Nutritious-Hardboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$995

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-27 08:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 100% +$1

Other

27% — —

Politics

25% 100% +$2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Citrea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$157	158	+158	open	—	05-27 08:08
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$149	158	+158	open	—	05-26 04:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$137	142	+142	open	—	05-19 14:09
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$116	138	+138	open	—	05-16 10:28
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$49	50	+50	Yes	+$0	05-05 04:21
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$47	47	+47	open	—	04-01 18:37
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$32	32	+32	open	—	05-15 04:41
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$32	32	+32	open	—	05-14 18:36
Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$31	32	+32	Yes	+$1	05-12 20:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$30	31	+31	No	+$1	05-09 12:34
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-14 04:39
msft above 405 on january 30 2026	2	$10	10	+10	open	—	01-09 03:05
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	04-21 08:59
meta above 760 on january 30 2026	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	01-24 02:25
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	04-23 21:23
aapl above 210 on march 31 2026	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	03-31 00:51
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 end of April?	2	$6	6	+6	open	—	04-19 16:31
will hyperliquid hit 42 in january	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	01-08 07:56
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-07 16:34
googl above 400 on february 27 2026	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	02-25 02:04
Will XRP reach $2.60 in April?	2	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-15 21:11
will chainlink dip to 6 in january	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	01-10 01:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-07 16:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	05-07 10:05
tsla above 540 on january 30 2026	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	01-17 13:47
amzn above 260 on february 27 2026	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	02-21 01:03
meta above 540 on january 30 2026	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	01-11 11:48
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?	2	$3	3	+3	open	—	05-08 23:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	04-23 08:56
will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	2	$3	3	+3	open	—	04-12 06:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 08:08:04	Citrea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	158	100¢	$157	0xc0f4c2…
05-26 04:10:26	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	158	94¢	$149	0xeb8ad5…
05-19 14:09:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	142	96¢	$137	0xb65d65…
05-16 10:28:37	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	138	84¢	$116	0x77d2d5…
05-15 04:41:21	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x6e6a2d…
05-14 18:36:15	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xa12054…
05-12 20:49:52	Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x171c3d…
05-09 12:34:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xd09634…
05-08 23:41:30	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2b3896…
05-08 09:05:47	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x78d1f7…
05-07 16:55:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x57cb23…
05-07 16:34:19	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0xb5b845…
05-07 10:05:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0xd9ccc6…
05-06 18:11:07	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9e16f5…
05-06 15:06:47	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa19144…
05-05 04:21:12	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x7fc1d0…
04-28 16:34:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2175be…
04-23 21:23:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8bfed2…
04-23 08:56:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf72f37…
04-23 08:32:16	Will BNB dip to $300 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8c2990…
04-21 08:59:50	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0x208c7e…
04-19 16:31:20	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 end of April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7791f5…
04-18 07:42:36	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7831b4…
04-17 11:39:22	Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x61b1d1…
04-16 19:01:40	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 end of April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2d0968…
04-15 22:32:16	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $60 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x94e737…
04-15 21:11:48	Will XRP reach $2.60 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x24c61f…
04-14 04:39:07	Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x112415…
04-13 14:05:53	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x558bab…
04-13 05:29:27	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa04007…
04-12 16:03:11	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3221fe…
04-12 06:24:51	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5e5bb8…
04-10 22:58:13	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x52c3de…
04-10 17:17:35	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x375e65…
04-10 12:44:45	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x853e22…
04-10 06:20:29	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x58489c…
04-08 13:29:17	Will XRP reach $2.60 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7d5d47…
04-07 05:59:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbac725…
04-06 01:45:53	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4bfffd…
04-05 23:12:03	Will Baidu have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6737c2…
04-01 18:37:11	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xf00f16…
03-31 00:51:25	aapl above 210 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x67a20f…
03-30 03:08:18	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x31300c…
03-29 21:24:20	will chainlink dip to 2 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf0efbd…
03-28 22:39:20	will ethereum dip to 1400 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x004874…
03-25 20:45:55	msft above 435 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8d5967…
03-23 23:36:01	amzn above 250 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6182b3…
03-23 10:41:17	will xrp reach 2pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x473a14…
03-23 08:15:01	will solana reach 150 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf9d1a5…
03-23 04:27:37	nvda above 230 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9286b6…
03-23 02:26:55	googl above 250 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x07dcc0…
03-21 22:03:57	will ethereum dip to 1000 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5e91a3…
03-21 20:26:31	will ethena reach 0pt32 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x59a639…
03-21 13:01:01	will anthropic have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x392ba9…
03-21 02:01:51	nflx above 40 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5a7cd3…
03-12 06:48:43	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7f097e…
03-12 05:54:13	will hyperliquid dip to 16 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3f7ff4…
03-11 15:16:23	will solana reach 140 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2a62fb…
03-11 00:54:59	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x634e67…
03-10 19:28:27	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5bf8e5…
03-10 13:54:21	will moonshot have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe9f86b…
03-10 07:17:27	bank of england decreases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting 876	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x552269…
03-08 14:47:13	will meituan have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1fc40a…
03-08 12:25:37	will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4a9d2b…
03-08 10:44:31	nflx above 180 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfae674…
03-08 07:46:41	amzn above 260 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x15dff7…
03-08 01:13:25	will bnb reach 900 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1144cb…
03-07 21:09:03	will chainlink reach 20 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb10edb…
03-06 18:41:37	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5c4cdf…
03-06 18:32:37	will oracle be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd42a83…
03-05 20:04:21	will chainlink reach 20 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x115f4d…
03-05 18:02:21	will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x077d68…
03-05 12:19:19	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa37929…
03-05 09:06:19	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3bd573…
03-05 02:38:01	nvda above 240 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc72a34…
03-04 05:09:05	googl above 370 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x81e371…
03-03 12:25:49	will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5325e2…
02-25 02:04:54	googl above 400 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0xc67126…
02-23 12:15:38	will meituan have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9d69da…
02-21 02:29:40	pltr above 160 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x956749…
02-21 01:55:54	will solana dip to 40 in february 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x91b773…
02-21 01:03:34	amzn above 260 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x498459…
02-10 07:17:59	googl above 380 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6ee77d…
01-24 02:25:52	meta above 760 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xac2df4…
01-20 23:09:58	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xdd6a2c…
01-19 00:24:26	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1651e7…
01-17 13:47:42	tsla above 540 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0x346a88…
01-15 11:33:52	si hit 25 low jan 2026 271 644 727	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x896cea…
01-14 04:10:22	will xrp reach 4 in january 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8ca8da…
01-12 10:39:02	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in january	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5bdd06…
01-11 11:48:42	meta above 540 on january 30 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfe3e8f…
01-10 01:25:12	will chainlink dip to 6 in january	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf97538…
01-09 03:05:42	msft above 405 on january 30 2026	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x7a3b22…
01-08 07:56:13	will hyperliquid hit 42 in january	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa42242…
01-06 23:29:33	msft above 405 on january 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xea7077…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	55	$937	907	05-26 19:36
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	53	$115.0K	2,067	05-26 14:10
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	52	$844	639	03-27 21:00
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	51	$3.69K	3,138	04-26 14:42
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	46	$2.80K	1,213	05-26 10:31
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	45	$9.50K	228	05-24 13:39
Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774	42	$1.64K	1,704	05-26 14:10
Spirited-Motion 0x70b6…aa2f	34	$578	711	05-11 15:00