Nocturnal-Wrong — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,589

lifetime

Volume

$72.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 06-30 10:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

79% 96% +$2

Sports

17% 100% +$1

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	5	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$100	50	50	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 22pt5	9	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-25 02:49
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-24 16:02
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	6	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-25 02:47
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	3	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23 set totals 2pt5	10	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-17 05:01
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-31 04:01
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-23 13:58
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-01 01:47
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-15 20:57
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-25 15:25
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$100	50	50	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-24 20:11
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-31 04:54
atp fatic bondiol 2026 03 30 match total 21pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-02 17:23
highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 11c	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-02 01:54
highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 17 2026 31c	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-17 06:17
lol gen g2 2026 03 21	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	03-21 18:25
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	06-08 21:37
efa whu lee 2026 04 04 whu	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-05 17:39
atp bueno casanov 2026 04 10 first set winner Bueno vs Casanova	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-10 16:30
epl che mac 2026 04 12 mac	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-12 18:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 10:12:47	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc3e4c7…
06-30 04:26:05	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8212e1…
06-29 23:57:28	mlb pit phi 2026 06 29 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x69bf66…
06-29 22:43:19	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals jamal musiala gte1	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5a5679…
06-29 13:52:43	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x837da5…
06-28 21:18:22	mlb hou det 2026 06 28 spread away 1pt5	Houston Astros	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7d8323…
06-28 16:47:28	cs2 berg sinqur 2026 06 28	Esport BERG	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x86a60a…
06-28 13:10:53	cs2 mana1 subtop 2026 06 28 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8bddd0…
06-28 12:35:02	crint cze lux 2026 06 28	Czechia	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x6c91a9…
06-28 12:22:16	crint cze lux 2026 06 28	Czechia	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9b7abb…
06-28 04:12:34	will iran reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120760	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x59c5cb…
06-28 03:59:25	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1279fb…
06-28 03:22:25	mlb atl sf 2026 06 27 spread home 1pt5	San Francisco Giants	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd27bcf…
06-28 03:00:52	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe872c1…
06-27 23:52:49	cs2 fx keyd 2026 06 27 game2	Fluxo	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x42f83c…
06-27 22:56:44	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2d0ffa…
06-27 22:56:41	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x674a40…
06-27 18:05:50	ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0abca4…
06-27 17:39:44	cs2 ice shk 2026 06 27 game3 round handicap shk 6pt5	Inner Circle Esports	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa934cc…
06-27 14:56:02	codmw tex g2m 2026 06 27	OpTic Texas	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x608811…
06-27 02:32:47	Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7e03f2…
06-27 01:32:26	mlb phi nym 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	New York Mets	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3669b8…
06-26 16:06:55	codmw riyf tor 2026 06 26	Toronto KOI	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x13f53f…
06-26 11:54:02	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0c37f0…
06-26 00:55:49	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0ad7e3…
06-25 22:21:08	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xaf3808…
06-25 02:00:28	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x920e51…
06-25 01:49:31	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf0159a…
06-25 00:07:19	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x95795e…
06-25 00:04:46	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x917712…
06-24 23:24:10	cs2 bca og1 2026 06 24 map handicap home 1pt5	Betclic Apogee Esports	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x625293…
06-24 21:03:43	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa4bd9f…
06-24 20:58:53	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0b1451…
06-24 12:34:50	kbo kia kiw 2026 06 24	Kia Tigers	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd4e52c…
06-23 20:00:56	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5cf6d1…
06-23 19:46:34	val fks1 mir 2026 06 23 game1	MIR	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x55c685…
06-23 19:03:44	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa6fcb3…
06-23 18:25:07	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcdd803…
06-23 12:38:41	kbo sam lg 2026 06 23	LG Twins	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2b3628…
06-23 00:54:55	mlb kc tb 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	Kansas City Royals	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd86ab3…
06-21 21:04:38	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 assists kevin de bruyne gte1	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0150a9…
06-21 18:13:08	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6f193a…
06-21 18:04:58	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x50579f…
06-21 18:03:17	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc65d98…
06-21 02:01:40	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe3f54e…
06-20 20:06:31	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x215005…
06-20 15:39:58	cs2 aur1 furia 2026 06 20 game1 round total 21pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x16daee…
06-20 12:43:56	cs2 echo ice 2026 06 20 game1	ECHO	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x12e3de…
06-20 05:14:16	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x558ff6…
06-20 02:37:08	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbbcbbf…
06-20 01:49:01	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xabfcac…
06-19 15:45:31	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x407977…
06-19 11:53:02	cs2 inf6 ruby1 2026 06 19 game1	ex-RUBY	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x065951…
06-19 00:15:46	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe2906d…
06-19 00:12:38	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8231b3…
06-18 22:59:28	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbe9be9…
06-18 20:21:10	cs2 100t leo2 2026 06 18 game3 round handicap 100t 6pt5	Leo Team	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x791c85…
06-17 19:17:56	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc134d2…
06-17 19:04:13	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x13bc17…
06-17 16:10:02	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x13f729…
06-17 16:07:43	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x51ac16…
06-17 16:06:52	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc32870…
06-16 14:06:23	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf5d6d9…
06-16 12:37:39	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf7315e…
06-16 02:29:40	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2bde8c…
06-15 21:08:51	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfb3dd1…
06-15 18:27:52	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x54e3bb…
06-15 12:41:43	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdb632b…
06-15 01:32:10	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x46d0db…
06-14 19:57:39	cs2 g2 lgc 2026 06 14	G2	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa176c8…
06-14 19:02:27	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xaffab2…
06-14 17:38:04	cs2 bb3 vit 2026 06 14 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xaa2ce6…
06-13 11:58:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x342ace…
06-13 09:02:46	cs2 fnc minken 2026 06 13	fnatic	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x340595…
06-13 01:55:00	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5a4578…
06-12 21:42:21	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1caed6…
06-12 21:01:31	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x89a32a…
06-12 20:37:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6cceef…
06-12 20:26:46	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x10ecb4…
06-12 20:19:01	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x335650…
06-12 20:17:07	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc25260…
06-12 13:30:04	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x409420…
06-11 22:13:42	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x94be31…
06-11 21:05:00	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe29fa5…
06-11 16:53:27	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6d8523…
06-11 12:58:15	itf cuenin baroni 2026 06 11 first set total 10pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x799c14…
06-10 20:16:55	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x144e3c…
06-10 20:05:12	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd02630…
06-09 17:24:04	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x362ac4…
06-08 21:37:04	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x426f36…
06-08 12:03:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x72ee49…
06-07 21:09:31	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfa4910…
06-07 17:38:58	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x49c222…
06-07 16:59:27	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x57df6d…
06-07 13:09:43	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x49d401…
06-06 23:09:46	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3b15c9…
06-06 22:08:30	mlb oak hou 2026 06 06 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4e8e6d…
06-06 14:19:19	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x87e40c…
06-06 11:32:36	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8e7703…
06-06 11:32:36	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5855a7…