Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
61.5%
Resolved
6,256
Trades
8,873
lifetime
Volume
$13.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$4
20 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 11-15 23:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 185 days
Categories
Crypto
87% 60% -$103
Other
13% 47% +$96
Sports
0% 50% +$1
Tech
0% 36% +$3
Politics
0% 21% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will UKMTO publish 8-11 notices between November 9-November 15? Yes +5 $0 34¢ $2 +$1 11-14 12:27
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 16? Yes +5 $0 6¢ $0 +$0 11-15 16:54
Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on November 16? Yes +5 $0 4¢ $0 $0 11-15 12:49
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 58-59°F on November 16? Yes +5 $0 4¢ $0 $0 11-15 23:29
Will Iran target Iraq by November 15, 2026? Yes +5 $0 4¢ $0 $0 11-15 22:56
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 54-55°F on November 16? Yes +5 $0 4¢ $0 $0 11-15 23:12
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 56-57°F on November 16? Yes +5 $0 3¢ $0 $0 11-15 14:17
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 13 to November 20, 2026? Yes +5 $0 3¢ $0 $0 11-11 19:43
Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026? Yes +5 $0 3¢ $0 $0 11-10 17:36
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 52-53°F on November 16? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 $0 11-15 20:02
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on November 16? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 $0 11-15 15:01
Will any other model be the best AI model on November 16, 2026? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 $0 11-12 14:33
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 16? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 11-15 07:54
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 14? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 11-14 04:09
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 15? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 11-14 15:31
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on November 16? Yes — +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 11-15 15:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 15? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 11-15 01:43
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on November 15? Yes +2 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 11-14 21:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 15? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 11-15 04:52
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on November 15? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 11-14 15:55