Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

45.7%

Resolved

102

Trades

118

lifetime

Volume

$373

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$33

9 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 10-25 05:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

44% 57% -$17

Politics

27% 45% -$1

Sports

21% 60% -$1

Tech

7% 33% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	+10	$8	72¢	$7	-$1	05-30 08:39
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	+17	$8	30¢	$5	-$3	06-16 17:45
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	+7	$6	68¢	$5	-$1	06-23 18:43
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	+6	$3	80¢	$5	+$2	06-20 07:07
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+8	$5	56¢	$4	$0	06-14 02:02
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+8	$5	29¢	$2	-$2	06-15 20:36
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+3	$1	72¢	$2	+$1	06-14 23:02
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	+9	$6	20¢	$2	-$4	06-18 12:31
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	No	+12	$3	4¢	$0	-$2	06-17 14:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$40	21	21	+0	No	$0	02-10 02:20
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$20	45	0	+45	Yes	-$7	02-10 01:50
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$20	27	0	+27	Yes	+$8	02-07 04:01
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	1	$10	21	0	+21	No	-$10	03-17 05:38
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	-$10	02-13 15:34
will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	02-13 07:15
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$1	02-14 00:29
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$10	15	0	+15	Yes	-$10	03-19 00:26
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$10	13	0	+13	Yes	+$3	02-10 11:21
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	1	$10	14	0	+14	No	-$10	02-06 20:18
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	22	0	+22	Yes	+$12	02-14 11:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$10	23	0	+23	Yes	+$13	02-08 01:32
deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	1	$10	15	0	+15	No	-$10	03-03 17:57
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$10	15	0	+15	No	+$5	03-03 11:24
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	1	$10	40	0	+40	No	-$10	03-17 12:18
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	3	$10	76	0	+76	Yes	-$10	02-10 20:13
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	05-30 08:39
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	1	$8	17	0	+17	open	—	06-16 17:45
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	06-18 12:31
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	06-23 18:43
will mu reach 1110 by july 6 2026	1	$5	10	0	+10	No	+$5	07-06 05:02
Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2.25B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	-$5	05-31 21:11
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	06-14 02:02
will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	1	$5	8	0	+8	No	+$3	07-16 05:47
israel closes its airspace by august 31	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	07-11 05:47
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	07-18 05:48
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	-$5	07-24 05:50
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	06-15 20:36
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	1	$4	13	0	+13	Yes	+$9	06-19 10:06
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	06-20 07:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 05:08:08	Will Yanbian Longding win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x72086c…
10-25 05:08:03	Will Hwaseong FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2ef8dd…
10-24 19:28:08	Will Deportes Copiapo win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7240ce…
10-24 13:25:23	Will VVV Venlo win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xaf5ea4…
10-24 00:39:21	Will Albion FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x872778…
10-24 00:39:20	Will Atalanta BC U23 win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb84595…
10-23 22:26:30	Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xced058…
10-22 18:40:35	Will SSC Bari win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xbaa22b…
10-22 18:17:14	Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x03b161…
10-21 15:09:11	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa31685…
10-21 08:59:15	Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x1c88ea…
10-21 01:42:24	Will El Ittihad SC El Iskandary win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xfdc3e5…
10-20 13:59:29	Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa032b2…
10-20 11:28:17	Will Chorley FC win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x31c1b5…
10-18 13:26:08	Will FK Orenburg win on 2026-10-19?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x394970…
10-18 05:34:20	Ajman Club vs. Sharjah FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x3e3fa5…
10-17 22:32:56	Rhode Island FC vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x4ee6c4…
10-17 20:39:27	Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x838b08…
10-17 16:16:21	Will CDT Real Oruro win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6d8b78…
10-17 12:24:47	Will COD Meknès win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xeb590a…
10-17 01:35:30	Will Plymouth Argyle FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x14f2cb…
10-16 17:34:56	Will Cambridge United FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x335785…
10-16 05:16:25	Will RB Ōmiya Ardija win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf89339…
10-12 11:13:05	Will Modern SC win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x7f7eb8…
10-12 06:44:46	PAOK Thessaloniki vs. PAE PS Kalamata: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x854226…
10-11 18:04:37	Will Sport Boys Association win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7e1440…
10-11 16:12:30	Vikingur Reykjavik vs. IA Akranes: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x21d054…
10-11 16:12:27	Will CS Cristal win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8985cc…
10-11 16:12:25	Will St. Truidense VV win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x10f65e…
10-11 07:18:12	Will Molde FK win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc82615…
10-11 06:36:59	Will Real Murcia CF win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x552554…
10-11 03:00:51	Will Ningbo Professional FC win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x34dd1e…
10-11 02:33:47	FC Kuressaare vs. Tallinna FC Flora: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x44c90d…
10-11 00:51:55	FC Andorra vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xff72e3…
10-10 17:26:27	Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe8580f…
10-10 08:47:43	VfL Osnabrück vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2c69de…
10-09 20:58:07	Will Slavia Mozyr win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf59a1d…
10-09 12:11:48	Will Parnu JK Vaprus win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x620fc5…
10-08 13:35:33	Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-08-10?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xb70888…
10-08 08:18:08	Will US Avellino 1912 win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xd31ff4…
10-07 14:54:56	Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa1b4b5…
10-07 14:20:13	SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x699d6e…
10-06 16:01:23	Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x813777…
10-06 11:50:21	Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xcdbf83…
10-06 07:58:33	Wingate & Finchley FC vs. Bedford Town FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xfa2961…
10-05 13:19:37	Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x411ef8…
10-04 18:00:41	Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x875f95…
10-04 16:10:26	Will Girona FC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd3cbb5…
10-04 06:09:22	Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. RB Ōmiya Ardija: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x55556a…
10-04 05:27:11	VVV Venlo vs. Roda JC Kerkrade: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb3778e…
10-03 00:33:24	Will Crewe Alexandra FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xe760e0…
10-02 07:20:12	Will Cheltenham Town FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xf42799…
10-02 05:30:20	Will Ceará SC win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x244abc…
10-01 09:44:24	Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x36113e…
09-30 04:55:02	Curaçao vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0995e1…
09-30 03:17:11	Will CA Penarol Montevideo win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9e4415…
09-29 22:29:09	Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2e08dd…
09-29 04:51:38	Will Detroit City FC win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5f7ba8…
09-28 05:23:30	Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-29?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x18bb4a…
09-28 04:49:03	San Marino vs. Albania: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2bb2ec…
09-27 16:59:00	Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x00ec2d…
09-26 13:50:27	Birmingham City WFC vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x13ed5f…
09-26 12:47:02	Will CD Godoy Cruz win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3d41c4…
09-26 05:30:39	Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa8ba67…
09-26 05:02:51	Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x5846ab…
09-26 05:02:50	Will CF Montréal win on 2026-09-26?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1e86e1…
09-26 05:02:47	Will Deportes Copiapo win on 2026-09-26?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x837d87…
07-26 17:51:48	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xaaa4a8…
07-25 17:51:01	grmn quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 2pt29	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x32eeb2…
07-24 17:50:46	will trump say iran 3 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255810	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcee250…
07-24 05:50:21	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xacd51c…
07-23 17:49:54	Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 38%-40%?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x312a08…
07-19 17:48:10	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xf5c4a9…
07-18 05:48:06	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xa4d6ec…
07-16 05:47:46	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xc8e73a…
07-15 05:47:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc14366…
07-13 05:47:19	will aapl dip to 312 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xf9f208…
07-11 05:47:11	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x3e5d09…
07-06 05:02:25	will mu reach 1110 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x44bdaf…
06-23 18:43:34	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	7	78¢	$6	0xfb19d3…
06-20 07:07:43	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xda9239…
06-19 10:06:58	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0xa9aa96…
06-18 12:31:01	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	9	59¢	$6	0xb5bff9…
06-17 14:48:53	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	No	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0xee85a2…
06-16 17:45:53	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x6f6ddc…
06-15 20:36:03	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x90e38a…
06-14 23:02:40	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x27521f…
06-14 02:02:27	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8734e4…
06-13 04:48:07	US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x05fe4d…
06-12 07:36:42	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xd52a0e…
06-11 10:16:12	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x98cc8a…
05-31 21:11:57	Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2.25B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0f987e…
05-31 09:06:42	Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xaf74f3…
05-30 20:47:31	Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xded7a3…
05-30 08:39:26	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x7ad2e3…
03-19 00:26:55	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xab1616…
03-17 12:18:35	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x87871a…
03-17 05:38:09	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x44bb44…
03-03 17:57:25	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x250392…
03-03 11:24:05	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x824da9…