Ill-Flintlock — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$72

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.1%

Resolved (90d)

117

Trades (90d)

3,380 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$171

$14.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 08-26 00:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 66% -$304

Other

14% 58% -$347

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$30	48	0	+48	Down	+$18	05-29 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$30	40	0	+40	Up	+$10	05-29 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$30	42	0	+42	Up	+$12	05-29 01:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$30	48	0	+48	Up	-$30	05-29 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$30	43	0	+43	Up	-$30	05-29 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$30	36	0	+36	Up	+$6	05-29 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	1	$30	38	0	+38	Up	+$8	05-29 00:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	1	$30	35	0	+35	Down	+$5	05-29 00:29
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 16?	4	$19	70	0	+70	No	-$19	05-16 00:16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 16?	6	$19	1,530	0	+1,530	No	-$19	05-16 00:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 07:50 UTC	2	$15	23	0	+23	Up	-$2	06-19 07:54
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 16?	3	$15	117	0	+117	No	-$15	05-16 00:18
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 16?	3	$15	836	0	+836	No	-$15	05-15 23:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 19:55 UTC	2	$15	20	0	+20	Down	-$5	06-10 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$15	19	0	+19	Up	-$6	06-10 00:09
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 21?	2	$14	15	15	+0	No	+$4	05-21 07:34
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on May 16?	3	$12	59	0	+59	No	-$12	05-16 00:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 03:00 UTC	1	$11	19	0	+19	Down	+$8	06-09 03:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 15:35 UTC	1	$11	18	0	+18	Down	-$11	06-09 15:39
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 19:15 UTC	1	$11	15	0	+15	Up	+$4	06-10 19:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:20 UTC	1	$11	18	0	+18	Up	+$6	06-13 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$11	15	0	+15	Up	+$4	06-10 22:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 14:45 UTC	1	$11	14	0	+14	Down	+$3	06-08 14:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:05 UTC	1	$11	14	0	+14	Down	+$3	06-11 03:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 02:05 UTC	1	$11	21	0	+21	Down	-$11	06-14 02:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 01:05 UTC	1	$11	22	0	+22	Down	-$11	06-12 01:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 07:10 UTC	1	$11	17	0	+17	Up	+$6	06-11 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$11	15	0	+15	Up	+$4	06-13 23:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 23:15 UTC	1	$11	16	0	+16	Up	+$5	06-19 23:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 09:35 UTC	1	$11	20	0	+20	Up	-$11	06-19 09:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-26 00:21:21	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on August 27?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x797a92…
08-24 16:21:21	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on August 25?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x39e5db…
08-22 17:21:25	Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 23°C on August 24?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x60ab61…
08-20 05:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 22?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf49d59…
08-20 05:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x9fc211…
08-20 05:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on August 22?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x50c501…
08-19 17:21:19	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x6d955c…
08-18 03:21:30	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 19?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x8bb3c4…
08-18 03:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xb72c16…
08-18 03:21:25	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 19?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x4b7eb2…
08-18 03:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x85acff…
08-17 15:44:34	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xbf376f…
08-15 16:21:33	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 17?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xd72869…
08-15 16:21:30	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x79e2ab…
08-15 16:21:28	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 17?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x6f468a…
08-15 16:21:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 17?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xffac61…
08-15 16:21:19	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 17?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x572ce2…
08-15 05:21:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 17?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x750da3…
08-15 05:21:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 17?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1ad171…
08-13 17:21:22	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 15?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x8492dc…
08-13 17:21:21	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x93b982…
08-13 17:21:19	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 15?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x4e4f56…
08-13 03:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on August 14?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x43d9c5…
08-13 03:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 14?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xc28ee6…
08-13 03:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 14?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x7937bb…
08-12 22:21:19	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 14?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x10cacb…
08-11 22:21:19	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xbf4342…
08-11 17:21:19	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xca52ba…
08-10 23:21:22	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x454139…
08-10 23:21:19	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 12?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xca964c…
08-10 22:21:19	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd7b104…
08-10 17:21:19	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 12?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xaa8781…
08-10 15:21:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 12?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x4896b4…
08-10 15:21:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 12?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xe79519…
08-10 05:21:22	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 12?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb1d64a…
08-10 05:21:19	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 12?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xace9cc…
08-10 00:21:22	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 11?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xd692fa…
08-10 00:21:21	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 11?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x74ea80…
08-09 19:21:21	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 11?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x9b45cd…
08-09 15:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 10?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xb024fd…
08-09 15:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 10?	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xd7bb56…
08-09 05:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 10?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xce4407…
08-09 00:21:19	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 10?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xd936cd…
08-08 22:21:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 10?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x7ee027…
08-08 22:21:57	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 9?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x3c65d0…
08-08 19:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 10?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x738b60…
08-08 19:21:19	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 10?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x06995a…
08-08 05:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe6e9df…
08-08 05:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 10?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x973026…
08-08 03:21:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 9?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x4caa72…
08-08 03:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 9?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x336690…
08-08 03:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on August 9?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x21f47b…
08-08 03:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 9?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x4785ce…
08-07 22:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xaef5ce…
08-07 19:21:21	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 9?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xc7d4b2…
08-07 19:21:21	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 9?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa3980c…
08-07 16:21:19	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 9?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xf73574…
08-07 03:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 8?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x3b4d04…
08-07 03:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 8?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x16c4ef…
08-06 22:21:20	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 8?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x025a66…
08-06 21:21:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 8?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x70e015…
08-06 21:21:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 8?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xec67bd…
08-06 15:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xfb67b6…
08-06 15:21:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 8?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xc15a68…
08-06 15:21:29	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 8?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x25368c…
08-06 05:21:20	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 8?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x4edc82…
08-06 03:21:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 7?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x0dd4db…
08-06 03:21:32	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 7?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x6056fc…
08-06 03:21:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 7?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xc7fb89…
08-06 03:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 7?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xcf1e64…
08-06 03:21:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 7?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xdb56df…
08-06 03:21:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 7?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x5fca97…
08-06 03:21:23	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on August 7?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xf1e958…
08-06 03:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xd9d7ee…
08-06 03:21:20	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 7?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x75d92f…
08-05 22:22:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 6?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xdfd0c7…
08-05 21:22:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x70200f…
08-05 19:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 7?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xf945cf…
08-05 19:21:20	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x6ddf7f…
08-05 17:21:27	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 7?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xc72364…
08-05 17:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 7?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x89b80a…
08-05 17:21:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 7?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xc573db…
08-05 17:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xed35c3…
08-05 17:21:20	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 7?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x8cf35a…
08-05 16:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xb9ce9b…
08-05 16:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 7?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x492f0c…
08-05 16:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 7?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x4ca0a1…
08-05 00:21:23	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on August 6?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xfca8c0…
08-05 00:21:20	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x77047e…
08-04 22:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xdc085e…
08-04 22:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 6?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x3aa8d2…
08-04 22:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x5f62cd…
08-04 22:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on August 6?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x13775c…
08-04 22:21:18	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 6?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xe024e7…
08-04 22:14:35	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xd5d776…
08-04 21:29:35	XRP Up or Down - August 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xeb9893…
08-04 21:21:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 5?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x685a10…
08-04 17:21:23	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x87829f…
08-04 17:21:21	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x008bb4…
08-04 16:21:23	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xafda90…