Nocturnal-Wrong — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$60

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

2,270

Trades

2,488

lifetime

Volume

$109.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 10-28 19:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 223 days

Categories

Other

81% 98% +$39

Sports

15% 100% +$17

Crypto

3% 97% +$3

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$100	50	50	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	6	$100	50	50	+0	Over	+$0	04-25 02:47
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$100	50	50	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:02
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$100	50	50	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	7	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:36
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	5	$100	50	50	+0	Over	+$0	05-30 04:47
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:32
Will Bensac Win TFT Set 17 Tacticians crown?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-27 05:32
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	7	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:36
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 22pt5	9	$100	50	50	+0	Under	+$0	04-25 02:49
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	3	$100	50	50	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-30 04:47
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$100	50	50	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:47
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23 set totals 2pt5	10	$100	50	50	+0	Under 2.5	+$0	03-17 05:01
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:31
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:01
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$100	50	50	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	$0	04-25 15:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 19:17:17	M25 Norman, OK: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Giles Hussey	Johan Alexander Rodriguez	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x497b0c…
10-28 15:38:17	W50 Istanbul: Anastasia Gasanova vs Ekaterina Dotsenko	Ekaterina Dotsenko	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xde76b4…
10-27 21:08:24	FC Bayern Munchen vs. Barcelona	Barcelona	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x958431…
10-27 13:12:08	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9faad3…
10-25 22:08:57	Sioux Falls: Cooper Woestendick vs Andrew Fenty	Andrew Fenty	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xff196b…
10-25 15:53:26	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x74671b…
10-25 09:30:59	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8af5d1…
10-25 04:37:38	Will San Diego FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe7945d…
10-24 16:57:06	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x22a7c2…
10-24 13:22:18	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xf7079b…
10-24 12:13:08	Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Quintessence - Map 1 Winner	Donstu Esports	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xcdc2dd…
10-24 08:54:35	Illawarra Hawks vs. Brisbane Bullets	Brisbane Bullets	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfb5d8d…
10-23 19:57:09	Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs	BESTIA	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1a2f72…
10-23 19:42:08	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Virtus.pro - Map 3 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3963c4…
10-23 16:52:32	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x529e9e…
10-23 07:09:50	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x561f22…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x176dab…
10-22 20:16:33	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf52673…
10-22 03:03:08	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa7eb3c…
10-21 12:22:57	Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x38f808…
10-20 18:47:42	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xeee278…
10-20 18:36:03	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5d9b36…
10-20 17:07:15	Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x705617…
10-20 01:44:00	Avalanche vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xdc04ea…
10-19 19:19:29	Fort Worth: Kenta Miyoshi vs Sander Jong	Sander Jong	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x17f11c…
10-19 15:46:36	Florence: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Bondioli	Federico Bondioli	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xbc4647…
10-18 22:40:00	Fort Worth: Quinn Vandecasteele vs Michael Antonius	Michael Antonius	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4547b…
10-18 17:03:23	Lisbon: Kai Wehnelt vs Milos Karol	Kai Wehnelt	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb8fd8e…
10-18 15:35:05	European Open, Qualification: Clement Chidekh vs Gauthier Onclin	Clement Chidekh	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4df515…
10-18 13:09:32	Will GKS Piast Gliwice win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd58a5a…
10-18 03:35:39	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x422743…
10-17 13:14:11	wta kubka salkova 2026 10 17	Dominika Salkova	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xa47021…
10-15 20:32:38	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xd18ef1…
10-15 19:37:43	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcfd3e1…
10-14 20:56:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfe5bef…
10-14 12:36:45	wta hercog ortenzi 2026 10 14	Polona Hercog	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xaca778…
10-14 11:41:29	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc3202e…
10-13 22:49:00	atp casanov serna 2026 10 13	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x545675…
10-13 21:37:33	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5fec79…
10-13 20:58:52	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8f8b62…
10-13 18:15:40	Will Italy win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x29aa3a…
10-13 14:15:20	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8a43b3…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x632dd2…
10-12 16:35:44	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcca272…
10-12 09:05:07	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0eb8e3…
10-11 20:16:09	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x96b211…
10-11 18:40:13	Basketball Loewen Braunschweig vs. Riesen Ludwigsburg	Riesen Ludwigsburg	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfc45ff…
10-11 10:49:51	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xa116d5…
10-11 10:26:11	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe507e2…
10-11 05:01:27	Kings vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x987cf0…
10-10 23:31:07	Tennessee vs. Arkansas	Tennessee	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0bb5d3…
10-10 16:40:43	Will GAIS win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x75c04b…
10-10 14:49:51	Will Sandvikens IF win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x190810…
10-10 11:08:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8d37e7…
10-10 10:21:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x2e4bdc…
10-09 14:48:45	atp neumaye gurri 2026 10 09	Lukas Neumayer	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x36a93c…
10-09 02:09:59	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa3800b…
10-08 07:14:28	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Hamad Medjedovic	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x78c740…
10-08 05:27:44	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Kimmer Coppejans vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x58df73…
10-07 14:42:14	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x3bda4e…
10-07 14:01:44	Braga: Matej Dodig vs Andrea Pellegrino	Matej Dodig	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x890088…
10-07 06:30:53	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6a8d8f…
10-07 05:38:38	W15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja Suvirdjonkova	Anna Yang	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x0b6d54…
10-06 20:46:27	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x27c9d4…
10-06 20:44:39	Will Bulgaria win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x42b61d…
10-06 17:34:35	Palermo: Christian Langmo vs Lorenzo Giustino	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x83733c…
10-06 16:07:35	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcdcccf…
10-06 13:20:18	Samsun: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x22eb39…
10-06 06:16:07	T20 World Cup Asia Sub-Regional Qualifier A: Qatar vs Thailand	Qatar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5397b0…
10-05 13:56:20	Counter-Strike: MORROW vs Noir Verse (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A	MORROW	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ad55c…
10-04 23:23:17	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5db9a1…
10-04 20:17:40	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7f7c13…
10-04 07:45:10	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x8905c9…
10-03 16:04:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on October 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xefb59f…
10-03 14:50:26	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf126c3…
10-03 06:09:56	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x225381…
10-03 02:53:00	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x28b19b…
10-03 00:23:18	W15 Nashville, TN: Rose Marie Nijkamp vs Emma Kamper	Rose Marie Nijkamp	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x87b279…
10-02 19:33:23	Curitiba: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Luis Guto Miguel	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x61d1e7…
10-02 18:41:56	Columbus: Darwin Blanch vs Dylan Dietrich	Dylan Dietrich	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x14b28e…
10-02 18:40:26	Columbus: Darwin Blanch vs Dylan Dietrich	Dylan Dietrich	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe9eca3…
10-02 18:32:42	Columbus: Darwin Blanch vs Dylan Dietrich	Dylan Dietrich	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xfa3911…
10-02 18:26:15	Columbus: Darwin Blanch vs Dylan Dietrich	Dylan Dietrich	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xca8344…
10-02 14:17:59	Counter-Strike: BBL vs SportsBetExpert (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B	BBL	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc1d042…
10-02 14:15:30	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xf5f69c…
10-02 14:13:38	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x400ef4…
10-02 13:03:29	Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe0e7c5…
10-02 06:25:14	Will Tunisia vs. Mali end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8822f…
10-01 23:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf9b80d…
10-01 22:23:56	atp dias olivier 2026 10 01	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xbde607…
10-01 21:20:53	Will Morocco vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd034ee…
10-01 21:13:08	W100 Templeton, CA: Julieta Pareja vs Mary Stoiana	Julieta Pareja	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x472663…
10-01 21:00:36	Paris Basketball vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	Paris Basketball	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5cc60e…
10-01 20:46:23	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe7bb38…
10-01 20:42:27	Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd466ae…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xa05578…
10-01 19:32:57	Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbb4d89…
10-01 19:01:48	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc76363…
10-01 17:35:11	Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	mellren	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2bc786…
10-01 17:28:57	Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs BORRACHEIROS - Map 2 Winner	Yawara Esports	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xacdc83…