Marvelous-Clothing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,077

lifetime

Volume

$93.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 06-08 11:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

59% 0% $-16

Other

26% 67% +$34

Crypto

9% — —

Sports

6% 33% $-38

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 180 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	48	$3.8K	9,331	9,331	+0	open	—	03-30 04:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	36	$2.6K	4,600	4,600	+0	open	—	04-06 04:51
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	31	$2.0K	1,904	1,904	+0	open	—	03-29 17:56
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	28	$2.0K	1,479	1,479	+0	open	—	03-31 19:44
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	29	$2.0K	3,259	1,836	+1,423	open	—	03-31 16:48
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	68	$1.7K	11,102	11,892	-790	open	—	03-28 18:29
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	38	$1.5K	3,860	3,860	+0	open	—	03-25 19:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	20	$1.5K	1,894	1,846	+48	open	—	04-23 16:08
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	14	$1.4K	885	885	+0	open	—	03-30 15:16
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	12	$1.4K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	03-30 19:47
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	14	$1.3K	839	839	+0	open	—	03-31 15:32
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	23	$1.3K	7,555	7,555	+0	open	—	04-12 18:03
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	16	$1.3K	779	779	+0	open	—	03-28 04:38
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	29	$1.2K	2,642	2,642	+0	open	—	04-12 13:45
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	10	$1.2K	1,120	1,120	+0	open	—	04-01 11:26
bitcoin above 66k on march 31	4	$1.2K	786	777	+9	open	—	03-31 12:48
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	15	$1.2K	3,377	3,377	+0	open	—	04-14 04:56
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	16	$1.2K	907	907	+0	open	—	03-30 05:28
military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	12	$1.2K	632	632	+0	open	—	03-28 19:15
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	15	$1.1K	1,375	1,375	+0	open	—	04-01 19:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	18	$1.1K	2,344	2,276	+68	open	—	04-23 16:09
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	16	$1.0K	870	870	+0	open	—	03-28 09:21
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	16	$1.0K	842	842	+0	open	—	03-31 16:47
bitcoin above 68k on march 31	5	$970	1,048	1,035	+13	open	—	03-31 09:23
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	17	$933	762	762	+0	open	—	04-12 11:41
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	32	$848	2,243	2,243	+0	open	—	03-23 20:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	7	$832	700	689	+11	open	—	04-21 05:09
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 1	6	$828	1,079	1,039	+39	open	—	03-31 20:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	8	$750	1,333	1,295	+38	open	—	04-17 20:05
will trump say ceasefire or peace deal during address to the nation	5	$744	1,079	43	+1,036	open	—	04-01 20:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 11:57:19	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,182	5¢	$56	0xcc1bb5…
06-08 11:44:24	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,182	5¢	$56	0x27ca3e…
06-08 08:58:36	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0xa86db1…
06-08 08:58:30	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,244	7¢	$90	0x046d56…
06-08 08:58:09	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	179	52¢	$93	0x9264ff…
06-08 05:09:45	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x1df67c…
06-08 04:59:16	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	934	7¢	$64	0x9ae314…
06-06 09:29:04	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	146	4¢	$6	0x07aa22…
06-04 12:58:13	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	154	3¢	$5	0x6b5f4d…
06-03 05:55:47	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	154	5¢	$8	0x440902…
06-01 17:12:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	17	49¢	$8	0x1121ba…
06-01 08:27:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0xd1072a…
05-21 12:42:26	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	647	4¢	$26	0x93a249…
05-21 12:13:46	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	260	5¢	$14	0x216576…
05-21 12:08:20	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	66	6¢	$4	0xafb5bd…
05-21 11:25:40	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,062	6¢	$60	0xc46d90…
05-20 20:50:35	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0xc9b883…
05-20 20:00:39	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	47	4¢	$2	0xc3bf0d…
05-14 08:37:24	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	47	8¢	$4	0x7c474f…
05-08 08:48:17	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	867	5¢	$43	0x2cfd35…
05-07 19:07:02	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	867	6¢	$52	0xbc6f2e…
05-07 19:05:45	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,050	5¢	$52	0xe3831e…
05-07 19:05:33	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,050	6¢	$63	0xbf4d78…
05-07 18:11:32	Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	SELL	83	32¢	$27	0x189447…
05-07 18:02:52	Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	SELL	32	40¢	$13	0x1551a5…
05-07 17:59:17	Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	83	54¢	$45	0x2471c5…
05-07 17:52:21	Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals	Minnesota Twins	SELL	43	41¢	$18	0x7c3acb…
05-07 17:46:13	Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals	Minnesota Twins	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x06e205…
05-07 17:46:08	Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xa4af8e…
05-07 17:44:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	692	16¢	$111	0x06f8de…
05-07 16:06:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0xd8b64e…
05-07 15:50:57	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	27¢	$45	0xf23f3b…
05-07 15:49:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x447c75…
05-07 06:28:21	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	25¢	$45	0x1b8838…
05-07 06:27:55	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Noemi Basiletti vs Ajla Tomljanovic	Ajla Tomljanovic	SELL	92	49¢	$45	0xca777d…
05-07 04:40:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0xe281ff…
05-07 04:34:45	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Noemi Basiletti vs Ajla Tomljanovic	Ajla Tomljanovic	BUY	92	54¢	$50	0x2d93a3…
05-07 04:31:06	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	338	30¢	$101	0x81796c…
05-06 17:30:39	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	338	30¢	$103	0xb9836c…
05-06 12:16:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	807	27¢	$217	0xf0dcf9…
05-06 04:55:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	297	23¢	$68	0xbac4c4…
05-06 04:55:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	249	28¢	$69	0xabe104…
05-06 04:55:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x038499…
05-06 04:55:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	43	60¢	$26	0xf53cb2…
05-06 04:55:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	390	21¢	$82	0x6ca6ae…
05-06 04:44:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	151	56¢	$84	0xfdcdd3…
05-06 03:56:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	151	57¢	$86	0x811d34…
05-06 03:54:28	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	111	5¢	$6	0x676734…
05-06 03:45:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	45	65¢	$29	0x0fd64d…
05-06 00:37:36	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	902	6¢	$54	0xcb9eac…
05-05 08:24:18	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	418	11¢	$46	0xbded47…
05-05 08:23:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	125	7¢	$9	0x33df5a…
05-05 08:23:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x024859…
05-05 08:20:40	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x3e98b0…
05-05 08:15:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	275	21¢	$58	0x37dd96…
05-05 04:44:36	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	318	11¢	$35	0x337eb1…
05-05 04:44:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	83	43¢	$36	0x1e12e7…
05-04 17:25:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	106	33¢	$35	0xd20958…
05-04 17:25:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	68¢	$35	0x8cde23…
05-04 17:24:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	97	34¢	$33	0x763327…
05-04 17:24:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	45	73¢	$33	0x7ba4dc…
05-04 16:32:28	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	165	14¢	$23	0x333503…
05-04 16:32:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	75¢	$24	0xf80e05…
05-04 16:24:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	138	44¢	$61	0xd57b9d…
05-04 16:17:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0xa0a777…
05-04 16:12:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	257	36¢	$92	0x578e67…
05-04 15:26:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	257	33¢	$84	0x5fd726…
05-04 15:22:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	254	33¢	$84	0x985c9a…
05-04 15:16:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	115	27¢	$31	0x14a17a…
05-04 15:15:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	43	72¢	$31	0xc891e4…
05-04 13:15:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	139	23¢	$32	0xe2809b…
05-04 13:15:36	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	SELL	55	59¢	$32	0x02d99a…
05-04 10:50:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	SELL	109	27¢	$30	0xfb057b…
05-04 10:29:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	91	40¢	$36	0xb12031…
05-04 10:23:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xf0b50f…
05-04 10:21:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	109	27¢	$30	0x079a57…
05-04 10:20:46	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	158	46¢	$73	0xcb11e3…
05-04 04:30:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x51498d…
05-04 04:29:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0x4d0c5a…
05-04 04:28:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0xe5ef8a…
05-04 04:27:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x4f1801…
05-04 04:19:28	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x71d707…
05-04 04:14:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x8efb9c…
05-04 04:13:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x7309da…
05-03 20:27:14	Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xcd7ca4…
05-03 19:50:52	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0xb1b1a7…
05-03 19:45:54	San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays	San Francisco Giants	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x0bd898…
05-03 19:26:06	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xc5d447…
05-03 19:25:26	San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays	San Francisco Giants	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x751b9d…
05-03 19:25:20	Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x3d265b…
05-03 19:25:16	Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2ad9d3…
05-03 19:25:10	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd43757…
05-03 08:36:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x837d30…
05-03 05:18:24	Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners	Kansas City Royals	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7fad63…
05-03 05:18:22	New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd05dcb…
05-03 05:16:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x20653f…
05-03 05:16:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x28c3ba…
05-03 05:07:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x1e6ee2…
05-03 05:06:30	Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners	Kansas City Royals	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x3a4bed…
05-03 04:31:12	Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners	Kansas City Royals	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x586165…