Realized P&L
-$185
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
46.9%
Resolved
248
Trades
735
lifetime
Volume
$1.80K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$36
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-19
last 10-24 03:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Other
41% 31% -$147
Politics
36% 41% +$6
Crypto
22% 34% -$46
Sports
1% 20% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +74 $19 30¢ $22 +$3 10-24 02:53
Trump out as President before 2027? No -9 -$8 96¢ $-9 -$1 05-11 10:40
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +2 $1 92¢ $2 +$1 09-25 17:21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +117 $7 1¢ $1 -$5 09-18 18:37
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -1 -$1 99¢ $-1 $0 05-11 10:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +4 $1 21¢ $1 $0 09-25 17:20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +110 $5 1¢ $1 -$4 09-04 22:50
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? Yes +15 $2 1¢ $0 -$1 07-01 14:29
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +8 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 07-16 15:19
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? Yes -6 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-23 06:26