Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$58

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-09 00:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 100% +$2

Other

44% 97% +$2

Politics

9% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No		+39	$38	100¢	$39	+$0	11-08 06:26
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No		+19	$19	100¢	$19	+$0	11-09 00:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 21?	2	$43	43	0	+43	No	+$0	10-20 06:17
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	2	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	01-09 09:05
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$42	21	21	+0	No	$0	03-30 15:34
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	08-22 10:36
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	1	$38	39	0	+39	open	—	11-08 06:26
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	2	$38	19	19	+0	No	+$0	03-30 15:35
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	1	$36	37	0	+37	No	+$0	04-22 01:42
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	09-12 02:31
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 5-11?	1	$34	35	0	+35	No	+$0	10-09 20:10
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$34	17	17	+0	No	+$0	03-30 15:36
Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-27 02:57
bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	1	$29	29	0	+29	Yes	+$0	08-11 10:47
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	08-17 06:51
bitcoin above 70k on april 23	1	$29	29	0	+29	Yes	+$0	04-22 14:02
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	04-16 04:35
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 12-18?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	10-17 04:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 26?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	09-26 12:53
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 19?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	10-19 11:10
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 380 399	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	04-16 19:34
Will John Stevens get second place in the Clacton by-election?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	08-13 00:50
will bitcoin reach 82k on august 21 2026	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	08-22 00:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 8?	1	$26	26	0	+26	Yes	+$0	10-08 03:17
bitcoin above 82k on april 18	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	04-16 11:25
bitcoin above 66k on april 21	1	$26	26	0	+26	Yes	+$0	04-19 17:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23?	1	$26	26	0	+26	Yes	+$0	09-23 07:02
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 340 359	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	04-12 10:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	04-26 13:25
bitcoin above 60k on august 21 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	08-20 03:27
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	08-29 22:37
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	10-02 16:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 00:23:22	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xad7aa6…
11-08 06:26:07	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$38	0x125c76…
11-04 21:04:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc7691c…
10-29 14:44:26	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$24	0x091578…
10-24 08:32:17	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x858b39…
10-20 06:17:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x835d04…
10-20 00:08:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xe1e03e…
10-19 11:10:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 19?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xcfb42b…
10-17 04:41:53	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 12-18?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xe2b3a2…
10-13 11:17:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc77a65…
10-09 20:10:16	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0x9db9d2…
10-08 03:17:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x6bb721…
10-07 08:36:09	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xec4012…
10-02 16:27:12	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb53e65…
09-30 12:37:57	russia military action against eu country by september 30 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x01ffc2…
09-27 17:05:45	will bitcoin reach 88k september 21 27 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c1949…
09-26 12:53:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 26?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x061d55…
09-23 21:04:43	Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0xb407a2…
09-23 07:02:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe7ddc4…
09-12 02:31:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xbd223c…
09-07 07:45:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 7?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0aa405…
09-04 12:51:27	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x04837e…
08-31 17:45:06	Will Julian Alvarez join Chelsea?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0xeff787…
08-30 09:14:19	will bitcoin dip to 70k august 24 30 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb23022…
08-29 22:37:51	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xebf4ed…
08-27 03:15:15	Will Maxx Crosby play for New York Jets next?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xcc06de…
08-22 10:36:16	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xc4d124…
08-22 00:27:28	will bitcoin reach 82k on august 21 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x0ca643…
08-20 03:27:07	bitcoin above 60k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x25d0de…
08-17 06:51:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xa61e10…
08-13 00:50:19	Will John Stevens get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd85d62…
08-11 16:22:21	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x654315…
08-11 10:47:09	bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xd483db…
08-10 21:41:13	Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa5a751…
04-29 08:57:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd90c5d…
04-29 03:55:08	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x40d77a…
04-27 02:57:26	Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x420764…
04-26 13:25:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xde2437…
04-25 15:53:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1fefa2…
04-25 15:16:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$22	0x779796…
04-24 22:19:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8b2195…
04-24 15:06:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 25?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xafb07e…
04-23 11:35:28	ethereum above 2200 on april 23	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdca08f…
04-22 14:02:38	bitcoin above 70k on april 23	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xa015bc…
04-22 01:42:26	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	No	BUY	37	100¢	$36	0xcf82fa…
04-21 12:20:46	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 260 279	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9fdb3b…
04-20 08:10:58	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9d3e31…
04-19 17:11:24	bitcoin above 66k on april 21	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb367f0…
04-18 12:30:06	ethereum above 2600 on april 19	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x244e27…
04-18 10:42:24	bitcoin above 80k on april 18	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfdd483…
04-18 06:09:52	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x18253b…
04-16 21:53:48	will bitcoin reach 78k on april 16	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0774b9…
04-16 19:34:18	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 380 399	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x47023d…
04-16 11:25:18	bitcoin above 82k on april 18	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x1200c6…
04-16 04:35:58	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x597e00…
04-14 21:28:06	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x5113dc…
04-14 13:49:19	bitcoin above 68k on april 15	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x4b5254…
04-13 01:41:29	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 440 459	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x483872…
04-12 10:53:13	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 340 359	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x930481…
04-12 02:36:15	will danielle martin win the by election for the seat of universityrosedale in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xfbaf17…
04-06 22:05:55	bitcoin above 64k on april 7	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2e9eae…
04-03 12:06:11	bitcoin above 64k on april 3	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdb2cdd…
04-02 06:08:33	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc0d630…
04-01 04:48:01	bitcoin above 64k on april 1	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x93b4e1…
03-31 06:39:35	2026 us senate election republican odds over 75 by march 31	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa11d03…
03-30 15:36:41	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x5d246b…
03-30 15:35:29	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xb31703…
03-30 15:34:53	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x91d45f…
03-21 10:38:35	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x324763…
03-17 16:27:01	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xeeeb27…
03-14 18:32:43	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x80b3ae…
03-05 17:24:53	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 500 519	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2192b1…
02-28 09:35:27	will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9ae2ff…
02-13 08:15:17	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x50b534…
02-10 14:50:07	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x76ffc6…
02-03 21:39:12	Will Yūichirō Tamaki be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0a3963…
01-31 01:55:02	will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1bf172…
01-19 13:23:16	will ben shelton win the 2026 australian open	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x64df6b…
01-17 04:01:32	will ethereum dip to 2200 in january 2026 518	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x08f400…
01-09 09:05:30	will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x8c9eef…
01-08 09:03:35	will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x96ba0d…
01-04 05:17:13	Will Dick Schoof become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xda2b7e…