Nutritious-Hardboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$85

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

151

Trades

201

lifetime

Volume

$6.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-17 12:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

43% 99% +$47

Politics

30% 94% +$20

Crypto

23% 100% +$15

Tech

4% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	2	$372	188	188	+0	Yes	+$0	09-10 01:21
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	3	$358	182	182	+0	No	+$5	09-01 11:10
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	2	$292	161	161	+0	open	—	08-07 17:25
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	2	$237	183	183	+0	Yes	+$6	10-04 01:59
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$227	183	183	+0	open	—	10-17 12:09
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	2	$222	116	116	+0	No	+$9	10-01 01:34
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	2	$217	108	108	+0	No	+$0	10-16 02:34
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	1	$208	208	0	+208	Yes	+$0	10-04 23:59
us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	1	$196	197	0	+197	No	+$2	09-05 01:36
LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$195	197	0	+197	Yes	+$2	09-10 14:06
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$190	190	0	+190	No	+$0	09-16 10:14
Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch	1	$190	190	0	+190	Yes	+$0	09-17 18:07
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	1	$174	176	0	+176	No	+$3	06-26 08:58
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$158	159	0	+159	Yes	+$1	05-29 07:36
Citrea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$157	158	0	+158	Yes	+$1	05-27 08:08
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	1	$155	157	0	+157	No	+$1	08-10 23:27
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	1	$155	155	0	+155	No	+$1	08-09 19:54
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$149	150	0	+150	No	+$1	08-17 10:23
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$149	158	0	+158	Yes	+$9	05-26 04:10
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$148	149	0	+149	No	+$0	08-05 01:18
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$148	149	0	+149	No	+$1	08-15 13:45
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	1	$148	149	0	+149	No	+$0	08-13 14:45
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$148	149	0	+149	Yes	+$1	08-20 18:58
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$148	148	0	+148	No	+$1	08-14 11:50
Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?	1	$148	148	0	+148	Yes	+$0	08-07 01:43
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	1	$146	156	0	+156	No	+$10	08-07 17:26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	2	$144	75	75	+0	No	+$0	08-25 14:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$137	142	0	+142	No	+$5	05-19 14:09
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$116	138	0	+138	Yes	+$22	05-16 10:28
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	12	$108	55	55	+0	Yes	+$0	10-04 19:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 12:09:20	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	183	62¢	$113	0xb91f7f…
10-17 08:51:48	Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x097201…
10-16 02:34:42	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x11c9ff…
10-15 22:02:39	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xb0b099…
10-14 07:29:43	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	183	62¢	$113	0x7122c1…
10-14 01:22:50	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc07428…
10-13 02:42:44	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xd54a4c…
10-13 02:16:59	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0x5d62ed…
10-12 22:03:35	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0x757937…
10-12 20:26:05	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x8d7008…
10-11 16:19:34	Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x387678…
10-08 19:52:20	Will Solana reach $190 in October?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x974148…
10-04 23:59:43	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	208	100¢	$208	0x7f52ec…
10-04 19:45:22	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x12bdad…
10-04 03:35:04	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x1b4028…
10-04 01:59:23	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	No	SELL	183	66¢	$121	0xe89dcb…
10-02 11:03:12	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xaf48b9…
10-02 08:12:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x09b919…
10-02 08:12:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x75a6c7…
10-02 08:12:39	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcf14b6…
10-02 08:12:39	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xabec36…
10-02 08:12:39	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x51fdf1…
10-02 08:12:39	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x436ead…
10-02 08:12:39	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1a5933…
10-02 08:12:30	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xce108c…
10-02 08:12:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xf08712…
10-02 08:04:30	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa8b4fe…
10-02 06:19:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1defbf…
10-01 02:04:57	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	No	BUY	183	63¢	$116	0x04bfb3…
10-01 01:34:27	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0xde1246…
09-30 18:56:47	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xe067b3…
09-30 14:06:53	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xd411c7…
09-29 14:28:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5b4228…
09-29 11:30:50	Will Solana dip to $20 in September?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcc7777…
09-29 07:16:08	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x0822f9…
09-28 05:10:03	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x135f7e…
09-26 11:43:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x97515a…
09-25 00:23:11	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	116	92¢	$106	0xe3353d…
09-24 10:21:02	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe9090d…
09-22 12:38:52	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7ae215…
09-17 21:43:40	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2a0034…
09-17 18:07:33	Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch	Yes	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x685dbf…
09-16 10:14:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x6c0473…
09-16 00:59:36	Will Solana dip to $20 in September?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd791ed…
09-10 14:06:15	LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	197	99¢	$195	0x8b805b…
09-10 01:21:43	LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	188	99¢	$186	0x32e831…
09-10 00:42:43	LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	188	99¢	$186	0xa73413…
09-05 01:36:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	197	99¢	$196	0xb9ebdf…
09-01 11:10:27	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	182	100¢	$181	0x2a1f55…
09-01 01:09:30	Will Solana dip to $90 in August?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb06742…
08-27 18:56:04	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x106e0c…
08-25 14:11:28	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	75	96¢	$72	0xe790cd…
08-25 09:44:54	Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in August?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x502e30…
08-25 09:43:55	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x181a92…
08-25 09:41:54	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x359e8c…
08-25 08:37:21	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	79	97¢	$77	0xd97caa…
08-25 04:20:10	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x978007…
08-24 07:16:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	75	96¢	$72	0x55bc82…
08-20 18:58:30	Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	149	99¢	$148	0x6f3381…
08-18 10:43:13	will xauusd dip to 3900 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x131f21…
08-17 10:23:42	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0xc86efe…
08-15 13:45:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	149	99¢	$148	0xa58e0f…
08-14 22:10:03	Will ByteDance be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xad365d…
08-14 11:50:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0xc80d28…
08-14 04:12:31	will xagusd dip to 48 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4b40c8…
08-13 14:45:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	149	100¢	$148	0x597178…
08-12 20:03:57	will nvda dip to 152 in august 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfeb2cb…
08-12 00:25:49	Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x849cf3…
08-10 23:27:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	157	99¢	$155	0x0686e9…
08-09 19:54:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x357896…
08-07 17:26:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	156	94¢	$146	0x0f5500…
08-07 17:25:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	SELL	161	90¢	$144	0x441995…
08-07 16:45:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	161	92¢	$148	0x9e6c72…
08-07 01:43:34	Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x120d27…
08-05 03:22:54	will ethereum dip to 1100 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x449635…
08-05 01:18:14	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	149	100¢	$148	0xbcf42d…
08-04 18:17:51	will ethereum dip to 1100 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x7696b7…
08-04 14:00:38	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8e6258…
08-03 18:54:09	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf64d27…
08-03 17:59:05	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1ed7ad…
08-03 17:46:09	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd058ae…
07-30 17:12:33	GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$73	0x0fdefb…
07-29 23:15:47	will ethereum dip to 1500 in july 2026 446 668	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc6008a…
07-28 07:46:30	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x99f0b7…
07-27 09:18:36	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa0ad2a…
07-26 04:21:04	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x744faa…
07-25 18:19:28	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xee732b…
07-23 18:08:15	will xagusd reach 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7fc1e5…
07-23 07:38:58	will spy dip to 680 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0xd4fc8f…
07-22 08:03:18	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa8644d…
07-22 07:09:33	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x9a03f3…
07-21 19:05:13	will spy dip to 680 in july 2026	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xc17c89…
07-21 06:27:24	will xagusd dip to 44 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x72ad80…
07-20 22:45:04	will ethereum dip to 1100 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc5d301…
07-19 17:04:51	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x141743…
07-17 06:54:16	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x55e898…
07-16 12:50:41	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f8de3…
07-13 11:21:31	will ethereum dip to 1100 in july 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x55002f…
06-29 13:45:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x4bdfd4…
06-28 21:38:44	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x9368d7…