Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

71.9%

Resolved

1,181

Trades

4,068

lifetime

Volume

$16.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-31

last 10-16 07:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 66% +$34

Other

16% 45% -$38

Politics

2% 23% -$25

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 176 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	—	+1,000	$1	0¢	$2	+$0	07-03 14:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 13:25 UTC	7	$183	95	94	+0	Up	+$4	04-10 13:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 16:10 UTC	7	$170	90	89	+0	Up	+$1	04-10 16:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 13:30 UTC	9	$157	107	106	+1	Down	-$30	04-10 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 13:45 UTC	6	$146	76	76	+0	Up	+$5	04-10 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 06:00 UTC	6	$138	71	71	+0	Down	+$1	04-11 06:05
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?	8	$132	78	78	+0	Yes	+$14	07-04 23:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 14:50 UTC	10	$130	68	68	+0	Up	+$5	04-09 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 07:40 UTC	11	$114	66	66	+0	Up	+$8	07-12 07:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 07:35 UTC	8	$112	81	50	+32	Down	+$8	07-12 07:38
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	23	$110	313	313	+0	No	-$23	04-12 07:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 14:30 UTC	8	$108	63	62	+1	Up	+$4	04-09 14:35
bitcoin above 66k on march 31	2	$98	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	03-31 15:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 12:30 UTC	3	$94	48	48	+0	Up	+$2	04-11 12:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 15:10 UTC	9	$90	49	49	+1	Up	+$7	04-09 15:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 00:35 UTC	8	$85	70	69	+1	Down	-$41	04-10 00:40
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3?	12	$84	75	75	+0	Yes	+$6	08-03 14:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 11:50 UTC	4	$81	41	41	+0	Down	+$0	04-07 11:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 15:00 UTC	7	$79	46	45	+1	Down	+$5	04-09 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 00:40 UTC	4	$69	38	37	+0	Up	+$6	04-10 00:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 12:05 UTC	5	$68	39	34	+4	Down	+$0	04-10 12:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 13:50 UTC	6	$65	38	38	+0	Down	+$1	04-10 13:55
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?	3	$63	33	33	+0	Yes	+$3	07-14 21:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 06:35 UTC	7	$62	37	37	+1	Up	+$7	04-08 06:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 12:25 UTC	6	$61	33	32	+0	Up	+$3	04-10 12:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 15:15 UTC	6	$58	33	33	+1	Up	+$7	04-09 15:20
us x iran meeting by april 11 2026 678	3	$58	30	30	+0	Yes	-$1	04-11 07:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 13:55 UTC	8	$54	30	30	+0	Up	+$2	04-10 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 07:15 UTC	4	$54	63	0	+63	Up	-$23	07-12 07:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 15:40 UTC	5	$54	38	38	+0	Down	-$6	08-03 15:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 16:45 UTC	5	$52	28	28	+0	Down	+$2	07-07 16:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 07:59:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x8fc90d…
10-16 07:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x6e3f8c…
10-16 07:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x47e87b…
10-16 07:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	67¢	$2	0x2a1be5…
10-16 07:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xa1dfb2…
10-16 07:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x498d36…
10-16 07:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0xa20221…
10-16 07:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x90d985…
10-16 07:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x6c49c1…
10-16 07:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x4a9d88…
10-16 07:48:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x11ec1a…
10-16 05:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x05bdd1…
10-16 05:14:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x8de851…
10-16 05:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x97708c…
10-16 05:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x700dba…
10-16 04:51:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0x1ddd32…
10-16 04:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x794cd7…
10-16 04:50:01	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	3¢	$3	0x94ad1f…
10-16 04:49:54	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xac94f5…
10-16 04:18:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x7172ed…
10-15 15:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6f46bd…
10-15 15:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x1e9ed6…
10-15 15:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xf3b37a…
10-15 15:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xb5669c…
10-15 15:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0xa01393…
10-15 15:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x666d4d…
10-15 15:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf3bbd7…
10-15 15:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf9b0bb…
10-15 14:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xb57bfa…
10-15 14:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x0ac500…
10-15 14:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x34346f…
10-15 14:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xd11744…
10-15 14:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	78¢	$3	0x5a2374…
10-15 14:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xdf6ce8…
10-15 14:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xc9538b…
10-15 14:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xee73bb…
10-15 14:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x7939f8…
10-15 14:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xaa6a7b…
10-15 14:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xbade4a…
10-15 14:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x779cc5…
10-15 14:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x35d747…
10-15 14:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x30e10f…
10-15 14:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x7ed8ae…
10-15 14:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x94078d…
10-15 14:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0xb7de0e…
10-15 14:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xc8c6d0…
10-15 14:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x1e0964…
10-15 14:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x71f56e…
10-15 14:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x4cd9db…
10-15 14:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xf4b4cc…
10-15 14:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0xce83a2…
10-15 14:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$4	0x5953b8…
10-15 14:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xdddf0f…
10-15 14:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x4be87e…
10-15 14:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x055e4b…
10-15 11:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x5cf6f3…
10-15 11:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x1e6e19…
10-15 11:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0x0b72ec…
10-15 11:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xeb86d6…
10-15 11:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x6b88bc…
10-15 11:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xab4ecf…
10-15 11:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x763aa5…
10-15 11:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0xf3cc24…
10-15 11:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x2428d8…
10-15 11:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x892633…
10-15 11:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x34bad6…
10-15 11:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x73512a…
10-15 11:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x5c89af…
10-15 11:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xa5da79…
10-15 11:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xc215b4…
10-15 11:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x0e4b1c…
10-15 11:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x195578…
10-15 11:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0bca39…
10-15 11:37:07	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xfba6ab…
10-15 11:35:09	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	9¢	$4	0x1cb2a8…
10-15 11:24:54	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$1	0x7b7473…
10-15 11:23:54	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x78a687…
10-15 11:23:36	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0xf93b6d…
10-15 11:22:49	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0x18fb14…
10-15 11:22:28	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x2d01e4…
10-15 11:20:57	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x6640ef…
10-15 11:19:49	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x6d683c…
10-15 11:19:34	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x181635…
10-14 15:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0xa031a5…
10-14 15:07:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xc6c7fb…
10-14 15:07:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x02fa2d…
10-14 15:06:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:05 UTC	Up	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x58b1d9…
10-14 15:06:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x3f72cd…
10-14 15:01:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0xcb4ef8…
10-14 15:01:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x3df474…
10-14 15:00:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x64551b…
10-14 14:55:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x6138a2…
10-14 14:53:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:50 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcecd06…
10-14 14:53:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x994cf7…
10-14 14:49:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x3460b4…
10-14 14:49:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x1f090c…
10-14 14:48:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfffcfb…
10-14 14:47:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0xea925b…
10-14 14:46:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x5b9f5c…
10-14 14:46:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x30dd76…