Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$289

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.5%

Resolved

133

Trades

1,006

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-29

last 10-06 19:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

55% 13% -$201

Politics

27% 9% -$53

Tech

11% 9% -$22

Sports

4% 0% -$11

Pop-Culture

3% 0% -$2

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?	8	$203	150	150	+0	open	—	09-19 11:13
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	10	$201	206	206	+0	open	—	09-27 19:34
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	4	$160	100	100	+0	open	—	09-18 07:49
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	2	$118	80	80	+0	open	—	10-03 12:22
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	4	$117	120	120	+0	open	—	10-04 15:23
Will "Turning Point: Generation 9/11" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	4	$107	70	70	+0	Yes	-$6	09-04 13:59
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	4	$106	89	89	+0	open	—	09-15 09:44
Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30?	4	$105	69	69	+0	No	+$0	09-01 14:01
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	4	$104	100	100	+0	Yes	-$8	09-21 17:40
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	7	$103	90	90	+0	open	—	10-04 03:48
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?	7	$100	90	90	+0	open	—	10-01 20:48
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	6	$99	101	101	+0	open	—	09-21 11:17
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	4	$98	100	100	+0	No	+$0	09-18 15:25
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	4	$98	100	100	+0	open	—	10-01 13:07
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?	2	$97	60	60	+0	Under	+$1	09-17 20:28
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	4	$96	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	09-18 08:31
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	4	$95	100	100	+0	open	—	09-11 18:20
Will Drake release a new album by September 30?	5	$90	100	100	+0	No	-$1	09-16 19:26
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$90	100	100	+0	No	-$8	09-22 08:38
Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?	2	$88	60	60	+0	No	-$2	10-04 12:45
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	3	$87	100	100	+0	open	—	09-22 18:18
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	6	$85	86	86	+0	open	—	09-14 07:20
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?	4	$85	70	70	+0	open	—	09-22 06:46
Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?	3	$82	50	50	+0	open	—	09-27 22:52
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?	2	$82	50	50	+0	open	—	09-10 18:56
Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?	2	$82	50	50	+0	No	$0	09-11 21:53
Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.05 by September 30, 2026?	2	$81	50	50	+0	No	-$1	09-10 19:29
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?	2	$81	60	60	+0	open	—	09-21 18:08
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	5	$79	80	80	+0	open	—	09-15 20:27
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	3	$76	50	50	+0	Yes	-$2	09-19 16:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 19:23:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 6?	No	SELL	104	7¢	$7	0x373f8b…
10-06 16:52:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 6?	No	BUY	104	32¢	$33	0x8e41b2…
10-04 15:24:01	Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x3d1e05…
10-04 15:23:56	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0xbc456a…
10-04 15:23:52	Will over 66 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x3f642a…
10-04 15:23:44	Will Maxx Crosby finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most sacks?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x92f023…
10-04 15:23:40	Will Boca Juniors win the 2027 Copa Libertadores?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x7301aa…
10-04 15:23:34	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xdda6d7…
10-04 15:23:28	Will AI solve the odd perfect number problem in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xdec49c…
10-04 15:23:20	Will "The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x79abb3…
10-04 15:23:16	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x4a401c…
10-04 15:23:11	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 210,000 and 230,000?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xfcaad9…
10-04 15:23:05	Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	22¢	$13	0x492f5d…
10-04 15:23:01	Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xf1fa43…
10-04 14:44:55	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x45d38e…
10-04 14:44:47	Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x90f4de…
10-04 14:44:38	Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	60	76¢	$46	0xa44193…
10-04 14:44:31	Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xb10535…
10-04 14:04:46	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xb03040…
10-04 13:42:52	Will the Green Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x67056b…
10-04 13:40:55	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 210,000 and 230,000?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x25213f…
10-04 12:45:11	Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	SELL	60	72¢	$43	0x4b652e…
10-04 12:29:10	Will the Green Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x6fc4a5…
10-04 12:25:47	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x5ec979…
10-04 12:17:02	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xd7bd4a…
10-04 11:42:47	Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	BUY	60	76¢	$45	0x755368…
10-04 10:41:19	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xced0de…
10-04 09:03:46	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xd362c2…
10-04 08:41:10	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0xd9ef07…
10-04 08:30:25	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x297442…
10-04 07:33:41	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xbb65e1…
10-04 07:08:34	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x1baa2a…
10-04 06:39:08	Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?	No	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x74c021…
10-04 04:38:55	Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?	No	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x19fb69…
10-04 03:48:29	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	SELL	50	49¢	$25	0x821f57…
10-04 02:29:02	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?	No	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0x468165…
10-04 02:16:02	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?	No	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0x053da0…
10-04 01:48:25	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x46c463…
10-04 01:04:37	Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xeb4dcf…
10-04 00:58:47	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x85af4b…
10-03 23:51:17	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x9a5fca…
10-03 23:50:50	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x0aa405…
10-03 23:38:04	Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?	No	SELL	45	60¢	$27	0x97e2c9…
10-03 23:26:11	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x2a7bc9…
10-03 23:04:22	Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x9e79bb…
10-03 22:56:05	Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x3fdc97…
10-03 22:09:17	Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	93	13¢	$12	0x8559d7…
10-03 21:51:53	Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x04d110…
10-03 21:36:20	Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x2928b5…
10-03 20:06:17	Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xd43dec…
10-03 18:36:23	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0xc0a4d9…
10-03 18:19:15	Will Donald Trump visit New Hampshire before the midterms?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x7cdd79…
10-03 16:35:27	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x77e32f…
10-03 16:35:23	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xdc00f8…
10-03 16:18:53	Will Donald Trump visit New Hampshire before the midterms?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xf3ec3b…
10-03 14:20:18	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x9b9577…
10-03 13:30:17	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x74503b…
10-03 13:25:33	Will Northern Ireland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x512709…
10-03 13:19:26	Will The Fall-Off (J. Cole) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0x5074cd…
10-03 13:13:26	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x171810…
10-03 12:22:51	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	80	74¢	$59	0x2fb65c…
10-03 12:20:42	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	80	74¢	$59	0x9731c0…
10-03 12:11:47	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x85dcc1…
10-03 12:08:27	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xb98253…
10-03 11:55:32	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x9c80a8…
10-03 11:19:15	Will The Fall-Off (J. Cole) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x3cd294…
10-03 08:16:32	Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0xf6b471…
10-03 08:06:11	Will Northern Ireland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2322cb…
10-03 07:59:51	Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x032233…
10-03 06:41:54	Will "The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x3ece89…
10-03 05:33:03	Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xa82513…
10-03 02:16:29	Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x5878ec…
10-02 23:52:54	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x80cd47…
10-02 23:09:42	Will the highest geomagnetic storm level on October 2 be below G1?	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x35dafb…
10-02 21:48:36	Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x5f6ae7…
10-02 21:44:32	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x8cc0e8…
10-02 20:59:50	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x8b5b2f…
10-02 20:26:36	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0xa9a429…
10-02 19:59:44	Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xd0262a…
10-02 19:41:35	Will Maxx Crosby finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most sacks?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x9cc26e…
10-02 17:52:38	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x072d1e…
10-02 17:46:35	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xb3ed83…
10-02 17:11:00	Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	60	72¢	$43	0x3bc30a…
10-02 17:10:59	Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xf47bbb…
10-02 16:40:12	Will the highest geomagnetic storm level on October 2 be below G1?	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x3c6c12…
10-02 15:22:56	Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	1	58¢	$0	0x46c909…
10-02 13:38:48	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xeda559…
10-02 12:58:57	Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x3e16ed…
10-02 12:37:42	Will BC.Game Esports qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?	No	SELL	17	36¢	$6	0x34f267…
10-02 12:20:24	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x112b35…
10-02 12:20:23	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0xd314ad…
10-02 12:10:41	Will BC.Game Esports qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?	No	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x7d8a47…
10-02 11:47:00	Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xff93f3…
10-02 11:36:02	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x4f90ea…
10-02 10:33:09	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xe071ed…
10-02 10:05:05	Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xf3e751…
10-02 09:22:47	Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	1	62¢	$0	0xbb352b…
10-02 09:02:56	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0x37ed93…
10-02 08:38:02	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	SELL	40	56¢	$22	0xdb32f2…
10-02 08:16:29	Will Boca Juniors win the 2027 Copa Libertadores?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x780d8f…