Optimistic-Amenity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

+$29

Hit rate

94.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$304

lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

$119

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-12 13:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

70% 50% +$15

Politics

30% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes		+500	$85	22¢	$112	+$27	05-12 13:32
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes		+10	$6	69¢	$7	+$1	05-11 16:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	1	$128	0	129	-129	open	—	05-06 00:19
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$85	500	0	+500	open	—	05-12 13:32
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$80	100	0	+100	Yes	+$20	05-11 14:27
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	05-11 16:56
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	No	$-5	05-09 00:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 13:32:59	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	500	17¢	$85	0x259f44…
05-11 16:56:47	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xcd8e0a…
05-11 14:27:07	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x0e306b…
05-09 00:10:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x8de68c…
05-06 00:19:22	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	129	100¢	$128	0xd32eaf…