Distant-Marshmallow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$173

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

45.6%

Resolved

Trades

142

lifetime

Volume

$30.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$211

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-15 15:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 56% +$1,027

Sports

1% 0% $-854

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi	Luciano Darderi		+71	$10	0¢	$0	$-10	05-15 15:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	7	$3.4K	1,970	1,970	+0	Up	+$537	05-05 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$3.3K	0	3,382	-3,382	Up	$-34	05-05 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$1.9K	0	1,959	-1,959	Up	$-20	05-05 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$1.8K	0	1,838	-1,838	Up	$-18	05-05 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$1.2K	0	2,599	-2,599	Down	+$1,194	05-05 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$900	1,144	0	+1,144	Up	+$244	05-05 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	3	$876	340	683	-343	Up	+$133	05-08 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$857	0	1,119	-1,119	Up	$-262	05-07 07:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$772	0	779	-779	Up	$-8	05-05 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$700	773	0	+773	Up	+$73	05-05 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	4	$600	723	0	+723	Up	$-297	05-08 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$575	0	618	-618	Up	$-44	05-10 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$537	0	573	-573	Up	$-36	05-07 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$490	103	408	-305	Up	$-15	05-07 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$464	469	0	+469	Down	+$5	05-10 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$452	13	446	-433	Down	$-1	05-13 07:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$438	130	385	-255	Up	$-16	05-11 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$400	746	0	+746	Down	$-400	05-05 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$400	419	0	+419	Down	+$19	05-10 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$400	415	0	+415	Down	+$15	05-05 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$358	374	0	+374	Up	+$16	05-08 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$355	35,496	0	+35,496	Up	$-355	05-05 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$341	0	345	-345	Up	$-3	05-07 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$323	0	468	-468	Down	$-145	05-09 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$323	342	0	+342	Down	+$19	05-07 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$300	876	0	+876	Up	+$576	05-05 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$249	251	0	+251	Up	+$3	05-07 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	3	$244	42	295	-253	Down	$-49	05-08 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$214	216	0	+216	Up	+$2	05-08 07:54
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)	1	$214	0	1,068	-1,068	Pittsburgh Pirates	$-854	05-07 20:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 15:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x3502e1…
05-15 15:51:25	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi	Luciano Darderi	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x198ae7…
05-15 15:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	171	59¢	$100	0x4596a9…
05-15 08:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x4d3969…
05-15 08:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1,533	7¢	$100	0x89cda6…
05-15 08:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x1e8e1c…
05-15 08:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe31c61…
05-15 07:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	226	3¢	$8	0xf4d9b0…
05-15 07:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x1942eb…
05-14 20:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0x7897b3…
05-14 20:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	904	11¢	$100	0x95d673…
05-14 20:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	245	41¢	$100	0xbe1068…
05-14 01:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	745	5¢	$36	0x20718f…
05-13 19:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	121	41¢	$50	0x6b047b…
05-13 07:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	446	99¢	$442	0x8ae0ac…
05-13 06:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x5caa7b…
05-12 17:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	339	29¢	$100	0x1329ec…
05-12 14:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x765e8b…
05-12 14:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xc2b72a…
05-12 08:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x3f9b4f…
05-12 08:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xb08e97…
05-11 21:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	385	88¢	$338	0x47915e…
05-11 21:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x5423a7…
05-11 15:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x249006…
05-11 15:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x8ea533…
05-11 15:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9a4be9…
05-11 07:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xb7d70f…
05-11 06:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	384	52¢	$200	0x78fd71…
05-11 00:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	609	4¢	$25	0xad6bb9…
05-11 00:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	156	99¢	$154	0x399cbc…
05-11 00:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0xd7b3f5…
05-11 00:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0xf6fb6f…
05-11 00:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xc19e1c…
05-11 00:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x7d9ef9…
05-10 23:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x6500fd…
05-10 23:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x0a3638…
05-10 23:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xbffc8a…
05-10 21:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	67¢	$21	0x7ff41a…
05-10 21:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xa37099…
05-10 21:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	129	78¢	$100	0xd21cda…
05-10 20:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x34d4b6…
05-10 20:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	86	70¢	$60	0x391591…
05-10 20:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xf923f0…
05-10 20:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x6360bd…
05-10 20:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x0a65b9…
05-10 19:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x120a3c…
05-10 19:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0x449d0d…
05-10 19:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	469	99¢	$464	0x8e01b6…
05-10 19:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3061fa…
05-10 19:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	618	93¢	$575	0xc5e924…
05-10 00:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	111	98¢	$109	0xee1985…
05-10 00:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x6b103f…
05-09 18:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	552	18¢	$100	0x15405a…
05-09 18:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	278	72¢	$200	0xe1fc6c…
05-09 18:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	245	41¢	$100	0x6bbba7…
05-09 17:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	326	16¢	$53	0xdfa93a…
05-09 17:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	662	1¢	$7	0xd8de45…
05-09 15:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	468	69¢	$323	0xcde95f…
05-09 15:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x381ca4…
05-09 15:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xd87ff9…
05-08 09:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0x942622…
05-08 08:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	683	99¢	$676	0xd379a9…
05-08 08:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x651a30…
05-08 08:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x28739e…
05-08 08:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x35b03d…
05-08 08:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x6a429e…
05-08 08:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	285	70¢	$200	0x4dc43f…
05-08 08:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x941c0a…
05-08 08:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xd52b36…
05-08 08:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	295	76¢	$224	0x68cb35…
05-08 08:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x0fcca6…
05-08 08:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xb5d2cf…
05-08 08:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x67f5ef…
05-08 07:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	216	99¢	$214	0x328ce3…
05-08 05:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xab6705…
05-08 04:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	324	99¢	$321	0xbc531a…
05-08 04:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xb6ae7f…
05-08 00:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x25264f…
05-07 22:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xc20c21…
05-07 22:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0x2a3e99…
05-07 22:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	342	94¢	$323	0x87f687…
05-07 21:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x6ab97e…
05-07 21:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	146	69¢	$100	0x7bb041…
05-07 20:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	223	45¢	$100	0x73b966…
05-07 20:41:34	Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)	Pittsburgh Pirates	SELL	1,068	20¢	$214	0xa3417a…
05-07 20:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xe7fb85…
05-07 14:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	251	99¢	$249	0xe3a999…
05-07 14:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	345	99¢	$341	0x7327ba…
05-07 13:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x5df7c6…
05-07 11:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x1eac01…
05-07 11:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	177	57¢	$100	0x7526fe…
05-07 11:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xed88da…
05-07 11:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xb497b7…
05-07 11:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x217d45…
05-07 07:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1,119	77¢	$857	0xb4b8ca…
05-07 06:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x1b4d7b…
05-07 06:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	408	95¢	$390	0x336712…
05-07 06:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	573	94¢	$537	0x48ebfe…
05-07 05:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xd74762…
05-07 03:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	152	52¢	$78	0xdbb9b4…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	92	$21.1K	839	05-15 15:59
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	82	$38.1K	754	05-15 15:57
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	82	$3.19K	501	05-15 15:57
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	81	$5.81K	356	05-15 15:57
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	81	$5.68K	526	05-15 15:57
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	79	$5.48K	365	05-15 15:57
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	78	$2.24K	514	05-14 20:29
Angry-Suede 0x8692…fbac	76	$1.16K	309	05-15 15:56