Cautious-Minorleague — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$726

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

129

Trades

2,483

lifetime

Volume

$148.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 06-03 23:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 40% $-543

Sports

2% 33% $-183

Politics

1% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 237 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 15m 1773338400	38	$2.8K	2,033	2,003	+30	open	—	03-12 18:14
bitcoin up or down march 12 12pm et	10	$2.3K	2,076	2,056	+20	open	—	03-12 16:55
eth updown 15m 1773362700	14	$2.2K	1,326	1,311	+15	open	—	03-13 00:54
eth updown 15m 1773361800	21	$2.2K	1,544	1,539	+5	open	—	03-13 00:43
eth updown 5m 1773027600	38	$1.9K	1,309	1,289	+20	open	—	03-09 03:45
bitcoin up or down march 12 1pm et	34	$1.9K	6,769	1,217	+5,552	open	—	03-12 17:59
bitcoin up or down on march 12	11	$1.9K	2,586	2,558	+28	open	—	03-12 16:00
eth updown 15m 1773948600	32	$1.8K	1,306	1,286	+20	open	—	03-19 19:45
eth updown 15m 1773927000	4	$1.7K	1,331	1,318	+12	open	—	03-19 13:44
eth updown 5m 1773028200	33	$1.6K	1,172	1,155	+17	open	—	03-09 03:54
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	8	$1.5K	15,990	15,990	+0	open	—	03-01 00:21
eth updown 15m 1773028800	14	$1.5K	1,208	1,192	+16	open	—	03-09 04:14
btc updown 15m 1773335700	20	$1.5K	1,000	988	+12	open	—	03-12 17:29
btc updown 5m 1773338400	2	$1.5K	1,010	994	+16	open	—	03-12 18:04
eth updown 5m 1773363000	2	$1.4K	961	946	+15	open	—	03-13 00:55
eth updown 15m 1773266400	22	$1.4K	1,279	1,274	+6	open	—	03-11 22:13
btc updown 5m 1773362700	5	$1.3K	891	877	+14	open	—	03-13 00:49
eth updown 15m 1773326700	9	$1.2K	925	912	+13	open	—	03-12 14:59
btc updown 15m 1773945900	8	$1.1K	841	829	+12	open	—	03-19 18:57
nba cha bos 2026 03 04	5	$1.1K	1,035	1,035	+0	open	—	03-05 01:35
eth updown 5m 1773027900	12	$1.1K	766	754	+12	open	—	03-09 03:50
bitcoin up or down march 12 9pm et	2	$1.1K	1,179	1,162	+18	open	—	03-13 01:24
btc updown 5m 1773327600	21	$1.1K	800	788	+12	open	—	03-12 15:04
eth updown 5m 1773027000	2	$1.1K	877	635	+241	open	—	03-09 03:35
btc updown 5m 1773926400	3	$1.0K	910	907	+3	open	—	03-19 13:25
eth updown 15m 1773262800	23	$1000	771	760	+11	open	—	03-11 21:13
eth updown 5m 1772720100	21	$968	600	592	+7	open	—	03-05 14:17
eth updown 5m 1772721000	5	$946	746	737	+9	open	—	03-05 14:34
ethereum up or down march 12 11am et	7	$900	684	675	+9	open	—	03-12 15:22
eth updown 5m 1773925200	15	$865	776	773	+3	open	—	03-19 13:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 23:32:15	btc updown 5m 1780529400	Down	BUY	16	17¢	$3	0x97198b…
06-03 23:28:37	btc updown 15m 1780528500	Up	SELL	133	2¢	$3	0x495ac5…
06-03 23:21:06	btc updown 15m 1780528500	Up	BUY	133	34¢	$45	0x8f1e03…
06-03 23:15:30	btc updown 5m 1780528500	Up	BUY	168	41¢	$69	0x7c4448…
06-03 22:37:34	btc updown 15m 1780525800	Up	BUY	152	22¢	$33	0x3b27ca…
06-03 22:16:03	btc updown 15m 1780524900	Up	BUY	227	24¢	$54	0xd333c1…
06-03 22:12:03	eth updown 5m 1780524600	Up	BUY	543	8¢	$45	0x6f1e9c…
06-03 22:11:19	eth updown 15m 1780524000	Up	SELL	241	3¢	$7	0xac03a6…
06-03 22:05:39	eth updown 15m 1780524000	Up	BUY	65	29¢	$19	0x012960…
06-03 22:00:58	eth updown 5m 1780524000	Up	BUY	103	37¢	$38	0xd76a47…
06-03 22:00:42	eth updown 15m 1780524000	Up	BUY	176	35¢	$61	0x1b64e1…
06-03 21:48:37	eth updown 15m 1780523100	Up	SELL	49	93¢	$46	0x71d4f8…
06-03 21:48:37	eth updown 15m 1780523100	Up	SELL	189	93¢	$176	0x51de57…
06-03 21:47:06	eth updown 15m 1780523100	Up	BUY	238	40¢	$96	0xdd85d6…
06-03 21:41:48	eth updown 5m 1780522800	Down	BUY	102	46¢	$47	0xcb43f3…
06-03 21:41:16	eth updown 5m 1780522800	Down	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x64987f…
06-03 21:32:33	eth updown 15m 1780522200	Down	BUY	343	13¢	$45	0x9dddd5…
06-03 21:28:31	btc updown 5m 1780521900	Down	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x0eb84d…
06-03 21:16:25	btc updown 15m 1780521300	Down	BUY	126	36¢	$45	0x80728e…
06-03 21:15:07	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	376	14¢	$54	0x3ea808…
06-03 21:14:18	btc updown 5m 1780521000	Up	SELL	267	3¢	$8	0xe9c90b…
06-03 21:10:25	btc updown 5m 1780521000	Up	BUY	267	18¢	$48	0x058ae6…
06-03 21:05:57	btc updown 5m 1780520700	Down	BUY	245	14¢	$35	0x7de57b…
05-20 00:56:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	76	24¢	$18	0xeac0cb…
05-20 00:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	42	22¢	$9	0xba2fbc…
05-18 12:49:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	141	23¢	$32	0x58eaf5…
05-18 00:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	116	20¢	$24	0xa81438…
05-16 22:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	133	14¢	$19	0xdd75fa…
05-15 14:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x2d356e…
05-14 23:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	201	20¢	$40	0xaff364…
05-14 16:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0x9eba95…
05-14 16:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	41	5¢	$2	0xd8e78f…
05-14 16:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	41	22¢	$9	0x3fa5e0…
05-14 16:02:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x9cdab4…
05-14 16:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	67	27¢	$18	0x9707b4…
05-14 16:01:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xb7e07d…
05-14 15:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	108	25¢	$27	0x117986…
05-14 15:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	108	42¢	$45	0x219b78…
05-14 15:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	226	21¢	$48	0x73408c…
05-14 15:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	146	32¢	$47	0xa02fa4…
05-14 15:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	178	41¢	$73	0x21be03…
05-14 15:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	191	67¢	$128	0x57d1cc…
05-14 15:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	191	18¢	$34	0xa09998…
05-14 15:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xd949ff…
05-14 15:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	35	88¢	$31	0xb6b2fc…
05-14 15:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	49	88¢	$43	0xa2d87b…
05-14 15:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x32d7ac…
05-14 15:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	38	88¢	$34	0x2a5f92…
05-14 15:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	153	29¢	$44	0x054fad…
05-14 15:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	141	35¢	$49	0xe5a365…
05-14 15:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	141	34¢	$48	0x1975b3…
05-14 15:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	150	30¢	$46	0x6f34df…
05-14 14:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x4a9a28…
05-14 02:37:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	319	15¢	$47	0xaa4597…
05-14 02:31:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	173	32¢	$56	0xd362a1…
05-14 02:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	106	31¢	$33	0xa3cc13…
05-14 02:27:48	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	111	84¢	$93	0x1b2dcc…
05-14 02:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	159	29¢	$46	0xba4923…
05-14 02:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	140	35¢	$49	0x1014e2…
05-14 02:16:10	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xdb0371…
05-14 02:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x5be604…
05-14 02:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x3cdcb7…
05-14 02:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x1e3cbb…
05-14 02:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x9cf013…
05-14 02:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xe099c1…
05-14 02:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x7b15af…
05-14 02:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x0027ef…
05-14 02:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0xfa9a89…
05-14 02:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xe362c2…
05-14 02:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0xb82ea7…
05-14 02:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	77¢	$16	0xaa9475…
05-14 02:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	130	77¢	$100	0x4b0d36…
05-14 02:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x9b9f0b…
05-14 02:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x78b141…
05-14 02:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x5788c3…
05-14 02:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x9f77e5…
05-14 02:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	195	33¢	$63	0x56fe9e…
05-14 01:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	218	23¢	$50	0x7572c3…
05-14 01:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	38	88¢	$33	0x5cb199…
05-14 01:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$6	0xb5775d…
05-14 01:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x70f0f2…
05-14 01:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	31	88¢	$27	0x6ef9c2…
05-14 01:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x2a94d6…
05-14 01:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	267	3¢	$8	0xa33fd6…
05-14 01:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	254	7¢	$18	0x313fb8…
05-14 01:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	152	31¢	$47	0x4aae36…
05-14 01:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	255	25¢	$63	0xdbefe1…
05-14 01:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	119	62¢	$73	0x9a48e0…
05-14 01:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	192	49¢	$94	0x8ea336…
05-14 01:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x260743…
05-14 01:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	230	14¢	$32	0x634d57…
05-14 01:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	230	11¢	$25	0xfc4126…
05-14 01:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	259	36¢	$93	0x9a6220…
05-14 01:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	19	36¢	$7	0x643634…
05-14 01:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	119	38¢	$45	0x175bbd…
05-14 01:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0xa250f3…
05-12 14:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	140	33¢	$46	0x9794ed…
05-12 14:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xea78a9…
05-11 13:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	219	54¢	$118	0xbca3db…
05-11 13:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xde6815…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	420	$233.8K	17,176	05-20 00:59
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	401	$145.1K	6,099	06-03 23:33
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	389	$673	1,875	06-03 23:34
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	366	$9.94K	1,050	04-30 19:32
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	354	$24.5K	5,888	05-15 14:47
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	333	$238.1K	51,537	06-03 23:34
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	328	$99.9K	16,563	06-03 23:34
(anonymous) 0x88f4…d4db	316	$58.7K	8,437	06-03 21:25