Reasonable-Matter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.1%

Resolved

Trades

41,771

lifetime

Volume

$215.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 05-05 23:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 57% $-5

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 438 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1768735800	13	$3.1K	3,866	0	+3,866	open	—	01-18 11:43
btc updown 15m 1767573900	1	$3.1K	3,110	0	+3,110	open	—	01-05 00:56
bitcoin above 92k on january 4	3	$2.8K	3,038	0	+3,038	open	—	01-04 13:26
bitcoin up or down january 18 9am et	207	$2.7K	5,776	0	+5,776	open	—	01-18 14:55
btc updown 15m 1768736700	7	$2.1K	1,857	674	+1,183	open	—	01-18 11:58
xrp up or down january 18 10am et	195	$2.0K	4,176	0	+4,176	open	—	01-18 15:59
btc updown 15m 1768734900	108	$1.9K	2,723	0	+2,723	open	—	01-18 11:30
btc updown 15m 1768563900	93	$1.7K	2,450	0	+2,450	open	—	01-16 11:56
bitcoin up or down january 16 7am et	430	$1.7K	3,612	0	+3,612	open	—	01-16 12:59
btc updown 15m 1768751100	251	$1.6K	4,842	0	+4,842	open	—	01-18 15:58
bitcoin up or down january 18 11am et	79	$1.5K	3,103	0	+3,103	open	—	01-18 16:23
eth updown 15m 1768751100	210	$1.5K	3,194	0	+3,194	open	—	01-18 15:58
bitcoin up or down january 16 1am et	193	$1.5K	2,588	0	+2,588	open	—	01-16 06:57
bitcoin up or down january 16 4pm et	217	$1.4K	2,732	0	+2,732	open	—	01-16 21:56
btc updown 15m 1768599000	252	$1.4K	2,824	0	+2,824	open	—	01-16 21:40
xrp up or down january 19 5am et	109	$1.3K	2,431	250	+2,181	open	—	01-19 10:59
xrp up or down january 18 8am et	194	$1.3K	3,051	0	+3,051	open	—	01-18 13:59
bitcoin up or down january 16 2pm et	299	$1.3K	2,991	0	+2,991	open	—	01-16 19:59
ethereum up or down january 18 9am et	96	$1.3K	3,433	0	+3,433	open	—	01-18 14:59
bitcoin up or down january 21 9pm et	89	$1.2K	1,816	0	+1,816	open	—	01-22 02:17
btc updown 15m 1768739400	2	$1.1K	1,228	0	+1,228	open	—	01-18 12:44
bitcoin up or down january 20 12am et	28	$1.1K	854	866	-12	open	—	01-20 05:08
ethereum up or down january 18 8am et	112	$1.1K	2,643	0	+2,643	open	—	01-18 13:56
eth updown 15m 1768746600	109	$1.0K	2,106	0	+2,106	open	—	01-18 14:40
eth updown 15m 1768733100	103	$1.0K	1,951	1,002	+949	open	—	01-18 10:57
highest temperature in london on january 8 6c	1	$1000	1,032	0	+1,032	open	—	01-07 22:22
bitcoin up or down january 18 10am et	61	$974	1,735	0	+1,735	open	—	01-18 15:35
btc updown 15m 1768566600	117	$967	1,603	0	+1,603	open	—	01-16 12:42
bitcoin up or down january 20 11pm et	162	$933	1,746	0	+1,746	open	—	01-21 04:59
btc updown 15m 1768565700	190	$903	2,120	0	+2,120	open	—	01-16 12:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 23:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	46¢	$5	0xd77d31…
05-05 23:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xbe95db…
05-05 23:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x921971…
05-05 23:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x829a2f…
05-05 23:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x572891…
05-05 23:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xde6398…
05-05 23:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xf7b4a1…
05-05 23:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xb1b9c2…
05-05 23:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x1bc90d…
05-05 23:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xbcb9b6…
05-05 23:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x58f4de…
05-05 22:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd33d21…
05-05 14:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x849764…
05-05 14:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x69a0bf…
05-05 13:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0x467474…
05-05 13:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xefd983…
05-05 13:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x9bd125…
05-05 12:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0xb260a6…
05-05 12:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xb63400…
05-05 12:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0x481efe…
05-05 12:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	41¢	$6	0x45fbba…
05-05 11:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf46cbc…
05-05 11:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x7b75f4…
05-05 11:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x151305…
05-05 11:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x10275f…
05-05 11:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x2f8794…
05-05 10:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x03afca…
05-05 10:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xe01ea9…
05-05 09:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0x4d4601…
05-05 09:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xcb4704…
05-05 09:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0xab7e21…
05-05 09:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0x5b38de…
05-05 09:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x47438c…
05-05 09:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x39b3ed…
05-05 08:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x2f339e…
05-05 08:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xa8eb5e…
05-05 08:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xdda276…
05-05 08:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7080d2…
05-05 08:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x1c73c9…
05-05 07:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	27¢	$5	0x29ad64…
05-05 07:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xdee0ba…
05-05 07:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x837529…
05-05 07:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe9cac1…
05-05 07:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9d42e4…
05-05 07:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x69926d…
05-05 07:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x41813d…
05-05 07:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb17149…
05-05 07:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf49750…
05-05 07:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x17e0f5…
05-05 07:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xb2120e…
05-05 07:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x225dd4…
05-05 07:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x2fff16…
05-05 07:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xc57557…
05-05 07:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x543830…
05-05 07:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0xfce650…
05-05 07:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x390ba3…
05-05 07:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x325d2e…
05-05 07:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xa7aaa2…
05-05 07:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x43ccfb…
05-05 07:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xe3519a…
05-05 07:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x5b481a…
05-05 07:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x99b261…
05-05 07:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x24a414…
05-05 07:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xc9824f…
05-05 07:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x5e90e9…
05-05 07:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe58c6c…
05-05 07:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb4b376…
05-05 07:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x93377d…
05-05 07:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7b124f…
05-05 07:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x41a672…
05-05 07:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x412d14…
05-05 07:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x1ede17…
05-05 07:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x01b378…
05-05 07:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x9212c5…
05-05 07:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x799cfc…
05-05 07:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x2ed25a…
05-05 07:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x235903…
05-05 07:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x0d8acb…
05-05 07:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xbeaff5…
05-05 07:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xda0f65…
05-05 07:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xdcb8d9…
05-05 07:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x44c739…
05-05 07:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xbf1ee4…
05-05 07:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x1f36e0…
05-05 07:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x2c5111…
05-05 07:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x014e71…
05-05 07:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x6b41a9…
05-05 07:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x849d2c…
05-05 07:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x599260…
05-05 06:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	41¢	$4	0x4656b8…
05-05 06:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xe9f584…
05-05 06:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0x8adaa7…
05-05 06:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x812934…
05-05 06:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x0ab72b…
05-05 06:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x9c3a13…
05-05 06:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xf7510c…
05-05 06:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x320161…
05-05 06:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xc95580…
05-05 06:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xb23d96…
05-05 06:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0xead396…