Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$300

Unrealized P&L

-$29

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$31

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 10-26 23:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

67% 43% +$575

Other

32% 11% -$270

Tech

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+18	$10	54¢	$10	+$0	10-26 23:01
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+34	$10	26¢	$9	-$1	10-26 23:01
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+5,000	$10	0¢	$5	-$5	10-26 06:02
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	Yes	+113	$20	4¢	$4	-$16	10-06 17:54
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+124	$10	2¢	$3	-$7	05-09 19:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	5	$778	699	699	+0	Yes	+$599	05-04 08:08
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$100	407	0	+407	No	-$100	06-22 19:52
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	2	$60	47	47	+0	No	+$32	05-04 08:08
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$40	86	0	+86	No	-$40	04-23 09:17
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?	1	$25	312	0	+312	No	-$25	07-19 16:20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	1	$25	95	0	+95	No	-$25	07-19 16:19
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	1	$25	417	0	+417	No	-$25	07-19 16:20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	1	$25	58	0	+58	No	-$25	07-19 16:20
Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?	1	$20	449	0	+449	open	—	10-08 13:14
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	1	$20	113	0	+113	open	—	10-06 17:54
will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	2	$20	92	0	+92	No	-$20	04-29 10:31
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$20	128	0	+128	No	-$20	05-15 12:17
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$11	295	0	+295	Yes	-$11	05-06 22:58
Will Reform UK win control of the most London borough councils?	2	$11	441	0	+441	No	-$11	05-08 00:43
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$10	34	0	+34	open	—	10-26 23:01
Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$10	42	0	+42	open	—	10-26 23:12
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	1	$10	59	0	+59	open	—	10-26 22:59
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$10	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	10-26 06:02
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?	1	$10	60	0	+60	open	—	10-06 06:45
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?	1	$10	126	0	+126	open	—	10-26 22:58
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	10-26 23:01
Will Eli Lilly (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	10-26 23:14
Plague case in US by December 31?	1	$10	48	0	+48	open	—	10-06 17:53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$10	19	0	+19	Yes	+$9	09-04 16:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$10	21	0	+21	No	-$10	09-04 16:29
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$10	124	0	+124	open	—	05-09 19:20
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	1	$10	59	0	+59	Kolkata Knight Riders	-$10	05-16 17:26
Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	1	$10	287	0	+287	No	-$10	05-06 22:58
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$10	34	0	+34	Yes	+$24	05-15 12:17
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	1	$10	83	0	+83	Yes	-$10	05-05 12:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:14:12	Will Eli Lilly (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x984701…
10-26 23:12:02	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x8873cb…
10-26 23:01:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x47e607…
10-26 23:01:42	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x465e40…
10-26 22:59:29	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xea1b91…
10-26 22:58:33	Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	126	8¢	$10	0x25919d…
10-26 06:02:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x71fce6…
10-08 13:14:09	Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?	Yes	BUY	449	4¢	$20	0x756402…
10-06 17:54:09	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	Yes	BUY	113	18¢	$20	0xc0f813…
10-06 17:53:20	Plague case in US by December 31?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x942f3e…
10-06 06:45:48	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x7a9ae9…
09-04 16:29:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x744804…
09-04 16:29:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xb86afa…
07-19 16:20:57	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0x916e66…
07-19 16:20:49	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	312	8¢	$25	0x21c850…
07-19 16:20:04	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x9fdf16…
07-19 16:19:43	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	95	26¢	$25	0xd4603c…
06-22 19:52:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	407	25¢	$100	0x365443…
05-16 17:26:26	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x71ec12…
05-15 12:17:55	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x2bc4f3…
05-15 12:17:36	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xf74c7b…
05-14 19:15:24	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xeccee1…
05-09 19:20:11	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	8¢	$10	0x154e6e…
05-08 00:43:43	Will Reform UK win control of the most London borough councils?	Yes	BUY	127	8¢	$10	0x0e92a7…
05-07 23:04:50	Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	BUY	908	0¢	$3	0xc9e46c…
05-07 23:04:34	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x7bc9aa…
05-06 22:58:42	Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	1,118	0¢	$5	0x7510a4…
05-06 22:58:19	Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	287	3¢	$10	0x962e72…
05-06 22:58:08	Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	269	4¢	$10	0x049b25…
05-05 12:56:14	Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	No	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x16de6a…
05-04 19:53:12	Will the Green Party win control of the most London borough councils?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x08483a…
05-04 08:08:56	Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0x17c6a7…
05-04 08:08:06	Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	699	99¢	$689	0xca734b…
04-29 10:38:14	Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	47	30¢	$14	0xe8ae68…
04-29 10:37:08	Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xa4540c…
04-29 10:31:22	Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x54b0d3…
04-29 10:31:08	Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xaed437…
04-27 19:37:26	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x9799de…
04-27 19:36:52	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x0d588f…
04-24 21:32:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	213	1¢	$3	0x6efc22…
04-24 21:32:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	32	9¢	$3	0x96e0ba…
04-23 19:46:42	Will the Conservative Party win control of the most London borough councils?	Yes	BUY	281	0¢	$1	0xf78a2a…
04-23 19:46:36	Will the Liberal Democrats win control of the most London borough councils?	Yes	BUY	220	0¢	$1	0x3d8b18…
04-23 19:46:24	Will Reform UK win control of the most London borough councils?	Yes	BUY	314	0¢	$1	0xf3d5b6…
04-23 09:17:00	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	66	45¢	$30	0x06f1be…
04-23 06:21:34	will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x4d33a3…
04-22 22:22:52	Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x283539…
04-22 22:20:10	will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	334	15¢	$50	0xb21650…
04-22 22:08:24	axp quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 23 2026 3pt99	No	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xfeeed1…
04-22 22:07:56	infy quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 23 2026 0pt21	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x1be3e3…
04-22 22:00:00	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xd0c883…
04-22 21:59:44	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x8da6bf…
04-22 21:59:28	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x8237bf…
04-22 21:59:18	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	757	1¢	$5	0x30912c…
04-22 21:56:18	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x0069fc…
04-22 21:56:06	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc281b5…
04-22 21:51:36	will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	144	14¢	$20	0x538d68…