Celebrated-Caffeine — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$9

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

48.7%

Resolved (7d)

102

Trades (7d)

107

7,370 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$286

$24.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-22

last 11-03 12:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 234 days

Categories

Other

47% 39% -$598

Sports

43% 47% -$177

Crypto

10% 48% -$138

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?	Yes		-24	-$2	4¢	$-1	+$1	09-04 17:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mex pac tol 2026 03 22 pac	21	$392	820	768	+52	No	-$23	03-22 20:03
mls por vwh 2026 03 07 vwh	3	$266	568	568	+0	Yes	-$16	03-08 04:16
nhl cal nj 2026 03 12 spread home 1pt5	12	$126	117	96	+21	Flames	+$7	03-12 21:30
nhl wsh phi 2026 03 11	8	$98	104	80	+23	Flyers	-$13	03-11 15:45
nhl mon ott 2026 03 11	8	$94	133	103	+30	Canadiens	+$16	03-11 15:45
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Color - Map 1 Winner	31	$88	166	166	+0	Color	-$76	09-13 17:22
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on August 2?	14	$68	35	35	+0	No	+$2	08-02 18:27
ufc sam1 pie 2026 03 14	5	$60	70	35	+35	Piera Rodriguez	+$14	03-14 03:39
highest temperature in seattle on april 11 2026 53forbelow	10	$49	116	85	+30	No	-$8	04-12 00:36
nhl sea tb 2026 03 26 spread home 1pt5	4	$47	32	32	-0	Kraken	+$17	03-27 02:21
nhl edm stl 2026 03 13 total 6pt5	8	$44	50	24	+26	Under	+$20	03-14 02:18
nba nyk ind 2026 03 13 spread away 13pt5	5	$43	51	21	+31	Pacers	+$22	03-14 01:59
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5	6	$41	46	46	+0	Yes	+$0	05-27 01:16
nhl edm stl 2026 03 13	3	$40	44	22	+21	Blues	-$14	03-12 21:52
nhl lak nyi 2026 03 13	3	$40	61	30	+30	Kings	+$17	03-12 21:52
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?	4	$40	58	58	+0	open	—	10-26 23:03
dota2 glyph xctn 2026 06 04	5	$39	39	39	+0	GLYPH	-$8	06-04 13:37
nba lal mia 2026 03 19 spread home 3pt5	3	$38	61	30	+31	Lakers	+$17	03-19 20:58
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 2?	9	$38	25	20	+5	No	+$2	08-02 15:53
nhl mon ott 2026 03 11 total 6pt5	2	$37	51	25	+25	Under	+$13	03-11 15:45
nhl wsh phi 2026 03 11 spread away 1pt5	2	$37	78	39	+39	Flyers	-$13	03-11 15:45
nhl buf chi 2026 04 13 spread away 1pt5	3	$35	42	21	+21	Sabres	-$12	04-13 22:40
elc wre swa 2026 03 13 swa	6	$35	27	17	+10	No	+$6	03-13 21:42
nhl dal tor 2026 04 13 spread away 1pt5	3	$34	39	19	+20	Maple Leafs	+$8	04-13 22:40
elc por der 2026 03 16 btts	3	$33	55	9	+46	No	-$21	03-16 20:19
nhl wpg bos 2026 03 19	3	$33	50	25	+25	Bruins	-$12	03-19 20:58
nhl lak nyi 2026 03 13 spread home 1pt5	5	$33	35	10	+25	Kings	+$11	03-14 00:40
mlb nym chc 2026 04 18 spread away 1pt5	6	$32	27	22	+5	Chicago Cubs	+$3	04-18 20:36
nhl mon ott 2026 03 11 spread home 1pt5	2	$32	35	17	+17	Canadiens	+$6	03-11 15:45
nba orl mia 2026 03 14 spread home 3pt5	8	$32	44	11	+33	Magic	+$20	03-15 02:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 12:56:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x10f9ef…
11-03 12:56:43	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x7e6267…
11-03 12:56:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x2fd522…
11-03 09:59:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x7e4742…
11-03 08:54:52	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-11-03 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2628b3…
11-03 07:58:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x5df55c…
11-03 06:59:00	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x61a3d1…
11-03 04:55:36	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x45814a…
11-03 03:48:18	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x6c145b…
11-03 00:20:40	Flames vs. Sharks	Sharks	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xcd5869…
11-02 16:37:36	Counter-Strike: ILLYRIANS vs Sökerorg (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #13 Group D	ILLYRIANS	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xa8b151…
11-02 14:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xdaf849…
11-02 12:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xddfdec…
11-02 08:55:36	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-11-02 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x4373e3…
11-02 04:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xdc2d5f…
11-02 04:55:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x859969…
11-02 03:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x00aaf7…
11-02 03:56:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xe36773…
11-02 02:59:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x46c40d…
11-02 01:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xb40f8f…
11-02 01:57:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x0df1fc…
11-02 00:58:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x78ce62…
11-02 00:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0xf77e60…
11-02 00:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0x670b21…
11-01 20:56:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x60da9b…
11-01 20:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on November 2?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x80bc05…
11-01 19:57:19	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x2e4f2e…
11-01 17:02:18	AHL: Providence Bruins vs. Lehigh Valley Phantoms	Providence Bruins	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x5967bc…
11-01 17:02:12	AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Belleville Senators	Toronto Marlies	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x73bb77…
11-01 17:02:06	AHL: Hamilton Hammers vs. Utica Comets	Utica Comets	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xbab5be…
11-01 17:02:01	AHL: Hartford Wolf Pack vs. Springfield Thunderbirds	Springfield Thunderbirds	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x443ce2…
11-01 16:55:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xeceb66…
11-01 16:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x817bd9…
11-01 14:59:54	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x7ca5e6…
11-01 14:22:25	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 3°C or below on November 2?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x7417c0…
11-01 12:54:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x47e0a2…
11-01 11:56:52	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x49b68c…
11-01 10:56:15	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd67cc6…
11-01 08:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x803895…
11-01 08:56:55	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x7a54a8…
11-01 08:56:06	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x027b3f…
11-01 08:55:30	BNB Up/Down 4h · 2026-11-01 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x2d1001…
11-01 06:52:06	Hong Kong Sixes: Australia vs Afghanistan	Afghanistan	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6cd301…
11-01 05:20:58	crichksixes aus afg 2026 11 01	Afghanistan	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x52f67f…
11-01 01:56:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x8e3bfd…
11-01 01:30:46	Hong Kong Sixes: Bangladesh vs India	India	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xe6b6ac…
11-01 01:28:39	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be less than -1.0%?	Yes	SELL	129	0¢	$0	0xb3e7bd…
11-01 00:39:42	Hong Kong Sixes: Bangladesh vs India	India	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xa6e07a…
11-01 00:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xb35814…
10-31 16:09:55	Oilers vs. Islanders	Islanders	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x5a6af2…
10-31 16:08:13	SHL: Timrå vs. Luleå	Timrå	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x25fb14…
10-31 16:08:04	AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Cleveland Monsters	Cleveland Monsters	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xd83f7a…
10-31 15:39:07	KBO Playoff: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	Kia Tigers	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xce8563…
10-31 13:18:13	SHL: Växjö vs. Färjestad	Växjö	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xa68451…
10-31 11:20:19	Counter-Strike: Saint Sinners vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #13 Group C	Misa Esports	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x4bab7c…
10-31 08:32:09	Valorant: Unsettled Resentment vs World Sports Invictus Gaming (BO3) - VCT Threshold China Week 2	Unsettled Resentment	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x8af5b1…
10-31 08:23:37	Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs Phantom - Map 1 Winner	Spirit Academy	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x25cd73…
10-31 08:23:13	cs2 bca 9ine 2026 10 31 game1	9INE	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe749cf…
10-30 22:05:09	AHL: Henderson Silver Knights vs. Coachella Valley Firebirds	Henderson Silver Knights	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4a6ce9…
10-30 22:05:01	AHL: Manitoba Moose vs. Rockford IceHogs	Rockford IceHogs	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xc69d91…
10-30 22:04:54	AHL: Tucson Roadrunners vs. Ontario Reign	Tucson Roadrunners	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x78a363…
10-30 22:04:46	AHL: Lehigh Valley Phantoms vs. Rochester Americans	Rochester Americans	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x03c803…
10-30 22:04:40	AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Cleveland Monsters	Cleveland Monsters	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xfe7ef9…
10-30 22:04:33	AHL: Providence Bruins vs. Springfield Thunderbirds	Springfield Thunderbirds	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xc2d96f…
10-30 22:04:25	AHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Utica Comets	Utica Comets	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x75b4ad…
10-30 19:54:52	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc85419…
10-30 19:51:49	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 30?	No	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xe4482f…
10-30 18:30:34	Barcelona vs. Valencia	Valencia	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x764af0…
10-30 15:54:31	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x823eab…
10-30 15:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x440448…
10-30 15:13:15	BC Dubai vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv	Hapoel Tel Aviv	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x305327…
10-30 12:09:13	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xe44c2f…
10-30 09:21:52	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x5a7a7f…
10-30 08:24:40	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #12 Playoffs	GenOne	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0x1d0abf…
10-30 07:54:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x91e351…
10-30 06:21:58	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x6dca5d…
10-30 06:10:10	Hong Kong Sixes: India vs Pakistan - Who wins the toss?	India	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x0ad5be…
10-30 06:08:43	Hong Kong Sixes: India vs Pakistan - Who wins the toss?	India	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9a2b30…
10-29 23:54:39	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xcd2eae…
10-29 23:54:31	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x246b06…
10-29 21:21:57	KBO Playoff: Samsung Lions vs. Kia Tigers	Samsung Lions	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x2217ec…
10-29 19:54:46	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x4d6c04…
10-29 12:20:25	Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0xfb7333…
10-29 12:20:08	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 5.50%?	Yes	SELL	81	0¢	$0	0x72861a…
10-29 12:19:49	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x7648f9…
10-29 11:55:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa2357e…
10-28 23:54:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xed3ec6…
10-28 23:54:31	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x131dd5…
10-28 23:36:35	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 29?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x8e07f6…
10-28 22:31:58	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Knicks	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x1354e8…
10-28 22:31:50	Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x61198b…
10-28 22:31:43	76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5	Under	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x5763ec…
10-28 22:31:35	Spread: Hawks (-1.5)	Heat	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x12ee24…
10-28 22:30:14	Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5	Under	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x29b10d…
10-28 20:14:26	Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Stars vs Hobart Hurricanes	Hobart Hurricanes	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0x38ad0e…
10-28 19:55:13	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1eca5b…
10-28 19:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x606b3e…
10-28 18:21:08	Virtus Bologna vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	Zalgiris Kaunas	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xafb8f9…
10-28 13:21:43	Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Stars vs Hobart Hurricanes	Hobart Hurricanes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5cbe7a…
10-28 11:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x17ccf7…