Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Down won
Total volume
$49,590
Trades
4,610
Unique wallets
899
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
38¢
Latest NO mid
62¢
End date
2026-10-15
First seen
2026-10-15
last 10-15 11:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+7.8¢
(top1%: 36% YES on $23.2K
vs crowd: 29% YES on $45.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 179 | $9.8K | $20.7K | $10.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 262 | $1.9K | $7.4K | $5.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 277 | $863 | $3.6K | $2.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 181 | $359 | $605 | $246 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 187 | $8.4K | $14.8K | $6.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 111 | $723 | $2.9K | $2.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 45 | $76 | $387 | $310 |
| Median | 51 | $44 | $150 | $105 |
| Below median | 192 | $480 | $1.6K | $1.1K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 111 | $402 | $1.3K | $871 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 140 | $1.2K | $4.4K | $3.2K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 62 | $1.6K | $6.9K | $5.3K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Up | +3,776 | $41 | $41 | 46 | 10-15 11:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xb4f9…0b71 | Down | +3,457 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 2 | 10-15 11:41 |
| Alert-Oncology 0x8470…70c4 | Down | +2,525 | $2,500 | $2,500 | 1 | 10-15 11:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xf6dd…ac58 | Up | +2,481 | $563 | $563 | 3 | 10-15 11:42 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +1,943 | $590 | $590 | 93 | 10-15 11:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Up | +1,591 | $912 | $912 | 25 | 10-15 11:43 |
| Unfinished-Standardisation 0x6d87…4f67 | Down | +1,246 | $1,234 | $1,234 | 1 | 10-15 11:43 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +1,165 | $933 | $933 | 40 | 10-15 11:44 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +1,055 | $282 | $282 | 45 | 10-15 11:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +1,019 | $289 | $289 | 41 | 10-15 11:44 |
| Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | +986 | $976 | $976 | 1 | 10-15 11:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +980 | $498 | $498 | 51 | 10-15 11:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +933 | $393 | $393 | 41 | 10-15 11:44 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Up | +927 | $519 | $519 | 49 | 10-15 11:42 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +909 | $714 | $854 | 57 | 10-15 11:44 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Down | +831 | $421 | $421 | 30 | 10-15 11:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Up | +784 | $148 | $148 | 38 | 10-15 11:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x8169…25bb | Down | +763 | $542 | $542 | 1 | 10-15 11:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Up | +736 | $319 | $319 | 52 | 10-15 11:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Down | +733 | $507 | $507 | 55 | 10-15 11:43 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | +700 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-15 11:43 |
| Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Up | +692 | $457 | $457 | 3 | 10-15 11:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | +662 | $473 | $473 | 11 | 10-15 11:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x4483…54c6 | Up | +631 | $40 | $40 | 29 | 10-15 11:44 |
| Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Down | +625 | $374 | $374 | 23 | 10-15 11:44 |
| Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Up | +620 | $261 | $261 | 22 | 10-15 11:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x855e…5189 | Up | +581 | $328 | $328 | 2 | 10-15 11:42 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | +570 | $518 | $518 | 28 | 10-15 11:45 |
| Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Up | +544 | $396 | $396 | 4 | 10-15 11:42 |
| Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Down | +544 | $269 | $269 | 4 | 10-15 11:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Down | +524 | $421 | $421 | 31 | 10-15 11:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +522 | $341 | $341 | 33 | 10-15 11:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Down | +517 | $315 | $315 | 35 | 10-15 11:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Up | +504 | $258 | $258 | 27 | 10-15 11:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Down | +501 | $386 | $386 | 2 | 10-15 11:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Up | +500 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-15 11:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Up | +500 | $360 | $360 | 1 | 10-15 11:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Up | +495 | $166 | $166 | 37 | 10-15 11:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b | Up | +488 | $232 | $232 | 24 | 10-15 11:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x9446…bcaa | Down | +487 | $455 | $455 | 4 | 10-15 11:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | +474 | $144 | $144 | 16 | 10-15 11:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Up | +471 | $222 | $222 | 30 | 10-15 11:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Down | +469 | $292 | $292 | 14 | 10-15 11:43 |
| Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4 | Up | +466 | $88 | $88 | 23 | 10-15 11:43 |
| Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Up | +440 | $167 | $167 | 33 | 10-15 11:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b | Down | +436 | $287 | $287 | 15 | 10-15 11:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Down | +426 | $281 | $281 | 16 | 10-15 11:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x74ce…b784 | Down | +409 | $400 | $400 | 1 | 10-15 11:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | +401 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-15 11:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | +400 | $396 | $396 | 5 | 10-15 11:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | +400 | $16 | $16 | 8 | 10-15 11:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x54b1…3e83 | Up | +398 | $35 | $35 | 32 | 10-15 11:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xeeeb…1157 | Up | +388 | $32 | $32 | 7 | 10-15 11:44 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +370 | $54 | $54 | 5 | 10-15 11:44 |
| Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Down | +370 | $254 | $254 | 28 | 10-15 11:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xe7f7…4fb4 | Down | +363 | $341 | $341 | 3 | 10-15 11:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x3708…daf9 | Down | +340 | $264 | $264 | 2 | 10-15 11:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x0eaf…1f76 | Down | +316 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 10-15 11:43 |
| Unused-Fly 0x53eb…90eb | Down | +306 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 10-15 11:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x29e6…25b5 | Down | +303 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 10-15 11:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 11:45:57 | Daring-Connotation 0xba2c…fdda | Down | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x3c71e8… |
| 10-15 11:45:57 | (anonymous) 0x08f3…f168 | Down | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x3c71e8… |
| 10-15 11:45:24 | Daring-Connotation 0xba2c…fdda | Down | BUY | 205 | 100¢ | $205 | 0x0372c9… |
| 10-15 11:45:24 | (anonymous) 0x2ff4…9b6f | Down | SELL | 205 | 100¢ | $205 | 0x0372c9… |
| 10-15 11:45:01 | (anonymous) 0xc084…785e | Down | SELL | 27 | 99¢ | $27 | 0x9813a7… |
| 10-15 11:45:01 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 27 | 99¢ | $27 | 0x9813a7… |
| 10-15 11:44:54 | (anonymous) 0xa486…18a5 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x5787d9… |
| 10-15 11:44:54 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 28 | 99¢ | $27 | 0x1641dd… |
| 10-15 11:44:54 | Hefty-Seeker 0x3b6f…0e1d | Down | SELL | 28 | 99¢ | $27 | 0x1641dd… |
| 10-15 11:44:54 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x5787d9… |
| 10-15 11:44:48 | (anonymous) 0xabaa…939e | Down | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xfb1cae… |
| 10-15 11:44:48 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xbb312d… |
| 10-15 11:44:48 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xfb1cae… |
| 10-15 11:44:48 | Remote-Ceramic 0x303f…aa41 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xbb312d… |
| 10-15 11:44:45 | (anonymous) 0x9d70…d6ed | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x9c3b16… |
| 10-15 11:44:45 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x9c3b16… |
| 10-15 11:44:40 | (anonymous) 0x465b…aacb | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xecaac5… |
| 10-15 11:44:40 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xecaac5… |
| 10-15 11:44:39 | (anonymous) 0xc9e3…1cff | Down | SELL | 108 | 99¢ | $107 | 0xc2717f… |
| 10-15 11:44:39 | (anonymous) 0x9eac…2288 | Down | SELL | 26 | 99¢ | $25 | 0xa73bf5… |
| 10-15 11:44:39 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 32 | 99¢ | $32 | 0xc46020… |
| 10-15 11:44:39 | (anonymous) 0xab97…ff0f | Down | SELL | 32 | 99¢ | $32 | 0xc46020… |
| 10-15 11:44:39 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 26 | 99¢ | $25 | 0xa73bf5… |
| 10-15 11:44:39 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 108 | 99¢ | $107 | 0xc2717f… |
| 10-15 11:44:36 | (anonymous) 0x765e…36dd | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf9d484… |
| 10-15 11:44:36 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xf9d484… |
| 10-15 11:44:33 | (anonymous) 0x0a9d…3804 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x743673… |
| 10-15 11:44:33 | Uncommon-Councilman 0x5bbd…268e | Down | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x701563… |
| 10-15 11:44:33 | (anonymous) 0x359f…18e6 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x9e7beb… |
| 10-15 11:44:33 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x743673… |
| 10-15 11:44:33 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x9e7beb… |
| 10-15 11:44:33 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x701563… |
| 10-15 11:44:31 | (anonymous) 0x1a4d…871e | Down | SELL | 14 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x13a00f… |
| 10-15 11:44:31 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x13a00f… |
| 10-15 11:44:30 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x922032… |
| 10-15 11:44:30 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x295f4d… |
| 10-15 11:44:30 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xa52a25… |
| 10-15 11:44:30 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x295f4d… |
| 10-15 11:44:30 | Obvious-Welfare 0x60c2…4746 | Up | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x922032… |
| 10-15 11:44:30 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xa52a25… |
| 10-15 11:44:28 | (anonymous) 0x355d…1c50 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x25c70d… |
| 10-15 11:44:28 | Regular-Settlement 0xea41…14e5 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xbdf84b… |
| 10-15 11:44:28 | Stained-Meaning 0x6972…ebcc | Down | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xeaf342… |
| 10-15 11:44:28 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x250265… |
| 10-15 11:44:28 | (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Down | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xeaf342… |
| 10-15 11:44:28 | (anonymous) 0xf332…b1c0 | Down | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0xeaf342… |
| 10-15 11:44:28 | (anonymous) 0x103c…87d0 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x3c066e… |
| 10-15 11:44:28 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbdf84b… |
| 10-15 11:44:28 | Regular-Settlement 0xea41…14e5 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x0a11e4… |
| 10-15 11:44:28 | Vibrant-Motorcycle 0x45fb…f1f6 | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xce02d1… |
| 10-15 11:44:28 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 60 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xeaf342… |
| 10-15 11:44:28 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x25c70d… |
| 10-15 11:44:28 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4a07a9… |
| 10-15 11:44:28 | (anonymous) 0xeb1f…5b91 | Up | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xeaf342… |
| 10-15 11:44:28 | (anonymous) 0xf332…b1c0 | Down | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x893c30… |
| 10-15 11:44:28 | (anonymous) 0x7395…9d12 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1c6867… |
| 10-15 11:44:28 | Regular-Settlement 0xea41…14e5 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x250265… |
| 10-15 11:44:28 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xa4a2d4… |
| 10-15 11:44:28 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xce02d1… |
| 10-15 11:44:28 | (anonymous) 0xf332…b1c0 | Down | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xa4a2d4… |
| 10-15 11:44:28 | Rural-Reality 0x09fd…c70f | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x4a07a9… |
| 10-15 11:44:28 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0a11e4… |
| 10-15 11:44:28 | Angelic-Sphynx 0xf79d…9fe9 | Down | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xeaf342… |
| 10-15 11:44:28 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x893c30… |
| 10-15 11:44:28 | (anonymous) 0xbe30…eaf5 | Down | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xeaf342… |
| 10-15 11:44:28 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3c066e… |
| 10-15 11:44:28 | (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x1c6867… |
| 10-15 11:44:27 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Up | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfe2499… |
| 10-15 11:44:27 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa60691… |
| 10-15 11:44:27 | (anonymous) 0x355d…1c50 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa60691… |
| 10-15 11:44:27 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6dab4d… |
| 10-15 11:44:27 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x3013bb… |
| 10-15 11:44:27 | (anonymous) 0xc7bf…eeb0 | Down | BUY | 41 | 99¢ | $40 | 0xc659d4… |
| 10-15 11:44:27 | (anonymous) 0x35e9…6253 | Down | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x0eb9d8… |
| 10-15 11:44:27 | Stained-Meaning 0x6972…ebcc | Up | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0eb9d8… |
| 10-15 11:44:27 | (anonymous) 0x355d…1c50 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe7b9f1… |
| 10-15 11:44:27 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x31f210… |
| 10-15 11:44:27 | (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Down | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xe09316… |
| 10-15 11:44:27 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe7b9f1… |
| 10-15 11:44:27 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfe2499… |
| 10-15 11:44:27 | (anonymous) 0x355d…1c50 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x9f10cb… |
| 10-15 11:44:27 | Selfish-Vicinity 0xebee…5ce5 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6dab4d… |
| 10-15 11:44:27 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 41 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc659d4… |
| 10-15 11:44:27 | Stained-Meaning 0x6972…ebcc | Up | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe889c3… |
| 10-15 11:44:27 | Naughty-Dory 0x3ab0…0a44 | Up | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe889c3… |
| 10-15 11:44:27 | (anonymous) 0x5062…332c | Up | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe889c3… |
| 10-15 11:44:27 | (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Down | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x3013bb… |
| 10-15 11:44:27 | Well-Groomed-Pitching 0x596b…21e5 | Up | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x31f210… |
| 10-15 11:44:27 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xe09316… |
| 10-15 11:44:27 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9f10cb… |
| 10-15 11:44:25 | (anonymous) 0xf529…c3de | Down | SELL | 32 | 96¢ | $31 | 0xa0755d… |
| 10-15 11:44:25 | (anonymous) 0xeb1f…5b91 | Up | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa0755d… |
| 10-15 11:44:25 | (anonymous) 0x56f6…e251 | Up | SELL | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8a582a… |
| 10-15 11:44:25 | (anonymous) 0x7b70…a0d5 | Up | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x9cf311… |
| 10-15 11:44:25 | (anonymous) 0x0f90…c9ae | Down | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa0755d… |
| 10-15 11:44:25 | (anonymous) 0xe1e5…5665 | Up | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa0755d… |
| 10-15 11:44:25 | (anonymous) 0x5012…b932 | Down | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x8a582a… |
| 10-15 11:44:25 | (anonymous) 0x56f6…e251 | Up | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x60def0… |
| 10-15 11:44:25 | (anonymous) 0x56f6…e251 | Up | SELL | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x9cf311… |
| 10-15 11:44:25 | (anonymous) 0x54ec…73e4 | Up | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8a582a… |