Marvelous-Clothing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.81K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.8%

Resolved

623

Trades

3,136

lifetime

Volume

$94.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 08-04 07:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Politics

59% 26% +$278

Other

26% 38% -$1,428

Crypto

9% 42% -$403

Sports

6% 44% -$254

Tech

0% 0% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-04).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	48	$3.8K	9,331	9,331	+0	No	+$223	03-30 04:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	36	$2.6K	4,600	4,600	+0	Yes	+$37	04-06 04:51
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	31	$2.0K	1,904	1,904	+0	No	-$296	03-29 17:56
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	28	$2.0K	1,479	1,479	+0	No	+$72	03-31 19:44
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	29	$2.0K	3,259	1,836	+1,423	No	-$585	03-31 16:48
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	68	$1.7K	11,102	11,892	-790	No	-$1,061	03-28 18:29
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	38	$1.5K	3,860	3,860	+0	No	+$17	03-25 19:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	20	$1.5K	1,894	1,846	+48	Yes	+$137	04-23 16:08
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	14	$1.4K	885	885	+0	Yes	+$76	03-30 15:16
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	12	$1.4K	1,300	1,300	+0	Yes	-$43	03-30 19:47
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	14	$1.3K	839	839	+0	No	+$27	03-31 15:32
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	23	$1.3K	7,555	7,555	+0	No	-$406	04-12 18:03
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	16	$1.3K	779	779	+0	No	+$226	03-28 04:38
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	29	$1.2K	2,642	2,642	+0	No	-$188	04-12 13:45
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	10	$1.2K	1,120	1,120	+0	Yes	-$73	04-01 11:26
bitcoin above 66k on march 31	4	$1.2K	786	777	+9	Yes	+$47	03-31 12:48
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	15	$1.2K	3,377	3,377	+0	No	-$184	04-14 04:56
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	16	$1.2K	907	907	+0	No	-$83	03-30 05:28
military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	12	$1.2K	632	632	+0	Yes	+$27	03-28 19:15
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	15	$1.1K	1,375	1,375	+0	Yes	-$15	04-01 19:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	18	$1.1K	2,344	2,276	+68	No	-$163	04-23 16:09
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	16	$1.0K	870	870	+0	Yes	-$116	03-28 09:21
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	16	$1.0K	842	842	+0	No	-$305	03-31 16:47
bitcoin above 68k on march 31	5	$970	1,048	1,035	+13	No	-$243	03-31 09:23
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	17	$933	762	762	+0	Yes	-$11	04-12 11:41
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	32	$848	2,243	2,243	+0	No	-$7	03-23 20:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	7	$832	700	689	+11	Yes	-$21	04-21 05:09
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 1	6	$828	1,079	1,039	+39	Yes	+$48	03-31 20:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	8	$750	1,333	1,295	+38	No	+$7	04-17 20:05
will trump say ceasefire or peace deal during address to the nation	5	$744	1,079	43	+1,036	No	-$685	04-01 20:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 07:33:35	iran leadership change by august 31 669	Yes	SELL	147	2¢	$3	0x51945a…
08-04 06:45:33	iran leadership change by august 31 669	Yes	SELL	147	2¢	$3	0xad734f…
08-01 11:09:08	iran leadership change by august 31 669	Yes	BUY	294	4¢	$13	0x404178…
07-04 07:56:58	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	27	35¢	$9	0x9155b2…
06-20 04:56:34	Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0x38580c…
06-20 03:53:26	Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9ccb19…
06-20 03:51:41	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xd1abf2…
06-20 03:45:46	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x472d2d…
06-19 13:43:02	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 15 21 2026	Yes	SELL	21	10¢	$2	0x799787…
06-19 08:00:26	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 15 21 2026	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0xc66b48…
06-19 07:58:50	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x7a896b…
06-12 19:22:45	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	26	28¢	$7	0x899576…
06-12 17:45:15	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	26	54¢	$14	0x381eee…
06-11 13:51:03	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xd42862…
06-08 11:57:19	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,182	5¢	$56	0xcc1bb5…
06-08 11:44:24	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,182	5¢	$56	0x27ca3e…
06-08 08:58:36	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0xa86db1…
06-08 08:58:30	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,244	7¢	$90	0x046d56…
06-08 08:58:09	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	179	52¢	$93	0x9264ff…
06-08 05:09:45	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x1df67c…
06-08 04:59:16	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	934	7¢	$64	0x9ae314…
06-06 09:29:04	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	146	4¢	$6	0x07aa22…
06-04 12:58:13	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	154	3¢	$5	0x6b5f4d…
06-03 05:55:47	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	154	5¢	$8	0x440902…
06-01 17:12:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	17	49¢	$8	0x1121ba…
06-01 08:27:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0xd1072a…
05-21 12:42:26	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	647	4¢	$26	0x93a249…
05-21 12:13:46	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	260	5¢	$14	0x216576…
05-21 12:08:20	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	66	6¢	$4	0xafb5bd…
05-21 11:47:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	30	71¢	$21	0xb035f9…
05-21 11:26:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x8b9f06…
05-21 11:25:40	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,062	6¢	$60	0xc46d90…
05-20 20:50:35	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0xc9b883…
05-20 20:00:39	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	47	4¢	$2	0xc3bf0d…
05-14 08:37:24	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	47	8¢	$4	0x7c474f…
05-08 14:15:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x12b245…
05-08 14:14:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x978cbb…
05-08 08:48:17	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	867	5¢	$43	0x2cfd35…
05-07 19:07:02	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	867	6¢	$52	0xbc6f2e…
05-07 19:05:45	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,050	5¢	$52	0xe3831e…
05-07 19:05:33	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,050	6¢	$63	0xbf4d78…
05-07 18:11:41	Will Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	71	31¢	$22	0x1b9547…
05-07 18:11:32	Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	SELL	83	32¢	$27	0x189447…
05-07 18:02:52	Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	SELL	32	40¢	$13	0x1551a5…
05-07 17:59:17	Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	83	54¢	$45	0x2471c5…
05-07 17:52:21	Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals	Minnesota Twins	SELL	43	41¢	$18	0x7c3acb…
05-07 17:46:39	Will Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x9193a9…
05-07 17:46:13	Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals	Minnesota Twins	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x06e205…
05-07 17:46:08	Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xa4af8e…
05-07 17:44:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	692	16¢	$111	0x06f8de…
05-07 16:06:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0xd8b64e…
05-07 15:50:57	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	27¢	$45	0xf23f3b…
05-07 15:50:26	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	88	64¢	$57	0xbd2f66…
05-07 15:49:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x447c75…
05-07 15:49:30	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	88	64¢	$57	0x727149…
05-07 06:28:21	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	25¢	$45	0x1b8838…
05-07 06:27:55	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Noemi Basiletti vs Ajla Tomljanovic	Ajla Tomljanovic	SELL	92	49¢	$45	0xca777d…
05-07 04:40:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0xe281ff…
05-07 04:34:45	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Noemi Basiletti vs Ajla Tomljanovic	Ajla Tomljanovic	BUY	92	54¢	$50	0x2d93a3…
05-07 04:31:06	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	338	30¢	$101	0x81796c…
05-06 17:30:39	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	338	30¢	$103	0xb9836c…
05-06 17:30:06	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	170	61¢	$103	0x750741…
05-06 15:53:35	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	347	63¢	$217	0x6cb8d4…
05-06 12:16:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	807	27¢	$217	0xf0dcf9…
05-06 04:55:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	297	23¢	$68	0xbac4c4…
05-06 04:55:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	249	28¢	$69	0xabe104…
05-06 04:55:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x038499…
05-06 04:55:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	43	60¢	$26	0xf53cb2…
05-06 04:55:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	390	21¢	$82	0x6ca6ae…
05-06 04:44:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	151	56¢	$84	0xfdcdd3…
05-06 03:56:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	151	57¢	$86	0x811d34…
05-06 03:54:28	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	111	5¢	$6	0x676734…
05-06 03:45:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	45	65¢	$29	0x0fd64d…
05-06 00:37:36	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	902	6¢	$54	0xcb9eac…
05-05 08:24:18	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	418	11¢	$46	0xbded47…
05-05 08:23:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	125	7¢	$9	0x33df5a…
05-05 08:23:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x024859…
05-05 08:20:40	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x3e98b0…
05-05 08:15:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	275	21¢	$58	0x37dd96…
05-05 04:44:36	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	318	11¢	$35	0x337eb1…
05-05 04:44:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	83	43¢	$36	0x1e12e7…
05-04 17:25:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	106	33¢	$35	0xd20958…
05-04 17:25:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	68¢	$35	0x8cde23…
05-04 17:24:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	97	34¢	$33	0x763327…
05-04 17:24:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	45	73¢	$33	0x7ba4dc…
05-04 16:32:28	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	165	14¢	$23	0x333503…
05-04 16:32:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	75¢	$24	0xf80e05…
05-04 16:24:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	138	44¢	$61	0xd57b9d…
05-04 16:17:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0xa0a777…
05-04 16:12:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	257	36¢	$92	0x578e67…
05-04 15:26:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	257	33¢	$84	0x5fd726…
05-04 15:22:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	254	33¢	$84	0x985c9a…
05-04 15:16:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	115	27¢	$31	0x14a17a…
05-04 15:15:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	43	72¢	$31	0xc891e4…
05-04 13:15:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	139	23¢	$32	0xe2809b…
05-04 13:15:36	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	SELL	55	59¢	$32	0x02d99a…
05-04 10:52:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	92	46¢	$42	0x4f3de5…
05-04 10:52:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x4cdb9d…
05-04 10:50:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	SELL	109	27¢	$30	0xfb057b…
05-04 10:50:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	97	30¢	$29	0x0345de…