Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.28K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

2,353

Trades

38,068

lifetime

Volume

$191.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 09-15 01:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 58% -$796

Politics

10% 47% -$1,450

Other

0% 40% +$3

Sports

0% 33% -$38

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will drake release a new album by december 31	No		-1	$0	94¢	$-1	$0	09-05 00:23
Will Drake release a new album by December 31?	Yes		-1	-$1	6¢	$-0	+$0	09-10 11:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	13	$5.7K	6,409	6,409	+0	Yes	+$337	02-28 06:59
will iran strike israel on march 3	29	$4.1K	12,261	3,013	+9,248	Yes	-$1,662	03-03 22:15
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	3	$2.8K	1,399	1,399	+0	Yes	+$1	02-28 06:45
will israel strike 2 countries in february 2026	6	$2.3K	1,300	1,300	+0	Yes	+$199	03-01 08:34
hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	10	$1.8K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	+$80	02-28 12:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 17:30 UTC	40	$1.4K	1,115	1,038	+77	Up	+$624	02-25 17:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 14:45 UTC	43	$1.3K	1,633	657	+976	Down	+$20	03-18 15:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 15:15 UTC	52	$1.0K	2,447	340	+2,107	Up	-$357	03-18 15:26
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	4	$934	481	481	+0	No	+$19	03-15 18:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 17:15 UTC	43	$911	1,062	854	+208	Up	+$23	02-25 17:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 13:30 UTC	73	$898	1,852	0	+1,852	Up	-$140	03-19 13:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 15:45 UTC	110	$865	1,837	0	+1,837	Down	-$18	03-02 15:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 19:45 UTC	10	$784	1,172	0	+1,172	Down	-$784	03-26 19:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 17:30 UTC	65	$781	1,115	0	+1,115	Down	+$68	03-03 17:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 16:15 UTC	46	$759	1,242	0	+1,242	Down	-$82	03-18 16:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 12:45 UTC	65	$722	1,268	0	+1,268	Down	+$58	03-18 12:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 14:45 UTC	77	$718	1,486	0	+1,486	Up	+$85	03-02 14:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 20:45 UTC	155	$697	1,318	0	+1,318	Down	-$27	02-27 20:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 11:15 UTC	32	$686	718	359	+359	Up	+$284	03-17 11:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 20:45 UTC	62	$681	921	0	+921	Down	-$428	03-02 20:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 15:15 UTC	105	$668	1,148	0	+1,148	Up	+$118	03-02 15:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 14:30 UTC	116	$661	1,284	0	+1,284	Down	+$74	03-03 14:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 15:45 UTC	8	$660	1,434	0	+1,434	Up	-$660	03-19 15:48
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 16:15 UTC	45	$652	1,013	0	+1,013	Down	+$233	03-02 16:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 18:30 UTC	61	$650	1,120	0	+1,120	Down	-$29	03-18 18:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 12:45 UTC	121	$647	1,623	547	+1,076	Up	+$614	02-28 13:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 10:00 UTC	151	$642	1,286	0	+1,286	Up	-$100	03-01 10:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 17:45 UTC	38	$637	1,355	0	+1,355	Up	-$41	03-18 17:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 19:30 UTC	107	$630	1,048	0	+1,048	Up	-$261	03-03 19:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 18:00 UTC	5	$612	1,574	0	+1,574	Up	+$962	02-25 18:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 01:00:21	Will Mario Moreno Arcos win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x2f0ac0…
09-14 22:29:52	Will Manuel Añorve Baños win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	76	1¢	$1	0xc6db60…
09-13 08:46:42	Will the median home value in the US be between $426,000 and $433,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	23	3¢	$1	0x8760a6…
09-13 06:33:45	Will the median home value in the US be between $426,000 and $433,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x8e7792…
09-12 17:04:00	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x7da6e8…
09-12 10:17:37	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0xbf39f9…
09-11 21:14:30	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x6ed61f…
09-11 21:14:30	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x320233…
09-11 13:58:01	Will the median home value in the US be between $426,000 and $433,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xfcf22d…
09-11 08:42:24	Will Magnus Carlberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x838597…
09-10 18:57:04	Will Fabiola Alanís Sámano win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x530e54…
09-10 18:28:37	Will Magnus Carlberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xdbf9e4…
09-10 18:28:37	Will Magnus Carlberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xa664e8…
09-10 11:38:09	Will Drake release a new album by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0x6559b9…
09-10 11:38:00	Will "Beef" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xea7677…
09-10 11:37:52	Will Sue Hickey win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x7bc828…
09-10 11:37:46	Will Mary Duniam win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9ee95c…
09-10 11:37:31	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x5b761b…
09-08 16:14:27	Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xfed46f…
09-08 15:34:06	Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x1483da…
09-08 15:33:58	Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x5c1daf…
09-08 15:33:54	Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x1ffc5f…
09-08 15:33:40	Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x0c3c86…
09-08 15:33:24	Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x49ab6f…
09-08 15:33:13	Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xf963ba…
09-08 15:30:24	Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x1879db…
09-08 14:56:58	Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x63b62d…
09-08 14:54:06	Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x2c0e5d…
09-08 14:48:31	Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xadbcb7…
09-08 09:22:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-08 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	51	3¢	$2	0x653126…
09-08 09:22:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-08 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	112	6¢	$7	0xdbcc71…
09-08 09:22:10	Will Jacqueline Belleau win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x2365ad…
09-08 09:21:45	Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x836d11…
09-08 09:21:34	Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x2ae6c3…
09-08 09:20:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-08 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	239	38¢	$90	0xdcf852…
09-08 09:17:10	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	No	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0xda8ae1…
09-08 07:39:55	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	No	SELL	72	77¢	$55	0x8b7d91…
09-08 07:39:24	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x940636…
09-08 07:37:36	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x511ca0…
09-08 07:37:10	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0x08aaad…
09-08 07:15:52	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	229	3¢	$8	0x1c3016…
09-08 06:55:06	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x2e3cc4…
09-07 14:57:45	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	279	26¢	$73	0xaeddc1…
09-07 14:57:30	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	SELL	154	47¢	$73	0x4fcf27…
09-06 07:36:57	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	BUY	24	68¢	$16	0xbebdf0…
09-06 06:01:01	Will Fabiola Alanís Sámano win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xbef30a…
09-06 06:00:51	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x033a9e…
09-06 06:00:42	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0xb02239…
09-06 06:00:09	Will Michael Johnstone win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0xd0eb92…
09-06 05:59:51	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xa84acd…
09-06 05:59:37	Will Union Centriste have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?	No	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x217b5c…
09-06 05:59:21	Will Baba Wali win the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xfae996…
09-05 17:33:39	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0xccb3c1…
09-05 17:33:15	Will Marián Porvažník win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0x159c5b…
09-05 17:33:04	Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Yes	SELL	25	19¢	$5	0xc89680…
09-05 17:30:15	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	No	BUY	106	76¢	$80	0xac14dd…
09-05 17:29:46	Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?	Yes	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x566b55…
09-05 17:29:37	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0x2e9635…
09-05 17:29:30	Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?	Yes	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0x5177b5…
09-05 17:29:21	Will Don Woodstock win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x2042bf…
09-05 17:29:06	Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	48	22¢	$10	0x42913d…
09-05 17:28:55	Will Gisèle Pouhe Njall win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	39	48¢	$19	0x691503…
09-05 17:28:48	Will the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	64¢	$19	0xb084e4…
09-05 17:07:45	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	BUY	118	67¢	$79	0xc53c4f…
09-05 16:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x88ac89…
09-05 16:42:25	Will Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko win the Falealili 1 by-election?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xb6076c…
09-05 16:41:34	Will Marek Hattas win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	No	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x8aca0f…
09-05 16:40:58	Will Kristian Horvath win the next Sorell mayoral election?	No	SELL	10	77¢	$7	0xe283a7…
09-05 16:39:43	Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	36	24¢	$9	0x65f154…
09-05 16:35:01	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x527f66…
09-05 16:34:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x7dc99c…
09-05 16:34:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0x87a5d5…
09-05 16:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x73ea1f…
09-05 16:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xa4b2ea…
09-05 16:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x57625b…
09-05 16:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x34b189…
09-05 16:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x93ba8c…
09-05 16:20:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xae73b9…
09-05 16:20:06	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb0ce91…
09-05 16:19:13	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x64d2d7…
09-05 16:10:51	Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	No	SELL	38	61¢	$23	0x0532b2…
09-05 16:04:00	Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x072602…
09-05 16:03:58	Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf300ec…
09-05 16:03:57	Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xef4c35…
09-05 16:03:55	Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd8701c…
09-05 16:03:54	Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9b2be0…
09-05 16:03:52	Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd2b68f…
09-05 16:03:52	Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x54f9a4…
09-05 16:03:49	Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfa391f…
09-05 16:03:49	Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x23bb65…
09-05 16:03:48	Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf971bf…
09-05 16:03:45	Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9d80fb…
09-05 16:03:45	Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x763a70…
09-05 16:03:40	Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd33707…
09-05 16:03:40	Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x36f05f…
09-05 15:45:34	Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	No	BUY	35	65¢	$23	0x8baf77…
09-05 15:37:33	Will Sue Hickey win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x37da57…
09-05 15:27:16	Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x76c889…
09-05 15:27:15	Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0x6eeeae…
09-05 15:22:52	Will Marek Hattas win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	No	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xf210f6…