Distant-Marshmallow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

1,411

Trades

3,923

lifetime

Volume

$430.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$110

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 08-09 14:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 83 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 50% -$19,881

Sports

0% 15% -$479

Other

0% 17% -$247

Politics

0% 0% -$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	5	$6.2K	3,382	3,382	+0	Up	+$458	05-05 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	8	$5.7K	3,059	3,059	+0	Down	-$317	05-01 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	55	$5.5K	3,644	3,132	+511	Up	+$303	05-28 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	5	$4.7K	5,291	0	+5,291	Up	+$639	05-05 00:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	6	$4.5K	2,317	2,317	+0	Up	+$109	05-07 06:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	8	$4.4K	5,341	0	+5,341	Up	+$941	05-05 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	4	$3.9K	4,441	0	+4,441	Down	-$3,884	05-05 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	5	$3.7K	3,910	0	+3,910	Up	+$210	05-05 00:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 23:05 UTC	5	$3.6K	1,860	1,855	+5	Up	+$15	04-21 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	5	$3.5K	1,959	1,959	+0	Up	+$339	05-05 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	5	$3.4K	3,534	0	+3,534	Down	+$134	05-05 01:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	7	$3.4K	1,970	1,970	+0	Up	+$537	05-05 03:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 23:40 UTC	2	$3.3K	1,746	1,739	+6	Up	-$8	04-23 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	6	$3.2K	1,754	1,754	+0	Up	+$235	05-05 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	7	$3.2K	1,817	1,817	+0	Up	-$6	05-07 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	4	$3.0K	3,237	0	+3,237	Up	+$237	05-05 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	6	$2.8K	1,838	1,838	+0	Up	+$820	05-05 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	5	$2.8K	3,343	0	+3,343	Up	+$541	05-05 00:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 16:30 UTC	3	$2.8K	1,540	1,520	+20	Up	+$263	04-24 16:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 00:25 UTC	7	$2.8K	1,561	1,561	+0	Down	+$62	06-04 00:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 16:40 UTC	2	$2.6K	1,413	1,405	+8	Down	+$17	04-24 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	5	$2.6K	2,488	1,156	+1,332	Up	+$287	05-05 20:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:25 UTC	5	$2.5K	1,357	1,357	+0	Up	+$79	06-04 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	8	$2.4K	2,002	1,756	+245	Up	+$229	05-24 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	8	$2.3K	1,499	1,499	+0	Down	-$68	05-05 14:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 14:30 UTC	3	$2.3K	1,224	1,216	+8	Up	+$101	04-24 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	4	$2.3K	1,244	1,244	+0	Up	-$100	05-20 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	3	$2.3K	1,707	1,707	+0	Up	+$79	05-26 17:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 00:55 UTC	6	$2.3K	1,568	1,568	+0	Up	+$55	06-04 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$2.2K	1,113	1,113	+0	Up	+$73	05-05 13:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 14:10:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0xfbbf2a…
08-09 14:03:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	165	12¢	$20	0x5655db…
08-09 13:56:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x3403c9…
08-09 13:56:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	46	55¢	$25	0x52d5f2…
07-18 02:26:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x2f1007…
07-18 02:26:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xa4a3cc…
07-18 02:09:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x765823…
07-18 02:08:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x31c346…
07-13 00:11:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xd0c719…
07-13 00:05:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xfa073c…
07-12 23:51:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x670cc1…
07-12 17:52:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xa23093…
07-01 15:50:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa75e53…
07-01 15:50:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2b6acf…
06-26 10:15:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x758fbf…
06-26 08:30:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x29017d…
06-26 07:38:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xb1c4e2…
06-26 03:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x3fca62…
06-26 03:37:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 03:35 UTC	Down	SELL	193	30¢	$57	0x41ef72…
06-26 03:35:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0xc224b0…
06-26 03:33:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xf2c832…
06-26 03:20:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x211dfe…
06-26 03:19:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	135	80¢	$108	0x6bb198…
06-26 03:18:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xb76856…
06-26 02:56:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x1da8f1…
06-26 00:48:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x89fc25…
06-25 23:41:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x9c6f1c…
06-25 23:37:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x00dce9…
06-25 23:36:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x67b213…
06-25 23:34:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x054a96…
06-25 23:33:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x478e79…
06-25 23:33:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x0cc131…
06-25 20:04:49	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 4pt5	Germany	SELL	2,001	0¢	$2	0x4fd25e…
06-25 19:25:34	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 4pt5	Germany	BUY	2,001	5¢	$100	0x6b3b2f…
06-25 19:00:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xbe77f8…
06-25 18:50:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x102ac8…
06-25 18:50:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x946dcd…
06-25 18:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xd4bcf8…
06-25 18:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	221	71¢	$157	0xfa614e…
06-25 18:46:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x8349a7…
06-25 18:45:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x5082bc…
06-25 18:38:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 18:35 UTC	Down	SELL	125	41¢	$52	0x96b57e…
06-25 18:36:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x4c6b26…
06-25 18:15:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x785e79…
06-25 18:15:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x458bd8…
06-25 18:10:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xe1b871…
06-25 18:05:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	388	26¢	$100	0xe8538a…
06-25 18:04:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 18:00 UTC	Up	SELL	304	19¢	$57	0xfb15f5…
06-25 18:03:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	179	14¢	$25	0xc7cb43…
06-25 18:02:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0xa81083…
06-25 02:11:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	108	23¢	$25	0x5e629f…
06-25 02:10:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x439f5f…
06-25 01:46:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xe35553…
06-25 01:46:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0xbc769b…
06-25 01:42:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0x407362…
06-25 01:41:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 01:35 UTC	Up	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xceabb4…
06-25 01:38:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x6a81e4…
06-25 00:55:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xf7184c…
06-25 00:53:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0xe37bd8…
06-25 00:06:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x9fb4b2…
06-25 00:03:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x74c694…
06-25 00:00:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xb9ec70…
06-25 00:00:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x1c7183…
06-24 23:56:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x045c13…
06-24 23:46:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x234f17…
06-24 23:46:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x6460b9…
06-24 21:27:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x23454b…
06-24 21:25:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x893c94…
06-24 21:25:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xa0efa9…
06-24 21:25:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x7994df…
06-24 21:23:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x9fb5e9…
06-24 20:40:37	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	145	14¢	$20	0x97abbd…
06-24 20:37:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xf88470…
06-24 07:28:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x01422e…
06-23 21:57:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xc1fb54…
06-23 21:55:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x1ad6b6…
06-23 20:06:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x1602ad…
06-23 19:59:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 19:55 UTC	Up	SELL	119	54¢	$64	0x3ecd14…
06-23 19:56:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x3444f4…
06-23 19:49:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	240	10¢	$25	0xc40a7d…
06-23 18:57:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0xad9fc7…
06-23 18:42:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb71383…
06-23 15:40:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x05b215…
06-23 15:37:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x8d172c…
06-23 15:29:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0xb9a762…
06-23 15:29:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x28b317…
06-23 15:16:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xfbdb67…
06-23 15:16:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 15:10 UTC	Up	SELL	89	99¢	$88	0xa0eb09…
06-23 15:14:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xdca466…
06-23 15:14:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x0064e9…
06-23 14:56:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x45d96c…
06-23 13:49:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	148	67¢	$100	0x7a05b2…
06-23 13:48:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	125	16¢	$21	0x5e3c1d…
06-23 13:48:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0xb5c1cf…
06-23 13:15:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x3bad78…
06-23 12:43:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x5262f9…
06-23 12:27:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xfc6df8…
06-23 12:25:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0xabed1f…
06-23 12:20:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xc6c00d…
06-23 11:19:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xa24562…