Elastic-Intelligence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$396

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.2%

Resolved

Trades

143

lifetime

Volume

$2.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 07-19 22:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

69% 32% -$344

Politics

24% 67% -$56

Sports

7% 100% +$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	6	$397	452	452	+0	Yes	+$22	06-08 05:06
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	4	$204	809	0	+809	No	-$204	04-14 21:27
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$152	387	387	+0	No	+$4	07-19 22:00
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	3	$121	351	351	+0	No	-$79	06-10 00:28
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	2	$99	72	72	+0	Yes	+$43	04-28 20:59
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	3	$79	48	48	+0	Yes	+$10	06-18 03:52
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-05-07?	3	$77	55	55	+0	Yes	+$27	05-08 01:52
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	3	$64	54	54	+0	Yes	+$44	05-06 21:01
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	2	$57	38	37	+1	Yes	+$18	04-08 21:20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	1	$55	104	0	+104	No	-$55	06-24 03:47
Will CD Garcilaso win on 2026-05-11?	2	$42	27	27	+0	Yes	+$12	05-11 19:58
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	1	$40	52	0	+52	No	-$40	06-17 16:08
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-05-11?	2	$39	77	0	+77	No	-$39	05-11 20:00
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	2	$38	24	24	+0	Yes	+$9	04-15 20:55
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	1	$37	56	0	+56	Yes	+$19	06-23 05:51
Will CD Tolima win on 2026-05-06?	2	$32	22	22	+0	Yes	+$12	05-07 04:09
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	1	$30	46	0	+46	No	-$30	04-08 16:58
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	2	$28	44	0	+44	Yes	+$16	06-18 05:50
Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-05-07?	2	$26	16	16	+0	Yes	+$6	05-08 04:01
Will CD Comerciantes Unidos vs. FBC Melgar end in a draw?	2	$25	19	19	+0	Yes	+$13	05-11 03:03
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	2	$25	37	0	+37	Yes	+$12	06-21 02:53
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-07?	2	$23	19	19	+0	Yes	+$3	05-09 20:41
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	1	$21	65	0	+65	No	-$21	04-28 19:06
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	1	$20	69	0	+69	No	-$20	04-08 21:21
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?	2	$18	52	52	+0	No	-$12	06-18 00:53
Will CD Universidad Católica vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?	2	$16	11	11	+0	Yes	+$6	05-07 04:09
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-04-29?	2	$16	12	12	+0	Yes	+$6	04-30 03:11
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-06?	5	$15	45	40	+5	No	-$2	05-07 03:49
Will CD Comerciantes Unidos win on 2026-05-10?	1	$15	39	0	+39	No	-$15	05-08 04:10
Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-05-09?	1	$15	25	0	+25	No	-$15	05-08 04:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 22:00:30	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	128	4¢	$5	0x2ce1fb…
07-19 21:15:54	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	78	25¢	$20	0x389553…
07-19 20:20:21	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x71b7a1…
07-15 21:15:29	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	130	42¢	$54	0x16da54…
06-25 22:01:56	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	130	14¢	$19	0x177381…
06-25 21:51:52	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	129	14¢	$19	0x497b33…
06-24 03:47:19	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	104	53¢	$55	0x1842c9…
06-23 05:51:56	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	56	66¢	$37	0xfe3fe9…
06-21 02:53:23	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xe33766…
06-20 12:51:05	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x4b1fce…
06-20 12:50:38	Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xd462fd…
06-20 12:47:31	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x02cfaf…
06-19 00:04:14	Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x8664f7…
06-18 22:48:47	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x537a7a…
06-18 05:50:05	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x61842a…
06-18 05:47:25	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x1b1501…
06-18 04:35:32	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	129	12¢	$15	0x683c85…
06-18 03:52:58	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	SELL	48	93¢	$44	0x6e62f9…
06-18 01:14:34	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xedbc3d…
06-18 00:53:49	Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	SELL	52	5¢	$3	0x6208f7…
06-17 16:10:40	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	627	0¢	$1	0x71184c…
06-17 16:10:14	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x703492…
06-17 16:08:55	Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0xdbbcf1…
06-17 16:08:43	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0x39302b…
06-10 00:28:30	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	SELL	351	6¢	$21	0x34d0d8…
06-08 05:27:15	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x24370d…
06-08 05:12:22	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x1b5aaf…
06-08 05:06:31	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	SELL	83	71¢	$59	0xd7062a…
06-08 03:22:21	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xd60c23…
06-08 03:20:30	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	SELL	156	57¢	$89	0x1cf978…
06-08 02:40:49	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	156	27¢	$42	0x7cf108…
06-08 02:16:24	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	SELL	213	29¢	$62	0xd7eaf9…
06-06 17:06:49	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	213	45¢	$96	0xaaa71f…
05-12 11:43:17	Will FC Cajamarca vs. CS Cristal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x4c44e5…
05-12 11:42:54	Will CS Cristal win on 2026-05-15?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x8b5187…
05-11 20:00:28	Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-05-11?	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x2298e1…
05-11 19:58:06	Will CD Garcilaso win on 2026-05-11?	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x89c61f…
05-11 19:48:52	Will CD Garcilaso vs. Club Alianza Atlético end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0xcccb07…
05-11 03:50:25	Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-05-11?	Yes	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0x7d2d8e…
05-11 03:49:27	Will CD Garcilaso vs. Club Alianza Atlético end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x00efff…
05-11 03:48:56	Will CD Garcilaso win on 2026-05-11?	Yes	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xb585af…
05-11 03:03:05	Will CD Comerciantes Unidos vs. FBC Melgar end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xcb6255…
05-11 03:02:24	Will Cusco FC vs. CD Los Chankas end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xfcd967…
05-09 20:41:27	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-07?	Yes	SELL	19	71¢	$13	0x344860…
05-09 12:19:41	Will CD Moquegua win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x25db9c…
05-09 12:17:23	Will CD Moquegua vs. AD Tarma end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0x284f4f…
05-08 04:22:59	Will CD Los Chankas win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0xd340bc…
05-08 04:22:05	Will Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	14	27¢	$4	0xe4ddc2…
05-08 04:15:54	Will Cusco FC vs. CD Los Chankas end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xeec41b…
05-08 04:14:42	Will CD Los Chankas win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x0492a7…
05-08 04:11:17	Will CD Comerciantes Unidos vs. FBC Melgar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0xdf3d63…
05-08 04:10:55	Will CD Comerciantes Unidos win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	39	39¢	$15	0xb1368a…
05-08 04:07:23	Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xbecc32…
05-08 04:04:45	Will CD Moquegua vs. AD Tarma end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x3169c1…
05-08 04:03:32	Will AD Tarma win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xf43d11…
05-08 04:01:10	Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-05-07?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xf7708b…
05-08 03:59:53	Will CU Técnica de Cajamarca win on 2026-05-08?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa0f7bc…
05-08 03:59:48	Will CU Técnica de Cajamarca vs. FC Cajamarca end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xfc8ab0…
05-08 03:49:20	Will CDP Junior FC vs. Club Cerro Porteño end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0x7722e0…
05-08 03:42:02	Will CDP Junior FC vs. Club Cerro Porteño end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x5a1f61…
05-08 03:34:43	Will CDP Junior FC vs. Club Cerro Porteño end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0x5efb1d…
05-08 03:33:33	Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-05-07?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x2a92cd…
05-08 03:28:39	Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-05-07?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x5dee58…
05-08 01:52:36	Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-05-07?	Yes	SELL	55	94¢	$52	0xb3f672…
05-07 04:16:52	Will CDP Junior FC vs. Club Cerro Porteño end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x507ec5…
05-07 04:16:19	Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-05-07?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xfc0d9e…
05-07 04:15:49	Will Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x43a1d1…
05-07 04:15:02	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-07?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x9f9c5c…
05-07 04:14:20	Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-05-07?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xc73f45…
05-07 04:09:33	Will CD Universidad Católica vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa72cfe…
05-07 04:09:10	Will CD Tolima win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x987410…
05-07 03:49:27	Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xe09aaf…
05-07 03:48:40	Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	SELL	24	8¢	$2	0x3c3dda…
05-07 03:42:31	Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xb3aa20…
05-07 03:23:56	Will CD Tolima vs. Club Nacional de Football end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	13	18¢	$2	0x31b9be…
05-07 03:20:51	Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0xab2e6e…
05-07 03:02:09	Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	16	24¢	$4	0x8d0057…
05-07 03:01:44	Will CD Universidad Católica vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x134a19…
05-06 21:38:29	Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-05-07?	Yes	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xb79be1…
05-06 21:32:15	Will CD Tolima vs. Club Nacional de Football end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x267e1f…
05-06 21:32:01	Will CD Tolima win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x861163…
05-06 21:10:01	Will Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xe113d9…
05-06 21:09:56	Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x443bad…
05-06 21:05:56	Will Cusco FC vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xd536b6…
05-06 21:05:32	Will Cusco FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x1d1701…
05-06 21:01:13	Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0x7f2a5e…
05-06 20:56:38	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0xb9cafb…
05-05 21:02:48	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x336125…
05-05 20:38:22	Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x9cfbb1…
05-05 20:37:00	Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x97e91d…
05-05 14:36:38	Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xddc329…
05-05 14:36:14	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x798f10…
05-04 22:50:44	Will Barcelona SC vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x668609…
05-04 22:50:32	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x93b161…
05-03 03:54:38	Will ADC Juan Pablo II College vs. Club Universitario de Deportes end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x28ba7a…
05-03 03:54:34	Will ADC Juan Pablo II College win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x2435d7…
05-03 03:51:08	Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc8862c…
05-03 03:50:46	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa4b27e…
05-03 03:50:24	Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x154a43…
04-30 22:56:08	Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Deportivo La Guaira FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xde63c3…