Noisy-Mineshaft — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

524 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$10.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-02 17:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 60% -$884

Other

3% 59% -$70

Sports

1% 80% +$6

Politics

0% 50% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 16:25 UTC	3	$263	374	216	+159	Down	-$83	04-15 16:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 18:10 UTC	2	$246	147	144	+3	Up	+$28	04-16 18:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 23:20 UTC	2	$243	145	145	+0	Down	+$43	06-09 23:24
bitcoin above 76k on april 17	1	$200	250	0	+250	Yes	-$200	04-16 22:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 23:00 UTC	7	$190	115	115	+0	Up	+$20	06-09 23:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 17:05 UTC	4	$159	233	57	+176	Down	+$34	03-21 17:06
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 18:25 UTC	6	$150	112	106	+6	Up	+$14	04-16 18:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 14:30 UTC	3	$141	262	209	+53	Down	-$58	01-08 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:50 UTC	4	$140	86	86	+0	Down	+$30	06-11 00:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 17:35 UTC	3	$130	186	0	+186	Up	-$95	03-21 17:39
solana up or down april 15 2026 3pm et	2	$128	80	78	+2	Up	+$30	04-15 20:24
bitcoin above 70k on march 19	2	$126	66	66	+0	No	+$6	03-19 17:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 01:30 UTC	5	$125	217	0	+217	Up	+$92	06-11 01:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	6	$124	146	87	+59	Down	+$42	10-02 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	4	$124	75	75	+0	Up	+$4	09-23 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 17:40 UTC	2	$120	234	0	+234	Down	-$102	03-21 17:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 16:00 UTC	3	$118	229	0	+229	Up	+$0	04-15 16:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 18:15 UTC	8	$117	249	75	+174	Up	+$15	04-16 18:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 09:50 UTC	4	$116	105	98	+7	Up	+$12	06-09 09:53
bitcoin above 74k on april 15	2	$113	169	0	+169	No	-$113	04-15 15:47
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 7pm et	2	$109	69	68	+1	Down	+$10	04-15 23:28
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 5pm et	2	$105	56	55	+0	Down	+$6	04-15 22:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 16:15 UTC	2	$101	245	0	+245	Up	+$44	04-15 16:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 18:45 UTC	1	$100	111	0	+111	Up	+$11	04-16 18:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 23:25 UTC	1	$100	161	0	+161	Down	-$100	06-09 23:26
bitcoin above 70k on march 20	1	$100	184	0	+184	No	-$100	03-19 19:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:40 UTC	4	$100	107	0	+107	Down	+$7	06-11 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 22:20 UTC	4	$100	104	0	+104	Down	+$4	06-09 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$97	63	63	+0	Up	-$3	09-23 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	4	$96	72	72	+0	Up	+$16	09-23 21:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 17:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2b9b91…
10-02 02:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x7eb1f6…
10-02 02:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x3086cc…
10-02 02:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x869ec0…
10-02 02:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	48	54¢	$26	0x3f794d…
10-02 02:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xb8ac74…
10-02 02:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	101	5¢	$5	0xef186a…
10-02 02:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	70	62¢	$44	0xc4da6f…
10-02 02:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x526d4d…
10-02 02:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd66839…
10-02 02:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xb55fc9…
10-02 02:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x63a605…
10-02 01:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x4785f1…
10-02 01:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0x2d2acd…
10-02 01:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x821f21…
10-02 01:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xcc264c…
10-02 01:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xfe671a…
10-02 01:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xad3df0…
10-02 01:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xc2cbe8…
10-02 01:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	41	73¢	$30	0x7f5c21…
10-02 01:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x39c5c8…
10-02 01:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	37	57¢	$21	0xc0f7d1…
10-02 01:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x5b783b…
10-02 01:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	45	51¢	$23	0xaef938…
10-02 01:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x76d966…
10-02 01:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	900	1¢	$9	0x7be5d0…
10-02 01:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	21	67¢	$14	0x13339a…
10-02 01:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x050abf…
10-02 01:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	24	64¢	$16	0xac9faa…
10-02 01:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x96a8b0…
10-02 01:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	495	2¢	$10	0x922f0f…
10-02 01:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	48	66¢	$31	0xbe2ecb…
10-02 01:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x364d2c…
10-02 01:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x260696…
10-02 01:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x9e2c5d…
10-02 01:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x1d4ab4…
10-02 01:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x0cf264…
10-02 01:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x302648…
10-02 01:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x7465d4…
10-02 01:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7f1fb0…
10-02 01:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xab7d3d…
10-02 01:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x482fcf…
10-02 00:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xd93165…
10-02 00:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0xebe5a4…
10-02 00:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x82d850…
10-02 00:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe24e41…
10-02 00:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbe4ce1…
10-02 00:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x557fe8…
10-02 00:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2512a3…
10-02 00:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0x2ec6db…
10-02 00:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	79¢	$4	0x8bac1e…
10-02 00:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf0706f…
10-02 00:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8ab07d…
10-02 00:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd38aa1…
10-02 00:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0eae6a…
10-02 00:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc641f2…
10-02 00:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa53572…
10-02 00:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xdf09dc…
10-02 00:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x057be1…
09-24 16:24:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0x339577…
09-23 22:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x02ab98…
09-23 22:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x943acf…
09-23 22:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb8f47e…
09-23 21:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x555a22…
09-23 21:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x9edc63…
09-23 21:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	66	40¢	$26	0x576203…
09-23 21:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	66	61¢	$40	0xfa2a45…
09-23 21:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	27	95¢	$26	0xef2b88…
09-23 21:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xef873a…
09-23 21:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x88c609…
09-23 21:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	39	78¢	$30	0xb55c4e…
09-23 21:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1d37b4…
09-23 21:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x226702…
09-23 21:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x49fc19…
09-23 21:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x24411d…
09-23 21:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	38	58¢	$22	0x3e70b1…
09-23 21:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xdec529…
09-23 21:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x9879b9…
09-23 21:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	41	88¢	$36	0x03d061…
09-23 21:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xad71e9…
09-23 21:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4e8640…
09-23 21:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x55f4f2…
09-23 21:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x9fe1e4…
09-23 21:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0x051ec1…
09-23 21:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x2c16da…
09-23 21:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x46a79d…
09-23 21:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	33	81¢	$26	0xee277d…
09-23 21:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x02ce60…
09-23 21:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	31	68¢	$21	0x80337c…
09-23 21:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xee6748…
09-23 20:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x8bde5c…
09-23 20:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x546c78…
09-23 20:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x9f77b8…
09-23 20:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xd7b3a3…
09-23 20:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	35	66¢	$23	0x53912c…
09-23 20:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x4f49fd…
09-23 20:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x6c6254…
09-23 20:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xfa90ef…
09-23 20:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xb117ce…
09-23 20:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0xfce74a…