Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$320

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 10-18 20:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

93% 38% -$307

Other

7% 25% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$374	1,048	63	+985	No	-$269	10-06 10:50
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	8	$236	530	64	+467	No	-$172	10-18 20:56
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	2	$229	177	177	+0	Yes	+$125	10-05 01:21
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	8	$212	1,377	1,377	+0	No	+$12	10-14 08:36
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	9	$137	2,864	2,864	+0	No	+$24	10-13 10:37
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$112	162	162	+0	open	—	10-18 20:50
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	3	$66	181	181	+0	open	—	10-08 10:43
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	2	$45	136	136	+0	Yes	-$5	10-14 09:34
lula x flavio bolsonaro debate before second round	4	$42	128	128	+0	Yes	-$12	10-14 12:04
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$41	55	55	+0	No	-$1	10-15 09:02
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$22	399	0	+399	No	-$22	06-10 11:07
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	2	$14	105	105	+0	No	+$4	10-15 09:01
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	2	$10	134	134	+0	No	$0	10-14 12:05
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	1	$5	167	0	+167	No	-$5	10-01 18:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 20:56:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	109	33¢	$36	0xe016f8…
10-18 20:50:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	118	31¢	$37	0xc11d1d…
10-15 09:03:10	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	58	33¢	$19	0xb96093…
10-15 09:02:47	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	37¢	$20	0x6c637a…
10-15 09:02:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0xad5229…
10-15 09:01:40	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	9¢	$9	0x81494c…
10-14 12:29:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0x06a8d9…
10-14 12:05:12	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	134	4¢	$5	0x522ab3…
10-14 12:04:06	lula x flavio bolsonaro debate before second round	No	SELL	28	19¢	$5	0x1c0eec…
10-14 11:32:19	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	44	43¢	$19	0xadf5d5…
10-14 09:34:13	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	136	15¢	$20	0xf9c3a4…
10-14 09:25:50	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	38¢	$21	0xb74423…
10-14 09:01:17	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	5¢	$5	0xb4be5d…
10-14 09:01:07	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	18¢	$25	0x6bb8a2…
10-14 09:00:13	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	4¢	$5	0xe80079…
10-14 08:37:55	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	206	44¢	$90	0xfb0844…
10-14 08:36:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	SELL	749	13¢	$95	0x08244f…
10-13 10:38:28	Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?	No	BUY	28	39¢	$11	0xd68683…
10-13 10:37:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	SELL	392	3¢	$12	0xf00ec1…
10-11 14:30:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	BUY	392	2¢	$9	0x31120f…
10-11 14:30:27	lula x flavio bolsonaro debate before second round	No	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x490ce9…
10-09 23:07:20	Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x307830…
10-09 23:06:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	44	35¢	$15	0x01bd26…
10-09 16:14:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	162	37¢	$60	0x1d1b4c…
10-09 16:12:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	SELL	2,010	3¢	$63	0x9eb853…
10-08 12:19:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	BUY	971	2¢	$18	0x159522…
10-08 11:11:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0xb6e4a1…
10-08 10:48:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	BUY	312	2¢	$5	0xf0d274…
10-08 10:44:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	BUY	326	2¢	$5	0xe56b36…
10-08 10:43:35	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	SELL	181	23¢	$42	0x5eb7da…
10-07 21:35:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	139	11¢	$15	0xbc32c2…
10-07 21:34:30	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0x2d3146…
10-07 21:33:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	64	50¢	$32	0x2cfe18…
10-06 18:32:08	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x0c5d6b…
10-06 11:20:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	64	33¢	$21	0x0130ec…
10-06 10:54:28	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	272	7¢	$20	0xdc644b…
10-06 10:50:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	63	84¢	$53	0xcf422e…
10-06 10:47:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	338	6¢	$21	0xa00e0a…
10-06 10:44:49	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	SELL	462	1¢	$6	0xbe2a9a…
10-06 10:44:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	SELL	628	3¢	$17	0x20fb92…
10-06 09:37:52	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	207	7¢	$15	0xca2aaa…
10-06 09:36:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	139	7¢	$10	0x5713fb…
10-06 09:25:37	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	BUY	462	2¢	$10	0x2e2a7f…
10-06 09:25:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	282	7¢	$20	0x686e75…
10-05 01:21:25	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	SELL	177	100¢	$177	0xde0b57…
10-01 18:13:45	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	177	29¢	$52	0xca525d…
10-01 18:12:39	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xb548bb…
06-10 11:07:19	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	399	5¢	$22	0x48caf3…
05-27 11:11:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	721	29¢	$208	0x651c89…
05-14 00:20:40	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	326	35¢	$114	0x25b986…