Realized P&L
+$2.47K
Unrealized P&L
-$108
Hit rate
85.2%
Resolved
1,126
Trades
2,222
lifetime
Volume
$26.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$162
3 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 07-31 21:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 138 days
Categories
Politics
75%
53%
+$2,848
Other
13%
49%
-$453
Sports
11%
52%
+$89
Pop-Culture
0%
25%
-$11
Tech
0%
0%
-$5
Crypto
0%
100%
+$2
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-31).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | +737 | $170 | 20¢ | $144 | -$26 | 07-31 21:35 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | +289 | $80 | 3¢ | $10 | -$70 | 05-10 15:58 | |
| bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 | Yes | +59 | $20 | 15¢ | $9 | -$11 | 07-17 23:52 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | 11 | $5.0K | 3,865 | 3,865 | +0 | Yes | +$868 | 02-28 19:35 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | 10 | $4.3K | 3,840 | 2,835 | +1,005 | Yes | +$418 | 02-11 22:17 |
| Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | 7 | $3.4K | 4,059 | 1,562 | +2,498 | Yes | +$1,076 | 01-16 19:54 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | 4 | $2.6K | 1,707 | 1,707 | +0 | Yes | +$604 | 04-03 16:15 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | 3 | $2.2K | 1,287 | 1,287 | +0 | Yes | +$188 | 02-28 19:34 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 3 | $1.0K | 509 | 509 | +0 | Yes | +$8 | 03-01 09:16 |
| will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606 | 6 | $272 | 2,240 | 688 | +1,552 | No | -$130 | 07-25 15:04 |
| US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30? | 5 | $234 | 775 | 775 | +0 | No | +$94 | 04-07 22:39 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 4 | $230 | 846 | 108 | +737 | open | — | 07-31 21:35 |
| Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30? | 2 | $185 | 526 | 526 | +0 | No | -$15 | 04-07 20:39 |
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15 | 4 | $168 | 869 | 869 | +0 | No | -$12 | 04-07 20:37 |
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31 | 4 | $110 | 1,369 | 0 | +1,369 | No | -$110 | 07-31 21:35 |
| internet access restored in iran by friday 972 | 1 | $104 | 178 | 0 | +178 | Yes | -$104 | 01-21 22:00 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | 2 | $80 | 289 | 0 | +289 | open | — | 05-10 15:58 |
| lol blg al 2026 04 19 | 21 | $75 | 105 | 0 | +105 | Bilibili Gaming | +$30 | 04-19 10:55 |
| lol genga nsea 2026 04 20 | 17 | $71 | 87 | 0 | +87 | Nongshim Esports Academy | +$16 | 04-20 09:03 |
| iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546 | 2 | $60 | 1,167 | 0 | +1,167 | No | -$60 | 07-20 20:34 |
| lol tl2 fly 2026 04 14 | 17 | $56 | 84 | 0 | +84 | FlyQuest | -$56 | 04-14 13:22 |
| LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | 8 | $56 | 34 | 34 | +0 | LNG Esports | +$7 | 05-14 11:06 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026? | 2 | $50 | 165 | 0 | +165 | No | -$50 | 04-05 14:24 |
| mlb bal cle 2026 04 16 total 8pt5 | 21 | $47 | 109 | 0 | +109 | Under | -$47 | 04-16 22:41 |
| lol ns fox1 2026 04 15 | 17 | $45 | 85 | 0 | +85 | Nongshim Red Force | -$45 | 04-15 01:16 |
| nba uta nop 2026 04 07 spread home 10pt5 | 19 | $45 | 99 | 0 | +99 | Pelicans | +$54 | 04-07 22:55 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner | 8 | $45 | 35 | 13 | +22 | Bilibili Gaming | +$1 | 05-15 11:39 |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | 15 | $44 | 59 | 15 | +44 | ThunderTalk Gaming | -$24 | 05-16 17:05 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | 2 | $42 | 182 | 182 | +0 | No | +$2 | 05-23 20:00 |
| LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | 6 | $42 | 28 | 28 | +0 | LNG Esports | +$14 | 05-14 11:06 |
| nba orl phi 2026 04 15 | 18 | $41 | 89 | 0 | +89 | 76ers | -$41 | 04-16 00:24 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | 2 | $40 | 235 | 0 | +235 | No | -$40 | 04-11 18:59 |
| lol ig1 blg 2026 04 18 | 11 | $38 | 55 | 0 | +55 | Bilibili Gaming | +$17 | 04-18 11:07 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||