Distant-Marshmallow — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$1.56K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.7%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

27 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$14.9K

$14.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$551

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 12:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 42% +$1,562

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	7	$3.4K	1,970	1,970	+0	Up	+$537	05-05 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$3.3K	0	3,382	-3,382	Up	$-34	05-05 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$1.9K	0	1,959	-1,959	Up	$-20	05-05 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$1.8K	0	1,838	-1,838	Up	$-18	05-05 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$1.2K	0	2,599	-2,599	Down	+$1,194	05-05 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$900	1,144	0	+1,144	open	—	05-05 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$700	773	0	+773	open	—	05-05 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$400	746	0	+746	Down	$-400	05-05 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$355	35,496	0	+35,496	Up	$-355	05-05 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$300	876	0	+876	Up	+$576	05-05 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$211	402	1,067	-665	Down	+$213	05-05 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$112	0	145	-145	Up	$-33	05-04 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$100	1,103	0	+1,103	Down	$-100	05-04 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$100	227	0	+227	open	—	05-05 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$1	0	23	-23	Down	+$1	05-05 00:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 12:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	644	93¢	$600	0xd7d200…
05-05 12:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	129	78¢	$100	0x3028bf…
05-05 10:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	557	80¢	$445	0xd37d28…
05-05 10:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	587	78¢	$455	0x909057…
05-05 10:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xbe5333…
05-05 04:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	746	54¢	$400	0x98295f…
05-05 04:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1,959	99¢	$1,939	0xb49d72…
05-05 04:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1,067	1¢	$11	0xfd496f…
05-05 04:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	402	50¢	$200	0x2a0065…
05-05 03:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3,382	99¢	$3,348	0x3cfa3b…
05-05 03:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1,838	99¢	$1,820	0xe2001e…
05-05 03:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	838	59¢	$496	0x1f8181…
05-05 03:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1,761	40¢	$699	0x232ba9…
05-05 03:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1,970	100¢	$1,968	0x9aaaa7…
05-05 03:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	154	81¢	$125	0xac8c90…
05-05 03:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	978	79¢	$775	0x312c96…
05-05 03:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xb51734…
05-05 03:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	201	64¢	$129	0x13d30d…
05-05 03:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	353	57¢	$202	0x9ae2b5…
05-05 03:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x47a11e…
05-05 00:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	35,496	1¢	$355	0x5ac8fe…
05-05 00:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0x833f01…
05-05 00:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	481	32¢	$154	0xfe9bd6…
05-05 00:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	395	37¢	$146	0x76c567…
05-04 22:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	570	10¢	$59	0x426b39…
05-04 22:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	533	8¢	$41	0x30decf…
05-04 20:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	145	77¢	$112	0x073591…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	15	$1.69K	87	05-05 12:26
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	14	$2.69K	37	05-05 12:25
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	12	$671	59	05-05 10:41
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	11	$2.98K	70	05-05 12:25
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	11	$909	72	05-05 12:26
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	11	$833	68	05-05 12:26
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	11	$696	63	05-05 10:41
Long-Term-Siege 0xc5d5…6caa	9	$771	80	05-05 12:26