Thoughtful-Kitsch — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.2%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

799 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$265

$17.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 11-05 17:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% -$1,305

Other

0% 100% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 18:15 UTC	1	$200	316	+316	Up	+$116	08-24 18:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 22:30 UTC	1	$200	422	+422	Up	-$200	08-21 22:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 10:15 UTC	1	$200	315	+315	Down	+$115	08-21 10:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 12:15 UTC	1	$200	319	+319	Up	+$119	08-27 12:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 10:30 UTC	1	$200	353	+353	Up	-$200	08-25 10:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 19:45 UTC	1	$200	436	+436	Down	-$200	08-20 19:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 18:00 UTC	1	$200	359	+359	Up	+$159	08-25 18:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 09:15 UTC	1	$200	395	+395	Up	+$195	08-24 09:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 09:15 UTC	1	$200	378	+378	Down	-$200	08-25 09:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 01:15 UTC	1	$200	305	+305	Up	+$105	08-25 01:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 21:30 UTC	1	$200	323	+323	Down	-$200	08-27 21:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 23:45 UTC	1	$200	299	+299	Down	-$200	08-27 23:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 15:15 UTC	1	$200	306	+306	Down	-$200	08-29 15:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 02:00 UTC	2	$200	317	+317	Down	-$200	08-27 02:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 12:45 UTC	2	$199	408	+408	Up	-$199	08-28 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	1	$100	158	+158	Up	+$58	09-10 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$100	206	+206	Up	-$100	09-11 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	1	$100	212	+212	Up	-$100	09-09 04:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$100	209	+209	Down	+$109	09-08 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	1	$100	152	+152	Up	+$52	09-09 04:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-08 09:00 UTC	1	$100	151	+151	Up	+$51	09-08 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$100	182	+182	Up	-$100	09-09 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	1	$100	217	+217	Down	-$100	09-08 05:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	1	$100	263	+263	Up	+$163	09-08 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	1	$100	159	+159	Down	-$100	09-13 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$100	169	+169	Down	-$100	09-07 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	1	$100	207	+207	Up	-$100	09-13 02:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	1	$100	159	+159	Down	+$59	09-11 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$100	156	+156	Down	-$100	09-07 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$100	207	+207	Down	+$107	09-12 05:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 17:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xf8c172…
11-05 11:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x57a094…
11-04 19:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xadf822…
11-04 19:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x007a2a…
11-04 18:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xad648c…
11-04 17:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xb26108…
11-03 22:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x053b97…
11-03 17:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xe12ffb…
11-03 14:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x874663…
11-03 01:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x4a66c1…
11-02 10:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x16b79a…
11-02 02:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x1c703b…
11-01 18:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	76	26¢	$20	0xb98260…
10-31 22:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x65af74…
10-31 18:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x98056d…
10-31 17:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x5b8306…
10-31 10:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x54fd7c…
10-31 09:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xda7b3f…
10-31 06:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x72dde7…
10-31 04:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xf1e30e…
10-31 02:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbcf7ed…
10-30 22:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x357434…
10-30 20:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x3c3f90…
10-29 12:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xb42ae9…
10-29 09:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x40b131…
10-29 08:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x7d1c2d…
10-29 03:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xf9d2ee…
10-29 01:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xddf77f…
10-28 19:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x94c8b4…
10-28 13:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xb5314d…
10-28 09:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x659fc2…
10-28 06:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x64a538…
10-28 05:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xbb917d…
10-28 04:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xfa7936…
10-28 00:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x1d23df…
10-27 23:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x8fea7d…
10-27 22:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xb67838…
10-27 19:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x65a3a0…
10-27 14:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x1199a2…
10-27 09:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x3b8022…
10-27 05:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x490502…
10-26 23:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x033bd7…
10-26 22:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x4d96ac…
10-26 18:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x0e6ec5…
10-24 13:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb161bb…
10-23 00:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xf36a96…
10-21 16:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x39b70f…
10-20 21:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x74c4c5…
10-19 14:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xb021cc…
10-18 09:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x233bdf…
10-17 19:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x7a5c44…
10-17 14:53:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x305900…
10-17 14:08:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x264174…
10-16 20:38:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x3c8fe6…
10-16 16:23:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x12c990…
10-16 08:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xd101d9…
10-15 23:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xc654c7…
10-15 16:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xb03830…
10-15 16:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x0365e2…
10-15 04:53:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x6a614f…
10-14 19:53:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x41ff65…
10-02 17:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0x74c720…
10-02 16:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	44	55¢	$24	0xa75c4f…
10-02 07:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	39	61¢	$24	0x47345d…
10-01 21:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	38	62¢	$24	0xd79bd8…
10-01 21:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	46	52¢	$24	0xb55266…
10-01 21:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	39	62¢	$24	0xd7049d…
10-01 19:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	39	61¢	$24	0x50d5a8…
10-01 19:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	41	58¢	$24	0x3d830c…
10-01 19:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	45	53¢	$24	0xa38401…
10-01 17:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	63¢	$24	0x4267bd…
10-01 08:08:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	48	50¢	$24	0xebbcab…
10-01 05:38:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	41	58¢	$24	0xe7ff3e…
10-01 03:53:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	39	61¢	$24	0xdd1c4e…
10-01 00:38:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	42	57¢	$24	0xa46c8a…
09-30 23:23:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	42	57¢	$24	0xc822be…
09-30 22:38:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	39	62¢	$24	0xad3188…
09-30 21:53:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	39	62¢	$24	0xdda39d…
09-30 20:08:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	46	52¢	$24	0xfb0efe…
09-30 17:53:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	41	59¢	$24	0x2a8a52…
09-30 16:53:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	41	58¢	$24	0x03749b…
09-30 10:23:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	43	55¢	$24	0x4a5983…
09-30 01:53:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	38	63¢	$24	0xaaf604…
09-30 00:08:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	44	55¢	$24	0x590d28…
09-29 22:53:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0xe44f50…
09-29 20:53:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x102968…
09-29 13:08:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	41	58¢	$24	0x316e58…
09-29 09:23:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	39	61¢	$24	0xcaa37a…
09-29 07:53:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	41	59¢	$24	0xd13ae1…
09-29 01:38:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	39	62¢	$24	0xcfd98a…
09-29 01:23:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	41	58¢	$24	0x7937f6…
09-29 00:38:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	38	64¢	$24	0x0128cc…
09-29 00:08:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	43	56¢	$24	0x3187f5…
09-28 22:23:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	41	59¢	$24	0x8f1a89…
09-28 18:23:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x8f8402…
09-28 18:08:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	41	59¢	$24	0xb952dc…
09-28 16:08:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	43	56¢	$24	0x72a0ae…
09-28 15:53:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	38	63¢	$24	0x595790…
09-28 11:23:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x4961e7…
09-28 09:58:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x0717af…