Realized P&L
+$110.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$16.1K
Hit rate
81.1%
Resolved
5,887
Trades
218,659
lifetime
Volume
$3.85M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$192.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-12
last 10-27 11:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 164 days
Categories
Other
59% 50% +$49,753
Sports
34% 56% +$34,396
Politics
7% 43% +$26,401
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$22
Crypto
0% 12% -$43
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 5914 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +47,966 $31,250 78¢ $37.2K +$5,924 10-27 08:30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +30,138 $28,961 100¢ $30.1K +$1,146 09-04 18:44
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +30,378 $27,720 94¢ $28.4K +$683 10-27 12:33
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes +14,576 $1,721 97¢ $14.1K +$12,381 10-15 02:17
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +37,777 $17,463 35¢ $13.3K -$4,147 10-27 12:45
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +9,679 $8,456 97¢ $9.4K +$918 10-27 01:51
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +9,476 $8,879 88¢ $8.3K -$559 10-24 01:01
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No +10,115 $8,885 72¢ $7.3K -$1,602 10-05 00:38
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +6,211 $6,140 99¢ $6.2K +$19 10-23 16:47
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +4,026 $3,880 95¢ $3.8K -$39 10-27 07:55
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? No +3,535 $3,393 99¢ $3.5K +$117 10-23 23:20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +3,096 $2,827 94¢ $2.9K +$83 10-23 12:16
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +5,259 $894 55¢ $2.9K +$1,972 06-03 04:44
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +6,215 $5,501 46¢ $2.8K -$2,670 06-03 03:19
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,405 $1,820 94¢ $2.3K +$453 10-23 15:13
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +27,950 $2,142 8¢ $2.1K -$46 10-27 08:40
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +3,540 $140 54¢ $1.9K +$1,787 06-03 03:55
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +8,315 $2,566 22¢ $1.9K -$695 10-23 19:30
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +19,191 $1,385 8¢ $1.6K +$246 10-27 01:44
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +2,127 $1,554 74¢ $1.6K +$31 10-08 21:21
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,710 $1,083 38¢ $1.4K +$346 10-02 17:10
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +3,755 $1,277 36¢ $1.3K +$56 10-04 23:41
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,708 $1,601 76¢ $1.3K -$302 10-15 09:13
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,500 $1,335 86¢ $1.3K -$38 10-21 15:55
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +1,278 $1,241 100¢ $1.3K +$34 10-13 16:29
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +1,265 $1,187 96¢ $1.2K +$31 10-23 12:21
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +9,307 $685 8¢ $791 +$106 10-26 04:23
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +854 $720 89¢ $758 +$38 10-23 17:27
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +631 $499 90¢ $571 +$72 10-18 19:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +9,509 $779 6¢ $571 -$208 10-27 12:56