Pretty-Expectation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

11.3%

Resolved

Trades

650

lifetime

Volume

$25.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 18:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

99% — —

Politics

1% 0% $-9

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 320 339	20	$1.1K	517	620	-103	open	—	01-24 13:10
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 480 499	36	$999	515	505	+10	open	—	01-18 08:07
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 380 399	25	$837	413	442	-29	open	—	01-20 20:32
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 520 539	13	$827	321	531	-210	open	—	01-12 18:06
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 0 39	12	$694	357	357	+0	open	—	02-08 11:17
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 360 379	16	$668	357	321	+36	open	—	01-21 04:36
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 300 319	11	$663	287	388	-102	open	—	01-24 13:15
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 0 39	13	$650	339	339	+0	open	—	02-09 14:23
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 40 64	12	$635	341	341	+0	open	—	02-08 19:10
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 340 359	6	$619	165	473	-309	open	—	01-24 07:39
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 40 64	8	$614	315	315	+0	open	—	01-25 12:36
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 40 64	5	$602	306	306	+0	open	—	01-26 17:01
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 40 64	8	$584	272	325	-53	open	—	01-22 18:33
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 0 39	6	$534	221	326	-105	open	—	02-02 15:45
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 90 114	23	$503	290	294	-4	open	—	01-15 18:17
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 40 64	9	$499	201	303	-102	open	—	01-30 10:40
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 40 64	17	$475	243	256	-14	open	—	02-05 18:08
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 0 39	11	$439	236	236	+0	open	—	02-13 23:57
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 180 199	12	$432	226	226	+0	open	—	02-07 17:51
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 90 114	3	$429	226	226	+0	open	—	02-10 14:55
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 520 539	11	$407	237	237	+0	open	—	01-19 04:58
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 0 39	4	$403	205	205	+0	open	—	01-22 22:43
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 280 299	5	$402	103	306	-204	open	—	01-23 15:04
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 500 519	5	$401	205	205	+0	open	—	01-22 18:31
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 340 359	6	$398	204	204	+0	open	—	01-21 11:06
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 40 64	6	$397	203	203	+0	open	—	02-10 12:43
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	11	$370	200	200	+0	open	—	01-10 09:12
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 65 89	6	$365	186	186	+0	open	—	01-30 22:39
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 580plus	6	$361	242	242	+0	open	—	01-10 03:35
elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 40 64	6	$356	154	205	-51	open	—	01-18 06:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 19:31:45	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Up	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0x2e7b70…
08-10 18:40:24	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x90ab78…
08-06 09:31:50	bitcoin up or down on august 6 2026	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xab771c…
08-06 07:23:41	bitcoin up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9b40ac…
08-05 12:10:08	bitcoin up or down august 5 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x661ce1…
08-05 11:18:50	btc updown 15m 1785928500	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x4e1d11…
08-05 11:16:42	btc updown 15m 1785928500	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x969d0a…
08-05 11:16:36	btc updown 15m 1785928500	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xcceab4…
07-19 19:35:09	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3e2ac1…
05-11 14:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xdc445c…
05-11 14:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7328a2…
05-11 13:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x6ec2f3…
05-11 13:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd6d741…
05-11 00:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x6cf778…
05-11 00:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xbd8d1c…
05-10 09:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xe29edd…
05-10 09:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xbb1648…
04-14 19:04:06	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x6b8580…
04-14 19:03:44	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 draw	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc6d8ba…
04-14 19:02:48	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xadf796…
04-02 06:15:35	btc updown 15m 1775110500	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x3f12e2…
02-13 23:57:09	elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 0 39	No	SELL	88	87¢	$76	0xae0d76…
02-13 23:42:49	elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 0 39	No	SELL	32	90¢	$29	0xd59775…
02-13 23:34:29	elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 0 39	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9194de…
02-13 23:34:15	elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 0 39	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8278bf…
02-13 23:34:15	elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 0 39	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x55a0c5…
02-13 23:34:05	elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 0 39	No	BUY	59	90¢	$53	0x4041e2…
02-13 23:30:47	elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 0 39	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x0cde86…
02-13 23:28:31	elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 0 39	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xd1bff2…
02-13 07:17:59	elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 0 39	No	SELL	116	96¢	$112	0x7609a4…
02-13 06:10:13	elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 0 39	No	BUY	90	97¢	$88	0x6e76c2…
02-13 04:59:17	elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 0 39	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xe6c70f…
02-12 17:10:09	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	No	SELL	118	97¢	$114	0x69182a…
02-12 16:21:21	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 260 279	No	SELL	66	94¢	$62	0x2f3087…
02-12 16:19:15	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 260 279	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x8d7a25…
02-12 16:16:59	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 260 279	No	SELL	77	94¢	$73	0x87602a…
02-12 16:14:21	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 260 279	No	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0x29db68…
02-12 15:07:19	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 280 299	No	SELL	70	93¢	$65	0xbff0b3…
02-11 19:15:05	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 280 299	No	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0x79e118…
02-11 19:12:25	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 280 299	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xada4d3…
02-11 19:11:25	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 280 299	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x4829d2…
02-11 09:57:57	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	No	BUY	51	95¢	$49	0xec0421…
02-11 06:09:31	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 260 279	No	BUY	52	94¢	$49	0x902634…
02-11 02:50:55	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	No	BUY	67	95¢	$63	0xcb6a6c…
02-10 21:46:29	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 260 279	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x981120…
02-10 21:46:29	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 260 279	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x7e056d…
02-10 21:45:59	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 260 279	No	BUY	61	95¢	$58	0xded81b…
02-10 21:27:33	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 200 219	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5da6c5…
02-10 21:27:33	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 200 219	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x51485f…
02-10 21:27:33	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 200 219	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x40a524…
02-10 21:27:27	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 200 219	No	SELL	7	99¢	$6	0xad3bde…
02-10 21:26:39	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 200 219	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x2f9cc9…
02-10 21:22:51	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 200 219	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x740219…
02-10 21:21:11	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 200 219	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x945448…
02-10 14:55:13	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 90 114	No	SELL	226	100¢	$226	0x00a7e4…
02-10 13:53:15	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 90 114	No	BUY	106	90¢	$95	0xe9f162…
02-10 13:46:13	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 90 114	No	BUY	120	90¢	$108	0x2a965a…
02-10 12:43:29	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 40 64	No	SELL	203	100¢	$203	0xdffbd6…
02-10 08:27:35	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 40 64	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x6e8030…
02-10 08:27:09	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 40 64	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0xc3a5bf…
02-10 08:26:51	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 40 64	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0xafaf7b…
02-09 21:11:41	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 200 219	No	BUY	74	95¢	$70	0x5d2bf1…
02-09 20:55:17	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 40 64	No	BUY	111	94¢	$104	0xb5d6a5…
02-09 20:53:07	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 200 219	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x0a0b6d…
02-09 20:34:35	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 40 64	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2c7187…
02-09 14:23:11	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 0 39	No	SELL	13	97¢	$12	0x13cc87…
02-09 12:55:25	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 0 39	No	BUY	13	97¢	$12	0x14dc21…
02-09 09:10:05	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 0 39	No	SELL	39	96¢	$37	0x0dd35b…
02-09 09:08:31	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 0 39	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x58dc38…
02-09 09:08:29	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 0 39	No	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0x619e4f…
02-09 08:44:55	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 0 39	No	BUY	114	95¢	$108	0x32ecc3…
02-08 19:10:55	elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 40 64	No	SELL	65	98¢	$63	0xbbdd46…
02-08 19:10:47	elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 40 64	No	SELL	130	98¢	$126	0xc32c02…
02-08 18:35:25	elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 40 64	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf0d4de…
02-08 18:32:53	elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 40 64	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xd9b203…
02-08 18:31:33	elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 40 64	No	BUY	80	98¢	$79	0x2802cc…
02-08 18:06:47	elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 40 64	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x86a03c…
02-08 16:45:15	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 0 39	No	SELL	112	97¢	$109	0x3d3b84…
02-08 15:44:59	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 0 39	No	BUY	112	96¢	$108	0x60a561…
02-08 12:04:23	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 0 39	No	SELL	79	95¢	$75	0x55a9a5…
02-08 12:02:33	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 0 39	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0xda8c59…
02-08 11:41:03	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 0 39	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x78b47b…
02-08 11:37:43	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 0 39	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x6ecce5…
02-08 11:34:55	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 0 39	No	BUY	37	95¢	$36	0x28ece1…
02-08 11:33:39	elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 40 64	No	SELL	32	61¢	$20	0xad9637…
02-08 11:30:01	elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 40 64	No	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x354e6a…
02-08 11:17:43	elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 0 39	No	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0xe57220…
02-08 10:48:21	elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 0 39	No	BUY	113	96¢	$108	0x4459d3…
02-07 17:51:13	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 180 199	No	SELL	3	94¢	$2	0x5f2976…
02-07 17:50:59	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 180 199	No	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0xf36bbd…
02-07 17:50:59	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 180 199	No	SELL	19	94¢	$18	0x3a35a9…
02-07 17:46:25	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 180 199	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xc74bc5…
02-07 17:46:25	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 180 199	No	SELL	44	95¢	$42	0x29d861…
02-07 17:46:25	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 180 199	No	SELL	14	95¢	$14	0x18bace…
02-07 17:41:55	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 180 199	No	BUY	114	95¢	$108	0x214a93…
02-07 11:00:23	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 180 199	No	SELL	48	96¢	$47	0x8af902…
02-07 10:59:25	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 180 199	No	SELL	14	96¢	$14	0x36144d…
02-07 10:49:29	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 180 199	No	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0x761690…
02-07 10:40:25	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 180 199	No	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0x53735f…
02-07 09:03:13	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 180 199	No	BUY	113	96¢	$108	0x44894a…