Nocturnal-Wrong — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$62

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

97.1%

Resolved

2,316

Trades

2,535

lifetime

Volume

$110.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

$19

1 position

First seen

2026-03-15

last 11-10 17:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 234 days

Categories

Other

80% 98% +$40

Sports

15% 100% +$17

Crypto

3% 97% +$3

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente	Santiago De La Fuente		+21	$21	90¢	$19	-$2	11-10 18:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$100	50	50	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	6	$100	50	50	+0	Over	+$0	04-25 02:47
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$100	50	50	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:02
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$100	50	50	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	7	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:36
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	5	$100	50	50	+0	Over	+$0	05-30 04:47
Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:32
Will Bensac Win TFT Set 17 Tacticians crown?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-27 05:32
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	7	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:36
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 22pt5	9	$100	50	50	+0	Under	+$0	04-25 02:49
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	3	$100	50	50	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-30 04:47
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$100	50	50	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:47
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23 set totals 2pt5	10	$100	50	50	+0	Under 2.5	+$0	03-17 05:01
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:31
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:01
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$100	50	50	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	$0	04-25 15:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 18:12:10	Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente	Santiago De La Fuente	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xff0e6e…
11-10 17:49:01	Orleans: Sebastian Baez vs Daniil Glinka	Sebastian Baez	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x7e24d3…
11-10 16:02:51	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf5d618…
11-10 04:11:12	Matsuyama: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Ognjen Milic	Ognjen Milic	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd45828…
11-10 03:46:10	Pacers vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcf5985…
11-10 02:53:48	Syracuse Orange vs. Indiana Hoosiers	Indiana Hoosiers	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf4c528…
11-09 18:53:22	Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs ILLYRIANS (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Play-In	ILLYRIANS	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5d21fe…
11-09 06:32:07	UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors	Hawaii Rainbow Warriors	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3bf72f…
11-09 03:28:42	Matsuyama: Masamichi Imamura vs Ryuki Matsuda	Ryuki Matsuda	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa1a7c6…
11-08 04:25:49	Rockets vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5dff1d…
11-08 00:39:12	UT Martin Skyhawks vs. IU Indy Jaguars	IU Indy Jaguars	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5831db…
11-07 21:54:00	Lamar Cardinals vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats	Abilene Christian Wildcats	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x70a5d3…
11-07 21:34:28	Trabzonspor vs. Petkim Spor	Petkim Spor	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb6cd59…
11-07 19:26:48	Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-11-07?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x88ee93…
11-07 17:13:40	Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Jurij Rodionov	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x656852…
11-07 16:39:46	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x061bce…
11-07 16:16:30	Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2b36f5…
11-07 14:47:33	Counter-Strike: Lunacy Team vs maybe - Map 2 Winner	Lunacy Team	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x25f095…
11-07 08:17:49	M15 Hilton Head Island, SC: Raul Garcia vs Max Sheldon	Max Sheldon	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0a7354…
11-06 17:25:15	Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs Ryvex - Map 1 Winner	Drama eSports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfb8f71…
11-06 17:04:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xda5fd3…
11-06 17:04:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0262b7…
11-06 08:20:36	W100 Incheon: Priska Madelyn Nugroho vs Yeonwoo Ku	Yeonwoo Ku	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6efff8…
11-06 03:59:07	Ducks vs. Oilers	Ducks	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x526027…
11-05 21:52:57	Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Barcelona	Barcelona	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xaf0a99…
11-05 20:08:34	Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf27672…
11-05 12:37:27	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs maybe (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage	maybe	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x689427…
11-02 15:24:07	Villa Maria: Santiago De la Fuente vs Ryo Tabata	Ryo Tabata	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3ec894…
11-02 07:02:19	Taipei: Kasidit Samrej vs Omar Jasika	Omar Jasika	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a7301…
11-02 03:53:27	Taipei: Yanki Erel vs Masamichi Imamura	Masamichi Imamura	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd412b8…
11-01 19:02:19	Counter-Strike: prodigy vs Ducks - Map 2 Winner	prodigy	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa37a41…
11-01 14:54:37	Will Degerfors IF win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7e41a2…
11-01 02:37:49	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xee8bca…
11-01 01:38:54	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9a288a…
11-01 01:09:45	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x07c002…
11-01 00:43:21	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x761938…
11-01 00:15:00	Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7af483…
11-01 00:05:18	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dakota Hope	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xfdcf42…
10-31 16:00:13	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x748b7b…
10-31 00:26:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x06faa3…
10-30 23:40:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbbb8ac…
10-30 22:23:21	Queretaro: Tatjana Maria vs Valeriya Strakhova	Tatjana Maria	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x0dc4c4…
10-30 16:44:25	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x6a2f54…
10-30 04:33:54	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x0496e4…
10-29 20:05:15	Guayaquil: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Valerio Aboian	Valerio Aboian	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x416cb5…
10-29 16:56:20	M15 João Pessoa: Nicolas Bruna vs Bastian Malla	Nicolas Bruna	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xae1c99…
10-29 15:14:20	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb5ce5b…
10-29 14:53:46	M25 Sheffield: Matt Ponchet vs Martin Krumich	Matt Ponchet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xacf61d…
10-28 19:17:17	M25 Norman, OK: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Giles Hussey	Johan Alexander Rodriguez	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x497b0c…
10-28 15:38:17	W50 Istanbul: Anastasia Gasanova vs Ekaterina Dotsenko	Ekaterina Dotsenko	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xde76b4…
10-27 21:08:24	FC Bayern Munchen vs. Barcelona	Barcelona	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x958431…
10-27 13:12:08	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9faad3…
10-25 22:08:57	Sioux Falls: Cooper Woestendick vs Andrew Fenty	Andrew Fenty	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xff196b…
10-25 15:53:26	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x74671b…
10-25 09:30:59	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8af5d1…
10-25 04:37:38	Will San Diego FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe7945d…
10-24 16:57:06	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x22a7c2…
10-24 13:22:18	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xf7079b…
10-24 12:13:08	Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Quintessence - Map 1 Winner	Donstu Esports	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xcdc2dd…
10-24 08:54:35	Illawarra Hawks vs. Brisbane Bullets	Brisbane Bullets	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfb5d8d…
10-23 19:57:09	Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs	BESTIA	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1a2f72…
10-23 19:42:08	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Virtus.pro - Map 3 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3963c4…
10-23 16:52:32	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x529e9e…
10-23 07:09:50	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x561f22…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x176dab…
10-22 20:16:33	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf52673…
10-22 03:03:08	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa7eb3c…
10-21 12:22:57	Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x38f808…
10-20 18:47:42	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xeee278…
10-20 18:36:03	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5d9b36…
10-20 17:07:15	Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x705617…
10-20 01:44:00	Avalanche vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xdc04ea…
10-19 19:19:29	Fort Worth: Kenta Miyoshi vs Sander Jong	Sander Jong	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x17f11c…
10-19 15:46:36	Florence: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Bondioli	Federico Bondioli	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xbc4647…
10-18 22:40:00	Fort Worth: Quinn Vandecasteele vs Michael Antonius	Michael Antonius	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4547b…
10-18 17:03:23	Lisbon: Kai Wehnelt vs Milos Karol	Kai Wehnelt	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb8fd8e…
10-18 15:35:05	European Open, Qualification: Clement Chidekh vs Gauthier Onclin	Clement Chidekh	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4df515…
10-18 13:09:32	Will GKS Piast Gliwice win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd58a5a…
10-18 03:35:39	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x422743…
10-17 13:14:11	wta kubka salkova 2026 10 17	Dominika Salkova	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xa47021…
10-15 20:32:38	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xd18ef1…
10-15 19:37:43	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcfd3e1…
10-14 20:56:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfe5bef…
10-14 12:36:45	wta hercog ortenzi 2026 10 14	Polona Hercog	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xaca778…
10-14 11:41:29	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc3202e…
10-13 22:49:00	atp casanov serna 2026 10 13	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x545675…
10-13 21:37:33	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5fec79…
10-13 20:58:52	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8f8b62…
10-13 18:15:40	Will Italy win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x29aa3a…
10-13 14:15:20	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8a43b3…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x632dd2…
10-12 16:35:44	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcca272…
10-12 09:05:07	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0eb8e3…
10-11 20:16:09	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x96b211…
10-11 18:40:13	Basketball Loewen Braunschweig vs. Riesen Ludwigsburg	Riesen Ludwigsburg	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfc45ff…
10-11 10:49:51	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xa116d5…
10-11 10:26:11	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe507e2…
10-11 05:01:27	Kings vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x987cf0…
10-10 23:31:07	Tennessee vs. Arkansas	Tennessee	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0bb5d3…
10-10 16:40:43	Will GAIS win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x75c04b…