Nocturnal-Wrong — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,501

lifetime

Volume

$68.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 06-09 17:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

79% 96% +$2

Sports

17% 100% +$1

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-24 16:02
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	5	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 22pt5	9	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-25 02:49
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$100	50	50	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	6	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-25 02:47
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	3	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23 set totals 2pt5	10	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-17 05:01
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-31 04:01
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-01 01:47
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-15 20:57
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-23 13:58
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$100	50	50	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-25 15:25
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-24 20:11
highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 11c	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-02 01:54
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on April 25?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-26 04:43
Bitcoin above 76,400 on April 30, 8AM ET?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-30 12:33
Game Handicap: LGD (-2.5) vs Alibaba PKQ (+2.5)	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-25 16:28
lal elc mal 2026 03 21 total 1pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	03-21 14:30
efa whu lee 2026 04 04 whu	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-05 17:39
epl che mac 2026 04 12 mac	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-12 18:09
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	06-08 21:37
La Bisbal: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Aliona Bolsova	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-29 21:10
Wild vs. Stars	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-29 02:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:24:04	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x362ac4…
06-08 21:37:04	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x426f36…
06-08 12:03:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x72ee49…
06-07 21:09:31	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfa4910…
06-07 17:38:58	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x49c222…
06-07 16:59:27	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x57df6d…
06-07 13:09:43	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x49d401…
06-06 23:09:46	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3b15c9…
06-06 22:08:30	mlb oak hou 2026 06 06 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4e8e6d…
06-06 14:19:19	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x87e40c…
06-06 11:32:36	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8e7703…
06-06 11:32:36	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5855a7…
06-05 15:45:21	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x53d5b9…
06-05 01:53:15	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa2fd6e…
06-04 14:24:33	itf spiteri pace 2026 06 04	Dalila Spiteri	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x70dbd7…
06-04 14:19:12	atp mcdonal hijikat 2026 06 03 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc233e2…
06-04 13:47:01	atp doubles brooste kirkpee 2026 06 02	Kirkov/Peers	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x36268f…
06-04 04:48:10	crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	Mali	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x255b22…
06-03 18:15:31	Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Guo/Mladenovic	Aoyama/Liang	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x409912…
06-03 16:04:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6d3a32…
06-03 11:31:47	T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Oman	Oman	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdfba12…
06-03 06:26:04	T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Malaysia vs Kuwait	Malaysia	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb00bd7…
06-03 04:48:46	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x7c3361…
06-03 04:48:46	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x626980…
06-02 22:56:07	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe64991…
06-02 15:24:31	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2ae26a…
06-01 18:06:51	Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5fb070…
06-01 14:41:31	will spy reach 750 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7ac431…
06-01 01:16:36	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd6ef20…
05-31 22:44:58	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands	Netherlands	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xeba08f…
05-31 21:54:23	New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7f7c29…
05-31 19:09:25	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9b2c9a…
05-31 19:00:07	Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbf8276…
05-31 15:36:43	Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x779ea6…
05-31 14:19:36	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb6ffaf…
05-31 04:54:21	Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)	Athletics	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfdd9bf…
05-31 04:44:17	Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)	Seattle Mariners	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7ca615…
05-30 22:09:43	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9e6eba…
05-30 19:09:19	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc8a703…
05-30 16:11:43	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh	Scotland	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd5ea6b…
05-30 14:25:16	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x17296a…
05-30 13:13:43	Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)	Svajda	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9a1214…
05-30 04:47:55	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xdfb19e…
05-30 04:47:55	Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xac5339…
05-30 04:47:55	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x272512…
05-29 21:06:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6af2dd…
05-29 21:05:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xff84ec…
05-29 21:05:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xefdc19…
05-29 21:01:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0affe4…
05-29 19:20:07	Fonseca vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x06b1ea…
05-29 13:57:01	Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x59d612…
05-29 08:52:22	ITF Tsaghkadzor: Daria Kuznetsova vs Anna Bazderova	Anna Bazderova	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x57eaef…
05-28 16:52:16	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbae9ba…
05-28 16:31:24	Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x40470b…
05-28 16:31:24	Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3b3619…
05-28 16:31:23	Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd66dd4…
05-28 16:31:23	Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x2c86a6…
05-28 12:33:02	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Cerundolo	Sinner	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb62733…
05-28 02:32:36	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x934b57…
05-27 16:00:34	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x42ce1e…
05-27 02:14:32	Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8af66a…
05-26 21:24:44	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xeb85f9…
05-26 14:03:26	Set Handicap: Vacherot (-2.5) vs Faurel (+2.5)	Faurel	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0b41c6…
05-26 13:17:57	Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8639a1…
05-26 01:13:55	Botafogo FC vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x00937c…
05-25 19:22:03	Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x777b67…
05-25 19:18:26	Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7e9c9a…
05-25 19:06:39	Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stage	ASTRAL	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x69cc96…
05-25 08:09:11	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	New Zealand A	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x90f1d1…
05-25 04:48:24	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe36a62…
05-24 22:22:47	Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x043e60…
05-24 20:49:39	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe6c8da…
05-24 19:25:20	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Quentin Halys	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfd88c9…
05-24 16:02:53	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x3dfdff…
05-24 15:29:51	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x582229…
05-24 13:32:37	Forca Lleida CE vs. Basquet Club Andorra	Basquet Club Andorra	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfa645f…
05-23 17:47:07	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4f683a…
05-23 16:16:07	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5d3a6e…
05-23 12:56:35	Nedic vs. Sanchis: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc67508…
05-23 09:32:02	ITF Wuning: Yingqun Sun vs Yidi Yang	Yidi Yang	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x51d8da…
05-23 04:33:50	Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5	Under	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf8a9d4…
05-23 01:24:49	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf20341…
05-22 20:37:17	Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)	ACF Fiorentina	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5a8ac8…
05-22 10:23:28	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2f9672…
05-21 14:24:59	Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Joint/Perez vs Eikeri/Gleason	Eikeri/Gleason	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x495c5f…
05-21 11:20:09	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdc228a…
05-21 04:00:51	Spread: Cusco FC (-1.5)	Independiente Medellín	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x685400…
05-20 21:53:23	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb2a932…
05-20 21:22:33	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0aea18…
05-20 21:17:32	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x40d256…
05-20 19:13:52	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc09231…
05-20 14:01:52	Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x487eca…
05-20 11:47:11	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Ugo Blanchet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x372457…
05-20 11:46:58	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Ugo Blanchet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa945f5…
05-20 10:29:36	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Oleksandra Oliynykova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x679e74…
05-20 09:47:39	First Blood in Game 1?	T1	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x737d64…
05-20 04:04:51	Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 170.5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf085b7…
05-19 20:50:09	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1e2ff3…
05-19 20:02:49	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Emilio Nava vs Yunchaokete Bu	Emilio Nava	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x971295…
05-19 19:59:33	Set 1 Winner: Paul vs Etcheverry	Etcheverry	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x776eb2…