Square-Success — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

84.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$650

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$49

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 08-06 09:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

77% 100% +$5

Sports

15% 0% —

Crypto

8% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-06).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+49	$49	100¢	$49	+$0	06-03 06:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx opens up or down on march 9 2026	2	$324	219	219	+0	Down	+$4	03-07 21:23
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$95	47,464	47,464	+0	No	+$0	06-19 06:40
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$49	49	0	+49	open	—	06-03 06:34
nvda above 170 on february 6 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	Yes	+$0	02-03 07:07
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	01-09 08:24
nvda above 165 on february 6 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	Yes	+$0	02-03 07:07
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-06 10:54
will googl reach 430 in february	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	02-03 07:08
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-06 10:53
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	01-09 08:24
will amzn close above 255 week january 9 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	01-09 08:23
will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	02-03 07:07
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-06 10:53
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-06 10:53
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-06 10:53
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-06 10:54
will msft reach 630 in february	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	02-03 07:07
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-06 10:53
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-06 10:53
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-06 10:53
will amzn close between 215 and 220 week january 9 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	01-09 08:23
will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	01-09 08:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 3?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-03 13:09
will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of february 767 713 548 338 651 365 876 463 984 145	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	02-03 07:07
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 4?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-03 13:11
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on May 4?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-03 13:10
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C or below on May 4?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-03 13:10
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or higher on May 4?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-03 13:10
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C or higher on May 4?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-03 13:11
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C or higher on May 4?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-03 13:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 09:28:32	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa04fbc…
07-04 16:29:08	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xefb1c9…
06-19 06:40:02	Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	47,464	0¢	$47	0xfd250c…
06-19 06:28:37	Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	201	0¢	$0	0x67848a…
06-19 06:24:37	Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	46,738	0¢	$47	0x500e95…
06-19 06:22:46	Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	526	0¢	$1	0x7d7402…
06-03 06:34:33	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0xc97f6b…
05-06 10:54:32	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x582e54…
05-06 10:54:10	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5351b0…
05-06 10:54:04	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x966d2b…
05-06 10:53:58	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x63fabf…
05-06 10:53:48	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcee2e8…
05-06 10:53:40	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1f58cb…
05-06 10:53:30	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5b0e15…
05-06 10:53:22	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xac9186…
05-06 10:53:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6aaf08…
05-06 10:53:10	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2fb137…
05-03 13:11:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C or higher on May 4?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x46849b…
05-03 13:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 4?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x238b93…
05-03 13:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 4?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd3a0c9…
05-03 13:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 10°C or below on May 4?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf91a2f…
05-03 13:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or higher on May 4?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x28fb98…
05-03 13:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 4?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x07d618…
05-03 13:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3428c2…
05-03 13:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 4?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xdfec63…
05-03 13:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C or below on May 4?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x21e491…
05-03 13:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C or higher on May 4?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x57f53a…
05-03 13:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 4?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x60bb46…
05-03 13:10:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on May 4?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x48ab2b…
05-03 13:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x626d27…
05-03 13:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc2d68f…
05-03 13:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 4?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x582ccf…
05-03 13:09:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C or below on May 4?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8247e9…
05-03 13:09:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe18d40…
03-07 21:23:11	spx opens up or down on march 9 2026	Down	SELL	219	75¢	$164	0xffc5e9…
03-07 20:43:33	spx opens up or down on march 9 2026	Down	BUY	219	73¢	$160	0x457501…
02-03 07:08:28	will googl reach 430 in february	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1fbcfc…
02-03 07:07:58	will msft reach 630 in february	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4a552f…
02-03 07:07:48	nvda above 225 on february 6 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb07738…
02-03 07:07:36	nvda above 170 on february 6 2026	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x3753d4…
02-03 07:07:26	nvda above 165 on february 6 2026	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xba0d44…
02-03 07:07:12	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xa8ddda…
02-03 07:07:06	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of february 767 713 548 338 651 365 876 463 984 145	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xcca4e0…
01-09 08:24:12	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf8c897…
01-09 08:24:06	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x75eaa4…
01-09 08:23:58	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x17aaaa…
01-09 08:23:50	will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xfd454e…
01-09 08:23:38	will amzn close above 255 week january 9 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb5c851…
01-09 08:23:30	will amzn close between 215 and 220 week january 9 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5e9395…