Agonizing-Listening — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$375

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

144

Trades

301

lifetime

Volume

$9.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 15:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

64% 36% -$293

Politics

30% 41% -$20

Crypto

3% 38% -$36

Sports

2% 33% -$17

Tech

1% 0% -$9

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	9	$1.7K	955	955	+0	Yes	+$4	04-04 10:38
ucl bay usg1 2026 01 21 total 1pt5	5	$1.0K	548	548	+0	Over	+$38	01-21 21:14
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 115 139	2	$737	0	1,494	-1,494	No	-$10	02-18 04:26
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	17	$477	267	267	+0	No	+$4	03-23 15:28
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	7	$391	350	128	+222	Yes	-$198	02-22 08:55
over 70m committed to the ranger public sale rwrn 523	2	$374	214	214	+0	Yes	+$1	01-10 15:40
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$354	199	199	+0	Yes	+$20	03-31 10:04
uel cel4 lil 2026 01 22 cel4	4	$259	170	170	+0	Yes	-$1	01-22 21:39
uel rbs1 bas1 2026 01 22 rbs1	2	$213	118	118	+0	Yes	+$13	01-22 20:36
bun bay wol 2026 01 11 bay	3	$207	115	115	+0	Yes	+$7	01-11 21:20
us x iran meeting by february 13 2026 452	2	$190	200	200	+0	No	-$10	02-09 13:34
ssc fcb rmc 2026 01 11 fcb	2	$180	120	120	+0	Yes	+$60	01-11 21:20
spx up or down on february 19 2026	2	$171	93	93	+0	Down	-$2	02-19 19:18
ucl int ars1 2026 01 20 total 1pt5	2	$163	86	86	+0	Over	+$6	01-20 20:18
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 28	2	$163	0	344	-344	No	-$9	02-12 15:38
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	2	$156	100	100	+0	Yes	+$8	04-06 11:04
will russia enter rizdvianka by march 31 2026	2	$155	108	108	+0	Yes	-$2	02-25 19:38
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	1	$146	150	0	+150	No	+$5	02-07 17:53
bun uni dor 2026 01 24 dor	4	$115	70	70	+0	Yes	+$15	01-24 19:02
spl ett kha 2026 01 12 ett	4	$109	203	203	+0	No	-$31	01-12 19:12
spl ett kha 2026 01 12 draw	4	$107	138	138	+0	No	+$7	01-12 19:08
bitcoin above 78k on february 2	2	$105	58	58	+0	Yes	+$5	02-02 16:27
bun koe bay 2026 01 14 bay	3	$105	62	62	+0	Yes	+$5	01-14 21:24
spl fat riy 2026 01 13 total 4pt5	2	$104	54	54	+0	Under	+$4	01-13 19:31
sea par int 2026 01 07 total 3pt5	2	$104	65	65	+0	Under	+$4	01-07 20:21
sea int pis 2026 01 23 int	2	$100	127	0	+127	Yes	+$27	01-23 19:52
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$99	57	57	+0	Yes	-$2	02-03 05:37
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$96	77	77	+0	Yes	-$4	02-19 11:51
bun wer bay 2026 02 14 total 2pt5	3	$96	56	56	+0	Over	-$4	02-14 15:54
lal rso bar 2026 01 18 bar	6	$90	79	79	+0	No	-$10	01-18 21:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 15:17:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	16¢	$5	0xd48cb1…
07-21 15:16:51	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	16¢	$5	0xf2d8ed…
07-21 15:16:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	16¢	$5	0xc630da…
07-21 15:16:19	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	12¢	$4	0xd065ac…
07-18 14:41:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x589cca…
07-18 14:40:39	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x6172bc…
07-18 14:36:46	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	30¢	$7	0x4db23d…
07-18 14:34:07	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	28¢	$7	0xb7e5ee…
07-18 14:33:04	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x1fe5c4…
07-18 14:32:36	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xaf38d3…
07-18 14:31:09	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	29¢	$9	0xde3227…
07-18 14:30:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	14¢	$4	0x9703dd…
07-18 10:50:36	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x7d48af…
07-18 03:41:49	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	28¢	$8	0x0d462c…
07-18 03:40:58	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x8f232e…
07-18 03:40:45	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xcdc14e…
07-18 03:40:33	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x07efc9…
07-18 03:23:58	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0xbe5e93…
07-17 07:43:24	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0xa46cd7…
07-11 18:33:16	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xee0a88…
07-11 09:44:01	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0xeaa9a4…
07-11 09:43:31	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0xbbd883…
07-05 13:33:31	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	30¢	$18	0x16d742…
07-05 13:32:28	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	46¢	$30	0x1bcc53…
07-03 16:44:53	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xef3239…
07-03 15:23:50	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x13977e…
07-02 14:22:32	Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x650d4e…
07-02 14:22:01	Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xd6bbf0…
07-02 10:32:02	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xef693f…
07-02 10:31:13	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	178	1¢	$1	0xd9edb8…
07-02 03:27:31	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x4a899e…
07-01 15:31:26	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa25921…
07-01 09:10:14	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xfad643…
07-01 02:49:22	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xfd4e22…
06-30 19:53:11	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xafe756…
06-30 04:42:07	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xd4e01b…
06-30 04:39:11	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xed3929…
06-16 10:48:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x46f9fc…
06-15 15:32:49	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0x8504cc…
06-15 00:23:16	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xae0584…
05-24 11:50:13	Roland Garros ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Marco Trungelliti	Kyrian Jacquet	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x578288…
05-24 08:28:23	Roland Garros ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Marco Trungelliti	Kyrian Jacquet	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x707c34…
05-21 02:30:03	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	31	91¢	$28	0xd6605f…
05-18 21:06:00	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xec7d9a…
05-15 20:21:04	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x185f1d…
05-15 20:00:39	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xc58c31…
05-09 14:14:22	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x3093fb…
05-09 12:51:24	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	SELL	17	23¢	$4	0x749d07…
05-09 12:42:33	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x28b478…
05-03 19:18:58	Will Real Betis qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	No	SELL	65	35¢	$23	0x8f9805…
05-03 09:35:34	Will Real Betis qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	No	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x658318…
05-03 09:06:02	Will Real Betis qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xf22e6f…
04-08 16:24:53	atp cobolli blockx 2026 04 08	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8294b9…
04-06 11:04:31	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	SELL	100	82¢	$82	0x6d82a1…
04-04 10:38:51	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	226	96¢	$217	0x3d25e3…
04-03 11:44:31	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	226	95¢	$215	0xe51aa2…
04-02 17:10:25	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xd55be7…
04-02 17:07:19	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	311	93¢	$290	0x37df56…
04-02 02:04:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	276	93¢	$257	0x8ab96a…
04-02 01:57:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	35	90¢	$32	0x0de4f5…
04-01 16:28:47	ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xd1a85f…
04-01 09:46:49	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	353	82¢	$289	0xcd4008…
04-01 05:42:35	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	353	81¢	$286	0x1e405c…
03-31 10:04:33	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	199	94¢	$187	0x0af6aa…
03-28 17:06:11	fif sco jpn 2026 03 28 jpn	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0x146ce5…
03-28 17:00:13	fif sco jpn 2026 03 28 jpn	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xa16527…
03-28 12:56:07	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 12:45 UTC	Down	SELL	17	3¢	$1	0x77a2f2…
03-28 12:52:21	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x1427f5…
03-26 03:37:53	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	199	84¢	$167	0x4a915c…
03-25 16:41:23	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	17	72¢	$12	0x00006d…
03-25 16:41:13	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	17	72¢	$12	0x43dc5a…
03-25 16:40:53	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0x363064…
03-25 16:40:47	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xd67417…
03-25 16:40:25	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x47d739…
03-25 11:45:27	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 479 558	No	SELL	23	60¢	$14	0x6fbe85…
03-25 11:25:05	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 479 558	No	BUY	23	60¢	$14	0x8a9e24…
03-24 17:59:59	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	52	75¢	$39	0xe4c1c7…
03-24 17:50:17	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0x0f32f7…
03-24 15:09:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x52f602…
03-24 15:05:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc77c0a…
03-23 15:28:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	69	87¢	$60	0x4fe268…
03-23 15:24:05	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xba1767…
03-23 15:24:05	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x7b1564…
03-23 15:24:03	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xd3c1be…
03-23 15:24:03	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x508b53…
03-23 15:24:03	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x20108a…
03-23 15:24:01	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x518ef7…
03-23 15:24:01	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	33	87¢	$28	0x47c6b9…
03-23 11:15:57	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x7baf68…
03-23 11:10:17	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	65	72¢	$47	0x75d865…
03-23 04:36:01	atp matsuok milic 2026 03 22	Ognjen Milic	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x8626f5…
03-22 18:20:35	sea fio int 2026 03 22 int	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x757b32…
03-22 11:14:03	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	65	76¢	$49	0xea0136…
03-22 03:48:15	mls vwh sje 2026 03 21 vwh	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x8068d2…
03-21 11:45:31	mls min sea 2026 03 22 min	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x0b8acc…
03-21 11:45:05	mls min sea 2026 03 22 sea	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x337bd8…
03-21 11:42:11	mls phi chi 2026 03 21 chi	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xbe1c1e…
03-21 11:41:53	mls phi chi 2026 03 21 phi	Yes	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0xb84220…
03-21 11:38:55	mls vwh sje 2026 03 21 vwh	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x17ea2f…
03-21 11:34:13	mls aus laf 2026 03 21 laf	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf9a924…