Old-Fashioned-Resist — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

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Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

81,810 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$398.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 11-03 19:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 41% -$28,503

Politics

0% 0% -$729

Other

0% 20% -$133

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 269 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	38	$32.0K	40,636	0	+40,636	No	-$32,030	06-01 13:10
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 19:15 UTC	84	$3.5K	6,409	52	+6,357	Up	+$2,937	01-24 19:29
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 16:30 UTC	277	$2.4K	4,622	0	+4,622	Down	-$135	01-26 16:43
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 18:45 UTC	66	$1.9K	2,211	0	+2,211	Up	+$311	01-24 18:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 16:00 UTC	219	$1.9K	3,734	0	+3,734	Up	+$318	01-26 16:14
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 14:45 UTC	205	$1.8K	3,636	0	+3,636	Up	+$5	01-27 14:53
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 19:15 UTC	197	$1.7K	3,314	0	+3,314	Down	-$302	01-26 19:28
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 16:30 UTC	184	$1.7K	3,234	0	+3,234	Down	-$183	01-26 16:41
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 17:15 UTC	182	$1.7K	3,268	0	+3,268	Up	+$203	01-26 17:30
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 14:30 UTC	188	$1.6K	3,262	0	+3,262	Down	-$251	01-27 14:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 17:10 UTC	399	$1.6K	3,186	0	+3,186	Down	+$35	02-24 17:14
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 19:30 UTC	82	$1.6K	2,621	0	+2,621	Up	+$1,055	01-24 19:42
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 14:00 UTC	111	$1.6K	3,035	0	+3,035	Up	+$172	01-24 14:11
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 19:00 UTC	60	$1.5K	2,187	473	+1,714	Down	-$879	01-24 19:05
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 19:00 UTC	183	$1.5K	2,997	0	+2,997	Down	-$159	01-26 19:12
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 21:45 UTC	173	$1.5K	2,832	0	+2,832	Down	-$72	01-26 21:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 18:30 UTC	34	$1.4K	101	1,826	-1,725	Up	-$409	02-04 18:38
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 19:30 UTC	177	$1.4K	2,870	0	+2,870	Down	-$149	01-26 19:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 16:00 UTC	51	$1.4K	1,227	1,212	+15	Down	+$64	02-19 16:03
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 18:15 UTC	172	$1.4K	2,778	0	+2,778	Up	+$84	01-26 18:24
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 13:30 UTC	148	$1.4K	2,738	0	+2,738	Down	-$199	01-26 13:37
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 15:00 UTC	171	$1.3K	2,717	0	+2,717	Up	+$202	01-26 15:10
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 17:45 UTC	140	$1.3K	2,592	0	+2,592	Up	+$189	01-26 17:55
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 16:30 UTC	159	$1.3K	2,650	0	+2,650	Down	-$169	01-26 16:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 14:15 UTC	161	$1.3K	2,734	0	+2,734	Up	-$16	01-26 14:29
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 16:45 UTC	142	$1.3K	2,525	0	+2,525	Down	-$85	01-26 16:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 17:15 UTC	151	$1.3K	2,528	0	+2,528	Down	-$188	01-26 17:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 15:15 UTC	145	$1.3K	2,637	0	+2,637	Down	-$447	01-26 15:20
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 14:15 UTC	150	$1.3K	2,498	0	+2,498	Up	+$14	01-26 14:29
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 13:30 UTC	167	$1.2K	2,570	0	+2,570	Down	-$57	01-26 13:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 19:32:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x848702…
11-03 19:32:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x848702…
11-03 19:32:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xab30a5…
11-03 19:32:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x24a4dc…
11-03 19:32:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x24a4dc…
11-03 19:32:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x967328…
11-03 19:32:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x4a7e87…
11-03 19:32:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x4a7e87…
11-03 19:32:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x541f56…
11-03 19:32:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x5708ba…
11-03 19:32:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x5708ba…
11-03 19:32:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x978099…
11-03 19:32:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x978099…
11-03 19:32:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x9a3732…
11-03 19:32:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x9a3732…
11-03 19:32:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xf60800…
11-03 19:32:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf60800…
11-03 19:31:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x5aae58…
11-03 19:31:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x393c5f…
11-03 19:31:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x393c5f…
11-03 19:31:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xb4c279…
11-03 19:31:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xb4c279…
11-03 19:31:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xe7f6ca…
11-03 19:31:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe7f6ca…
11-03 19:30:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	39¢	$1	0x977588…
11-03 19:30:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7ad9a6…
11-03 19:30:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x7ad9a6…
11-03 19:30:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x8511b2…
11-03 19:30:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x8511b2…
11-03 19:30:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xad7082…
11-03 19:30:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xad7082…
11-03 19:22:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xd2bb47…
11-03 19:22:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd2bb47…
11-03 19:22:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x981ac7…
11-03 19:21:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xd71af9…
11-03 19:21:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x4159b2…
11-03 19:21:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x4159b2…
11-03 19:21:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x3e2d06…
11-03 19:20:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x78ebac…
11-03 19:20:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x78ebac…
11-03 19:20:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x06b34b…
11-03 19:20:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x06b34b…
11-03 19:18:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xc561d9…
11-03 19:18:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xc561d9…
11-03 19:13:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x54d239…
11-03 19:13:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x75682c…
11-03 19:13:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x75682c…
11-03 19:13:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x78e5f4…
11-03 19:13:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x0c4380…
11-03 19:13:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x4d8fdc…
11-03 19:13:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x4d8fdc…
11-03 19:13:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x2cfe2f…
11-03 19:13:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x2cfe2f…
11-03 19:13:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xed9d05…
11-03 19:13:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xed9d05…
11-03 19:13:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x974445…
11-03 19:13:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x785081…
11-03 19:13:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$2	0x785081…
11-03 19:13:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x0ae771…
11-03 19:13:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x00bcb2…
11-03 19:13:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x00bcb2…
11-03 19:12:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x9f93bb…
11-03 19:12:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x9f93bb…
11-03 19:12:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x5182d7…
11-03 19:12:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x1bb517…
11-03 19:12:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xee43e8…
11-03 19:12:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xee43e8…
11-03 19:12:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xbfc8db…
11-03 19:12:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xbfc8db…
11-03 19:12:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x127f87…
11-03 19:12:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x127f87…
11-03 19:12:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x62707f…
11-03 19:12:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x62707f…
11-03 19:11:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x35e4f1…
11-03 19:11:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x1b1baf…
11-03 19:11:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa2d0a2…
11-03 19:11:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xa2d0a2…
11-03 19:11:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xddbb7c…
11-03 19:11:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xddbb7c…
11-03 19:11:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x1d4467…
11-03 19:03:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xdcf595…
11-03 19:02:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xdc694b…
11-03 19:01:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xe96c16…
11-03 19:01:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe96c16…
11-03 19:01:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x1997e3…
11-03 19:01:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1997e3…
11-03 19:00:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xfd8de9…
11-03 19:00:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xfd8de9…
11-03 19:00:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xae2d34…
11-03 19:00:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x731335…
11-03 19:00:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x731335…
11-03 19:00:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x012125…
11-03 19:00:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x012125…
11-03 19:00:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x594507…
11-03 19:00:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x594507…
11-03 19:00:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x5e809b…
11-03 18:53:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x915516…
11-03 18:53:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x915516…
11-03 18:53:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xa4e23e…
11-03 18:53:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0xa4e23e…