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	166	60¢	$100	0x758968…
10-24 22:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xc236c0…
10-24 22:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x98c6f6…
10-24 22:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x7d7070…
10-24 22:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x736048…
10-24 22:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x6e4289…
10-24 22:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xf39fcf…
10-24 22:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xc18e02…
10-24 22:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x056b54…
10-24 22:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	236	85¢	$200	0x8a89d6…
10-24 22:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	70	22¢	$15	0x57664b…
10-24 21:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	70	44¢	$31	0x4f8d8e…
10-24 21:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb444f2…
10-24 21:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xf4d1ae…
10-24 21:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xaa7a76…
10-24 21:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xfb46f1…
10-24 21:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x0d8cb4…
10-24 21:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$24	0xc79065…
10-24 21:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x55efa9…
10-23 16:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xcadb47…
10-23 16:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	43	74¢	$32	0x3a6d5a…
10-23 16:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x834ec9…
10-23 16:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	145	82¢	$119	0xd4816a…
10-23 16:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xe28f67…
10-23 16:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	169	58¢	$99	0x654b9e…
10-23 16:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x2f1a83…
10-23 06:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x59b2f1…
10-23 06:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	56	30¢	$17	0xf5d176…
10-23 06:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0x6bdd12…
10-23 06:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x11575c…
10-22 21:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	60	66¢	$40	0x397380…
10-22 21:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x3a2f19…
10-22 21:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x95b631…
10-22 21:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xd4929a…
10-22 21:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x82c9a1…
10-22 21:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	59	42¢	$25	0xe01570…
10-22 21:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x2f49d8…
10-22 21:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	98	99¢	$97	0xd4465d…
10-22 21:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	98	71¢	$70	0x14f1c9…
10-22 21:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	93	27¢	$25	0x113be9…
10-22 21:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xc10f15…
10-22 18:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	244	72¢	$175	0x5cb969…
10-22 18:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	167	19¢	$32	0xd30cec…
10-22 18:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x4e5baf…
10-22 18:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xe88f1b…
10-22 18:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xcd84a3…
10-22 18:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x45462b…
10-22 18:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x31622d…
10-22 18:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	165	99¢	$163	0xe9216c…
10-22 18:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	61	69¢	$42	0x626587…