Kindly-Hydrant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$153

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

78.1%

Resolved

703

Trades

1,392

lifetime

Volume

$6.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-18

last 10-21 00:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Other

48% 68% -$23

Politics

32% 64% +$119

Crypto

16% 60% +$24

Sports

5% 58% +$34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+12	$3	18¢	$2	-$1	10-11 00:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	9	$1.0K	754	754	+0	No	+$189	10-04 23:28
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	7	$487	588	588	+0	Yes	-$3	09-30 16:42
Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	7	$333	170	170	+0	Yes	+$5	04-22 03:15
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	7	$138	184	184	+0	No	+$4	07-08 01:14
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	1	$100	270	0	+270	No	-$100	10-21 00:47
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?	4	$98	55	55	+0	Yes	+$10	05-13 20:52
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 20 2026 27c	6	$58	43	43	+1	No	+$9	04-20 17:29
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	4	$52	32	32	+0	No	+$8	04-22 03:02
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on April 25?	7	$50	59	7	+52	No	+$3	04-25 08:55
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	3	$47	25	25	+0	Yes	+$3	04-22 02:02
76ers vs. Knicks	3	$45	25	25	+0	Knicks	+$5	05-07 02:16
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$43	57	57	+0	Yes	+$23	07-15 15:57
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 6?	2	$42	22	22	+0	Yes	+$2	05-07 03:17
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-03?	2	$37	21	21	+0	Yes	+$3	05-03 20:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 02:55 UTC	6	$37	23	23	+0	Down	+$1	03-19 02:59
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?	2	$37	20	20	+0	Yes	+$3	05-21 22:50
highest temperature in lagos on april 24 2026 27corbelow	4	$30	45	14	+31	No	+$0	04-23 12:57
highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 64 65f	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	04-23 18:55
highest temperature in singapore on april 21 2026 34corhigher	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	04-21 12:44
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	3	$30	44	0	+44	DN SOOPers Challengers	-$3	05-08 05:57
highest temperature in lagos on april 22 2026 29corbelow	3	$30	33	0	+33	No	+$3	04-22 04:08
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 5?	2	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$1	05-04 03:23
highest temperature in taipei on april 22 2026 35c	3	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-22 03:36
will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	4	$27	17	17	+0	Yes	+$3	04-14 02:50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 6?	5	$27	31	4	+27	No	+$2	05-06 02:15
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on April 28?	6	$25	84	0	+84	Yes	-$25	04-28 22:05
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$24	57	57	+0	No	+$4	06-28 04:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 18:00 UTC	5	$24	23	10	+13	Down	+$0	03-19 18:03
Lakers vs. Thunder	5	$24	13	13	+0	Thunder	+$2	05-08 04:19
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$23	0	31	-31	No	+$23	06-28 04:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 00:47:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xd42aae…
10-11 00:12:30	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x7296f6…
10-11 00:12:09	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	SELL	12	28¢	$3	0xf09eab…
10-06 16:56:14	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	BUY	12	46¢	$5	0x038912…
10-06 16:55:14	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	SELL	10	54¢	$6	0xa9d494…
10-06 16:50:29	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x96b5d9…
10-04 23:28:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	617	87¢	$534	0x2c7c19…
09-30 16:43:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	252	60¢	$153	0xe67ea0…
09-30 16:42:36	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	418	38¢	$159	0x5d1e5a…
09-30 16:40:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	296	39¢	$115	0x2182f2…
09-30 15:11:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	72	60¢	$43	0xb5432a…
09-29 16:43:57	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x971cce…
09-29 16:43:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xf477f4…
09-04 00:27:49	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	21	41¢	$8	0x157145…
09-04 00:26:12	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x1c33b5…
09-04 00:26:06	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0xf926d6…
07-24 15:37:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7b94e5…
07-24 15:37:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xcd0b4e…
07-24 15:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3f5a9b…
07-24 15:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd0a5df…
07-24 15:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x13fb0c…
07-24 15:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0aa907…
07-24 15:29:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa7618e…
07-24 15:29:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf56d1f…
07-23 23:21:22	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xa01bd1…
07-23 23:14:48	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xbca091…
07-23 23:13:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x575817…
07-23 23:13:42	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x70802d…
07-23 23:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb6c529…
07-23 23:12:28	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd36960…
07-23 23:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x2ef841…
07-23 23:10:57	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe7709c…
07-23 15:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc2fa59…
07-23 10:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x977535…
07-23 04:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 23?	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x08b34a…
07-23 04:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 23?	Yes	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x973f39…
07-23 04:29:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 23?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xc2ea91…
07-23 04:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x04ef80…
07-23 04:24:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 23?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x765579…
07-23 04:24:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xd4abbf…
07-23 04:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0xa7dc39…
07-22 23:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x558036…
07-22 23:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5531f5…
07-22 23:16:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x1faf56…
07-22 23:12:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1022df…
07-22 23:12:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x729638…
07-22 23:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe04b3d…
07-22 23:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x82eda1…
07-22 23:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?	Yes	SELL	13	14¢	$2	0x518653…
07-22 23:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xaf0866…
07-22 23:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on July 24?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x41de43…
07-22 21:17:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 23?	Yes	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x129c2b…
07-22 11:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xabd594…
07-22 11:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc6804c…
07-22 06:34:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x70a117…
07-22 03:24:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xdbddaf…
07-22 03:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xc49aaa…
07-22 03:23:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa36663…
07-22 03:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3ef98c…
07-22 03:22:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6e6e9a…
07-22 03:22:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf8d125…
07-22 03:21:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x192d8a…
07-22 03:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xbf7d0f…
07-22 03:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc4e091…
07-22 03:18:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8a7ab6…
07-22 03:18:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3bbca5…
07-22 03:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xcc38fe…
07-22 03:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on July 22?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1b58a3…
07-22 03:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x14ff45…
07-22 03:14:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x402769…
07-22 03:14:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x821751…
07-19 17:06:37	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 17:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0x0bcee4…
07-19 17:03:46	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc42dfd…
07-17 16:36:22	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 16:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x1a51cc…
07-17 16:34:54	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3074b0…
07-17 16:26:48	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0x0c602d…
07-17 16:23:31	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa0acb2…
07-17 16:22:16	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 16:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x3dd6b4…
07-17 16:21:46	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc5c8aa…
07-17 16:18:15	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x95e8bb…
07-17 16:17:24	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6aab94…
07-17 16:15:24	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb45fbb…
07-17 16:14:09	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x9a2e01…
07-17 16:11:42	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0e9d8d…
07-17 16:09:54	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 16:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x7d8d58…
07-17 16:05:31	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x46436d…
07-17 16:02:12	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xc11650…
07-17 16:00:19	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x25bcc8…
07-17 15:56:16	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 15:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xe18938…
07-17 15:55:57	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8ce5a6…
07-17 15:36:07	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 15:35 UTC	Up	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x5b2f56…
07-17 15:35:27	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6a1db7…
07-17 00:36:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x576ecb…
07-17 00:33:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x7e8f8b…
07-17 00:30:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x611c2b…
07-17 00:30:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc5ff3c…
07-17 00:29:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x07f668…
07-17 00:19:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0xaba73c…
07-17 00:17:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x761a11…
07-17 00:16:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x6b9044…