Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.5%

Resolved

5,901

Trades

8,407

lifetime

Volume

$13.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 10-28 17:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 169 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 60% -$105

Other

12% 55% +$85

Sports

0% 50% +$1

Tech

0% 25% +$0

Politics

0% 17% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 11:40 UTC	3	$34	29	28	+1	Up	+$23	04-11 11:45
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 11:45 UTC	3	$31	27	26	+1	Up	+$22	04-11 11:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 14:20 UTC	7	$28	59	17	+41	Up	+$47	08-03 14:25
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to Score	28	$27	22	22	+0	Yes	-$1	05-09 13:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:15 UTC	3	$24	18	18	+0	Down	+$11	04-10 06:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:30 UTC	5	$24	22	4	+18	Up	+$2	08-05 14:34
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 09:10 UTC	4	$24	18	18	+0	Up	+$1	04-11 09:14
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-10 20:00 UTC	7	$20	22	21	+1	Down	+$0	04-10 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 18:45 UTC	10	$19	17	16	+0	Down	+$6	03-24 18:49
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-10 20:00 UTC	8	$19	20	19	+1	Down	$0	04-10 20:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 02:45 UTC	4	$19	30	0	+30	Up	+$1	08-06 02:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 08:50 UTC	3	$16	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	04-11 08:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 17:05 UTC	4	$16	12	12	+0	Up	+$8	04-10 17:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 18:10 UTC	3	$16	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	04-05 18:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 06:10 UTC	2	$16	14	13	+1	Up	+$11	04-11 06:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 15:50 UTC	17	$15	53	53	+0	Up	-$1	03-24 15:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 19:10 UTC	9	$15	17	17	+0	Up	+$2	03-24 19:12
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 07:00 UTC	4	$14	12	11	+1	Down	+$5	04-13 07:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 08:45 UTC	10	$14	25	24	+1	Up	-$2	04-03 08:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 15:45 UTC	6	$14	27	26	+1	Down	-$1	04-15 15:51
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 06:05 UTC	2	$14	11	10	+1	Down	+$7	04-11 06:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 18:35 UTC	4	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$6	04-05 18:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:20 UTC	4	$14	12	12	+0	Up	+$3	04-15 20:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 12:50 UTC	2	$14	12	11	+1	Up	+$9	04-14 12:55
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	15	$13	15	15	+0	Down	$0	05-14 13:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 17:00 UTC	3	$13	9	9	+0	Down	+$5	04-03 17:06
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:20 UTC	2	$13	11	10	+1	Up	+$8	04-15 20:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 13:50 UTC	4	$13	23	6	+17	Up	-$1	08-05 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:30 UTC	2	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$7	04-10 06:35
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 14:35 UTC	5	$12	50	5	+45	Up	-$3	04-19 14:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 19:12:46	CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 89% to 90.5%?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x6273c0…
10-28 17:19:01	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x838898…
10-28 17:08:19	Will any other model be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x4f1af9…
10-28 17:06:31	Will Google be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x976a37…
10-28 17:06:23	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xccea87…
10-28 17:06:23	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xc0842a…
10-28 17:06:23	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xb768f1…
10-28 17:06:23	Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xa3e08e…
10-28 15:47:11	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x4435f8…
10-28 13:59:43	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd081e8…
10-28 02:45:47	Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd166c4…
10-27 22:31:33	Will any other model be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x2aaaf1…
10-27 22:20:57	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xdfa8b8…
10-27 13:26:26	Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x5c7072…
10-27 05:46:00	Anthropic announces a training pause by October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x91b4ec…
10-27 01:48:26	Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.B. Pritzker by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0xdbcdf1…
10-26 20:51:24	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2ee0c2…
10-26 19:23:50	Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.B. Pritzker by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xde8675…
10-26 04:28:03	Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb9b756…
10-25 22:47:53	Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x76474b…
10-25 13:41:48	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xfa3395…
10-25 06:14:39	Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x186d64…
10-25 02:57:29	Vertiv (VRT) Q3 adjusted operating margin 26% to 28%?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xeaceb9…
10-24 21:59:38	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x18d4fa…
10-24 19:45:36	Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd07a51…
10-23 21:57:39	Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) <6.5%?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x8f13b3…
10-23 20:07:20	Vertiv (VRT) Q3 adjusted operating margin 24% to 26%?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x8c4c91…
10-23 17:40:45	Anthropic announces a training pause by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc0de67…
10-23 08:21:36	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x4c35b8…
10-23 06:20:56	Will Google be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xf4d499…
10-23 05:27:17	Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xa58580…
10-23 00:51:08	Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x5076ee…
10-23 00:50:20	Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3fc2ff…
10-23 00:49:38	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x1f94fd…
10-23 00:49:36	Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x7aa924…
10-23 00:49:23	Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x86b79b…
10-22 20:34:27	CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 92% to 93.5%?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x12b6c3…
10-22 18:20:09	Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x6de5a7…
10-22 16:48:35	Will any other model be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x509c9e…
10-22 09:35:18	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x192baa…
10-22 09:05:27	Vertiv (VRT) Q3 adjusted operating margin 24% to 26%?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb9d693…
10-22 09:05:27	Vertiv (VRT) Q3 adjusted operating margin 26% to 28%?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x471cbb…
10-21 23:04:53	Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x676f91…
10-21 23:04:53	Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x23b071…
10-21 01:45:30	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x4c226d…
10-21 01:45:27	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x47096d…
10-21 00:40:30	Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x648580…
10-20 22:07:21	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.10T and $1.20T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xc7acfb…
10-20 21:40:02	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.10T and $1.20T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x214330…
10-20 21:02:24	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf4016e…
10-20 19:54:47	Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2488de…
10-20 19:30:47	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x6a5e24…
10-20 15:26:12	Abbott Laboratories (ABT) Q3 comparable sales growth 6% to 8%?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb0de92…
10-20 03:51:51	Japan Women's Open: Completed Match: Kayla Day vs Kimberly Birrell	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x920a02…
10-19 16:49:26	Will Google be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xce13d1…
10-19 16:09:06	Lisbon: Completed Match: Andrea Pellegrino vs Pol Martin Tiffon	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x7a1e63…
10-19 15:43:12	Florence: Completed Match: Ivan Ivanov vs Enrico Dalla Valle	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa547de…
10-19 06:44:41	Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2778ea…
10-19 06:44:27	Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x865a73…
10-19 03:55:24	Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xec25fc…
10-19 03:55:23	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3c89aa…
10-19 02:28:12	Japan Women's Open: Completed Match: Sonay Kartal vs Kimberly Birrell	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x0f794c…
10-18 22:24:05	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd84aa7…
10-18 07:48:18	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x8dd187…
10-18 05:39:30	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0xe18f55…
10-18 03:01:18	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x99e719…
10-17 16:33:24	Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x356ff6…
10-17 04:07:12	Will there be 4 or more Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc39deb…
10-16 21:00:17	Will Trudy peak at Category 3?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xeac109…
10-16 20:43:42	Will Trudy peak at Category 4?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x19a850…
10-16 19:00:07	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x2ca395…
10-16 19:00:05	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x4ae2e5…
10-16 03:51:04	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xafbd1a…
10-16 03:51:03	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2f0990…
10-16 03:42:04	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x4a8883…
10-16 03:40:30	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x4909a0…
10-15 16:47:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb952f9…
10-15 16:47:02	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x673d1c…
10-15 14:29:59	Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa529e2…
10-15 13:56:35	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x5a324a…
10-15 12:38:41	military action against king khalid international airport ruh by october 15	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x8463d9…
10-15 09:29:55	Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 15?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x4c9730…
10-15 07:44:35	military action against king khalid international airport ruh by october 15	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xd27465…
10-15 02:51:20	next zai glm 5pt4 released by october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc91326…
10-14 06:31:28	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xf24596…
10-13 23:00:31	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb1b39a…
10-13 21:27:18	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xef5f4e…
10-13 20:16:19	Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x44e58a…
10-13 19:09:54	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xef1a72…
10-13 14:44:32	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xb38caf…
10-13 14:42:55	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 13?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb2acdb…
10-13 13:34:10	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x254cf3…
10-13 12:39:49	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2f6d64…
10-13 12:35:50	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x560b3e…
10-13 11:53:59	Rovereto: Completed Match: Lola Radivojevic vs Teodora Kostovic	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$0	0xb85ad8…
10-13 11:39:26	Rovereto: Completed Match: Lola Radivojevic vs Teodora Kostovic	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x80d03d…
10-13 11:35:32	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xe866ad…
10-13 10:10:22	wta freitas serban 2026 10 13 completed match	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x1e7b05…
10-13 10:10:19	Lisbon: Completed Match: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xf69cff…
10-13 08:36:41	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xab28a4…