Loud-Comeback — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8.90K

Unrealized P&L

+$114

Hit rate

90.4%

Resolved

1,583

Trades

4,153

lifetime

Volume

$735.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$177

Open exposure

$977

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-20 20:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 83 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 96% -$4,074

Other

24% 84% -$3,829

Sports

10% 84% +$852

Politics

4% 57% -$1,850

Tech

0% 33% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No		+1,198	$863	82¢	$977	+$114	09-19 21:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	6	$9.6K	4,506	5,379	-873	Yes	-$156	02-14 13:12
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	11	$6.8K	6,893	250	+6,643	Yes	+$372	02-22 14:51
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	7	$5.0K	5,002	0	+5,002	Down	+$5	03-02 15:11
spx opens up or down on march 9 2026	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Down	+$5	03-09 19:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 15:30 UTC	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Down	+$50	03-04 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 03:10 UTC	18	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	Up	+$52	03-07 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 15:20 UTC	1	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	Down	+$134	03-04 15:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 15:35 UTC	2	$4.3K	5,000	0	+5,000	Down	-$1,341	03-10 15:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$4.0K	3,385	1,000	+2,385	No	+$334	07-07 01:06
spx up or down on march 6 2026	3	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Down	+$4	03-06 21:24
spx opens up or down on march 4 2026	6	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Up	+$4	03-04 21:08
spx opens up or down on march 3 2026	4	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Down	+$4	03-03 15:47
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by february 6 2026 681	2	$3.9K	4,062	0	+4,062	Yes	+$121	01-30 02:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 15:40 UTC	1	$3.7K	4,000	0	+4,000	Down	-$3,704	03-10 15:44
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	3	$3.7K	1,868	1,868	+0	No	+$35	06-08 16:03
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$3.6K	4,372	4,372	+0	No	-$382	03-19 15:01
cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 atm	10	$3.5K	1,788	1,788	+0	Yes	+$64	02-12 21:52
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	2	$3.1K	1,846	1,846	+0	Yes	+$106	06-05 14:52
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$2.8K	3,100	0	+3,100	Yes	+$329	05-03 14:29
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	47	$2.8K	2,444	2,444	+0	No	+$223	05-29 02:27
spx opens up or down on march 13 2026	2	$2.7K	2,700	0	+2,700	Up	+$3	03-13 18:01
arg vel tal 2026 01 27 vel	7	$2.6K	2,929	0	+2,929	Yes	+$357	01-27 22:30
nhl wsh sea 2026 01 27	7	$2.3K	2,386	0	+2,386	Kraken	+$46	01-28 05:31
bun wer hof 2026 01 10 hof	8	$2.3K	1,741	848	+893	Yes	+$47	01-27 21:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:30 UTC	5	$2.2K	2,200	0	+2,200	Down	+$41	03-07 22:34
nba ind okc 2026 01 23	7	$2.1K	514	2,449	-1,935	Pacers	-$489	01-24 03:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 06:40 UTC	21	$2.0K	2,100	0	+2,100	Up	+$52	03-07 06:44
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$2.0K	1,108	1,108	+0	Yes	+$8	01-01 17:19
spx opens up or down on february 25 2026	2	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	Up	+$2	02-25 14:26
bitcoin above 62k on february 25	3	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$2	02-25 15:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 20:56:51	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,059	5¢	$51	0xa2813a…
09-19 21:47:05	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1,198	72¢	$863	0x1e02c6…
08-11 01:49:25	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	828	60¢	$500	0xc1241c…
08-02 15:36:09	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0xe007ff…
07-12 04:21:10	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3,049	20¢	$610	0x7d6ae9…
07-12 04:20:37	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,924	38¢	$1,123	0xb41b0c…
07-12 04:20:01	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5,682	20¢	$1,148	0xe117b7…
07-07 01:06:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0x4f4fb4…
06-23 03:52:38	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x34bc77…
06-23 03:49:41	Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0xfd192e…
06-15 15:18:04	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	390	92¢	$359	0xc9515a…
06-11 14:16:04	Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	359	57¢	$205	0xc364a2…
06-11 13:53:39	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	Yes	SELL	375	16¢	$60	0x7627b8…
06-11 13:53:10	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	816	19¢	$153	0xfc92ef…
06-10 03:23:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	318	91¢	$289	0xd23c5b…
06-10 02:26:33	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	784	38¢	$294	0x5f5db0…
06-08 16:04:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2,052	90¢	$1,847	0xbb995a…
06-08 16:03:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1,868	99¢	$1,848	0xe64c45…
06-08 13:44:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,016	90¢	$914	0xa052e9…
06-08 13:43:52	Will Amazon acquire TikTok?	No	SELL	689	99¢	$683	0x6a0b85…
06-08 13:43:31	Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?	No	SELL	233	99¢	$231	0x46a126…
06-05 14:53:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	1,657	97¢	$1,615	0x1a1c80…
06-05 14:52:09	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,846	87¢	$1,606	0x415164…
06-03 00:37:49	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,682	9¢	$500	0x62f523…
06-03 00:37:16	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,049	16¢	$500	0x1453cf…
06-03 00:37:02	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,924	17¢	$500	0xc541b5…
05-31 23:34:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	211	94¢	$198	0x421e43…
05-31 23:33:23	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	375	63¢	$236	0x6220a0…
05-31 23:29:49	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,600	64¢	$1,026	0x54c8cd…
05-29 02:27:06	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	2,444	61¢	$1,491	0xa7b15e…
05-28 00:08:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	555	100¢	$552	0x240beb…
05-20 14:36:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,000	93¢	$926	0x740414…
05-15 17:25:27	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,134	99¢	$1,120	0x448fd0…
05-15 02:20:14	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	714	70¢	$500	0xfcc711…
05-14 17:53:18	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,846	81¢	$1,500	0xde4334…
05-03 14:49:44	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	340	87¢	$296	0x8bdc26…
05-03 14:29:12	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3,100	89¢	$2,771	0xaee452…
04-18 02:23:06	bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0xc3391c…
04-18 02:23:04	bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0xfcb559…
04-18 02:20:22	bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xf3d684…
03-21 13:35:19	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	76	52¢	$39	0x548130…
03-21 11:42:29	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xff6004…
03-21 11:20:51	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	16	52¢	$9	0x45f869…
03-21 11:00:55	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe3e047…
03-21 11:00:51	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	22	52¢	$11	0xf770bd…
03-21 10:59:21	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	22	52¢	$11	0xd4d65b…
03-21 10:59:21	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x75277d…
03-21 10:59:21	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x47577b…
03-21 10:46:25	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xd326aa…
03-21 09:55:11	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x0f5e46…
03-21 07:59:03	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	80	52¢	$41	0x7cdc38…
03-21 07:52:21	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x58e1ef…
03-21 07:32:29	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0xfccd85…
03-21 07:32:29	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xee362f…
03-21 07:32:29	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x5335f6…
03-21 07:16:41	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	47	52¢	$24	0xc86220…
03-21 04:30:17	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x9cf760…
03-21 04:29:39	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc65369…
03-21 04:29:39	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0xa51695…
03-21 04:29:39	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0x8c2395…
03-21 04:29:39	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x5fcf9a…
03-21 02:53:51	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4a0d12…
03-21 02:53:43	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xc90f5c…
03-21 02:53:43	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x8c24b2…
03-21 02:53:43	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x6a727c…
03-21 02:53:43	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x5775c0…
03-21 02:53:43	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3dbfd2…
03-21 02:53:43	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0x38b45f…
03-21 02:53:43	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x3847f9…
03-21 02:53:43	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2d453f…
03-21 02:53:43	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x00a2db…
03-21 01:05:23	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9f7ea4…
03-21 00:09:29	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0xe9c45d…
03-20 19:07:49	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x7e5c29…
03-20 17:40:45	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	62	52¢	$32	0xe55bbc…
03-20 17:40:45	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc74125…
03-20 17:40:45	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x050472…
03-20 17:17:03	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	26	52¢	$14	0x9bce4b…
03-20 17:05:19	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	7	52¢	$3	0xdc1ae7…
03-20 16:57:49	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	116	52¢	$60	0x387b77…
03-20 16:57:29	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x1cadc9…
03-20 16:56:07	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,284	52¢	$668	0x16b8a0…
03-20 13:56:15	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xf387d2…
03-20 10:20:29	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	46	50¢	$23	0x6bfbc7…
03-19 22:28:13	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	98	50¢	$49	0xd61600…
03-19 18:07:45	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x36ab53…
03-19 15:01:43	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	4,372	37¢	$1,618	0xbaf692…
03-13 18:01:11	spx opens up or down on march 13 2026	Up	BUY	2,288	100¢	$2,286	0x769a7e…
03-13 17:54:17	spx opens up or down on march 13 2026	Up	BUY	412	100¢	$411	0x8f6f5e…
03-10 15:44:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4,000	93¢	$3,704	0xb525ea…
03-10 15:39:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3,000	86¢	$2,580	0xa7fdec…
03-10 15:37:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2,000	88¢	$1,761	0xa400ca…
03-10 15:35:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	500	96¢	$480	0xf9f902…
03-10 15:33:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaea0bd…
03-10 15:33:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x517670…
03-10 15:33:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xcc7264…
03-10 15:33:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x9c4093…
03-10 15:33:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x9125a6…
03-10 15:33:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x909291…
03-10 15:33:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0x895745…