Smug-Misnomer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$202

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.1%

Resolved

2,132

Trades

2,775

lifetime

Volume

$7.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 10-13 10:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 68% -$129

Other

11% 61% -$67

Sports

0% 25% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 12:15 UTC	2	$26	32	29	+3	Up	+$20	07-15 12:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:15 UTC	2	$24	15	15	+0	Up	+$6	04-04 21:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:20 UTC	2	$23	26	25	+1	Up	-$5	04-04 21:24
Set 1 Winner: Damir Dzumhur vs Abedallah Shelbayh	9	$20	21	21	+0	Abedallah Shelbayh	$0	10-07 18:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 14:55 UTC	2	$20	29	0	+29	Up	-$20	07-14 14:56
bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	14	$19	17	17	+0	No	$0	06-08 19:45
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 08:00 UTC	2	$19	34	18	+16	Up	+$29	07-20 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$16	15	15	+0	Down	-$10	05-10 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 21:00 UTC	2	$16	8	8	+0	Up	+$0	04-04 21:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 14:50 UTC	2	$15	21	0	+21	Up	+$6	07-14 14:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 14:45 UTC	2	$15	18	0	+18	Down	+$3	07-14 14:48
bitcoin above 64k on june 10 2026	14	$15	16	16	+0	No	$0	06-08 19:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 05:00 UTC	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	-$1	07-21 05:14
bitcoin above 62k on june 9 2026	16	$14	39	39	+0	No	$0	06-08 19:50
bitcoin above 62k on june 10 2026	18	$14	25	25	+0	Yes	$0	06-10 03:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 10:45 UTC	2	$14	15	14	+1	Down	+$5	07-15 10:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 22:05 UTC	2	$13	16	16	+1	Up	-$5	04-04 22:09
BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 11:15 UTC	2	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	07-15 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$13	13	0	+13	Up	+$1	05-10 16:14
bitcoin above 60k on june 11 2026	18	$12	54	54	+0	Yes	-$1	06-08 21:28
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 14:00 UTC	3	$12	12	6	+6	Up	+$0	04-05 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$12	13	0	+13	Up	+$1	05-10 16:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 14:15 UTC	3	$12	12	6	+6	Up	+$0	04-05 14:19
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$12	12	0	+12	Up	+$0	04-30 13:34
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$12	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	04-30 15:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	3	$12	12	6	+6	Up	-$8	05-01 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$11	13	0	+13	Down	-$11	05-05 15:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$11	11	6	+4	Up	-$4	05-01 14:15
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 23:00 UTC	1	$11	35	0	+35	Down	-$11	07-24 23:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 22:45 UTC	1	$11	33	0	+33	Down	-$11	07-24 22:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 10:05:11	dota2 yes kalmy 2026 10 13 game1	Kalmychata	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0xfb6d35…
10-12 15:26:38	Set 1 Winner: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Yasmine Kabbaj	Yasmine Kabbaj	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0xaec39d…
10-12 14:38:48	Set 1 Winner: Barbora Palicova vs Jazmin Ortenzi	Barbora Palicova	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xfe0d1a…
10-12 14:30:48	Set 1 Winner: Polina Iatcenko vs Harmony Tan	Harmony Tan	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x9720fd…
10-12 13:52:57	Set 1 Winner: Susan Bandecchi vs Gaia Maduzzi	Gaia Maduzzi	BUY	5	32¢	$1	0x4ef900…
10-12 13:18:48	Set 1 Winner: Alexandra Eala vs Han Shi	Han Shi	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xd116bd…
10-12 11:44:51	Set 1 Winner: Arthur Fils vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Arthur Fils	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x722027…
10-12 11:32:30	Set 1 Winner: Eva Vedder vs Francesca Curmi	Francesca Curmi	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xf780f3…
10-12 10:33:33	Set 1 Winner: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0x314e20…
10-12 08:37:24	Set 1 Winner: Caty McNally vs Yulia Starodubtseva	Caty McNally	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0xb7dbf5…
10-12 07:39:32	Set 1 Winner: Maria Sakkari vs Donna Vekic	Maria Sakkari	BUY	4	42¢	$1	0x4452ee…
10-12 04:30:09	Set 1 Winner: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xdf9b7a…
10-12 03:51:32	Set 1 Winner: Anhelina Kalinina vs Sonay Kartal	Anhelina Kalinina	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x63020a…
10-12 03:20:54	Set 1 Winner: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Leylah Fernandez	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xcd2177…
10-11 14:28:30	Eagles vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd13a16…
10-11 14:07:21	LoL: PART TIMERS vs essences - Game 1 Winner	essences	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4afaa6…
10-11 13:54:28	Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	T1	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x96abb6…
10-11 13:38:27	Set 1 Winner: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x72ffd2…
10-11 13:16:07	Olbia: Georgii Kravchenko vs Alexander Donski	Alexander Donski	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x58b660…
10-11 08:46:58	LoL: West Point Esports PH vs Nothin'Here - Game 1 Winner	Nothin'Here	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x371d26…
10-11 04:26:57	Set 1 Winner: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Gea	Ben Shelton	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0x270799…
10-10 17:40:33	LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner	FURIA Esports	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x675eea…
10-10 04:27:01	Set 1 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0x07435f…
10-09 17:27:38	Set 1 Winner: Bianca Andreescu vs Anna Blinkova	Bianca Andreescu	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0x0cb968…
10-09 12:48:06	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd83565…
10-09 12:47:51	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x0964db…
10-09 12:35:42	Set 1 Winner: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Polina Iatcenko	Lucrezia Stefanini	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x80fa14…
10-09 12:27:10	Set 1 Winner: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xf90d73…
10-09 12:01:57	Set 1 Winner: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Polina Iatcenko	Lucrezia Stefanini	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x646c6f…
10-09 11:54:03	Set 1 Winner: Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek	Iga Swiatek	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xc62d8a…
10-09 11:00:03	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery	Arthur Fery	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7c940a…
10-09 10:56:46	Penguins vs. Blue Jackets	Penguins	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xec5b86…
10-09 10:20:43	Set 1 Winner: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz	Novak Djokovic	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xbfd750…
10-09 10:10:43	Set 1 Winner: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin	Francisco Cerundolo	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6e88fd…
10-09 09:50:10	Set 1 Winner: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery	Karen Khachanov	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8290bc…
10-09 09:44:33	Set 1 Winner: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin	Francisco Cerundolo	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x0c1429…
10-09 09:23:03	Set 1 Winner: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery	Karen Khachanov	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x177923…
10-09 07:45:06	Set 1 Winner: Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe1540a…
10-09 07:26:37	Set 1 Winner: Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xaac274…
10-09 06:34:54	Set 1 Winner: Matteo Berrettini vs Brandon Nakashima	Matteo Berrettini	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x554d40…
10-09 06:23:07	Set 1 Winner: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Blockx	Quentin Halys	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x6d44b9…
10-09 04:33:04	Set 1 Winner: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x0f77f2…
10-09 04:32:03	Set 1 Winner: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert	Ugo Humbert	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xd08466…
10-09 04:28:57	Set 1 Winner: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0x06af08…
10-09 04:26:39	Set 1 Winner: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Elvina Kalieva	Elvina Kalieva	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbfda6c…
10-09 04:01:16	Set 1 Winner: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Elvina Kalieva	Elvina Kalieva	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xb6ffdc…
10-09 02:29:24	Set 1 Winner: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Kyoka Okamura	Zhuoxuan Bai	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xf9c7b9…
10-08 23:50:47	Hawks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xc171ef…
10-08 04:21:22	Set 1 Winner: Nuno Borges vs Facundo Acosta	Facundo Acosta	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xcfcf31…
10-08 04:21:05	Set 1 Winner: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x7a341f…
10-07 18:42:12	Set 1 Winner: Damir Dzumhur vs Abedallah Shelbayh	Damir Dzumhur	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x685a9a…
10-07 18:41:57	atp dzumhur shelbay 2026 10 08 first set winner Dzumhur vs Shelbayh	Damir Dzumhur	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf2d2eb…
10-07 18:41:57	atp dzumhur shelbay 2026 10 08 first set winner Dzumhur vs Shelbayh	Damir Dzumhur	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x520891…
10-07 18:41:57	atp dzumhur shelbay 2026 10 08 first set winner Dzumhur vs Shelbayh	Damir Dzumhur	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1d0cae…
10-07 18:41:19	atp damas dodig 2026 10 08 first set winner Damas vs Dodig	Miguel Damas	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x91eed0…
10-07 18:40:30	atp damas dodig 2026 10 08 first set winner Damas vs Dodig	Miguel Damas	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x119ca8…
10-07 18:40:07	atp damas dodig 2026 10 08 first set winner Damas vs Dodig	Miguel Damas	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd0e559…
10-07 18:40:07	atp damas dodig 2026 10 08 first set winner Damas vs Dodig	Miguel Damas	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xa513a3…
10-07 18:40:07	atp damas dodig 2026 10 08 first set winner Damas vs Dodig	Miguel Damas	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x99eb7e…
10-07 18:30:55	Set 1 Winner: Damir Dzumhur vs Abedallah Shelbayh	Damir Dzumhur	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x777187…
10-07 18:30:13	Set 1 Winner: Damir Dzumhur vs Abedallah Shelbayh	Damir Dzumhur	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe050dc…
10-07 18:30:13	Set 1 Winner: Damir Dzumhur vs Abedallah Shelbayh	Damir Dzumhur	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5a27bd…
10-07 18:26:18	atp dzumhur shelbay 2026 10 08 first set winner Dzumhur vs Shelbayh	Damir Dzumhur	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x0b927c…
10-07 18:26:04	atp dzumhur shelbay 2026 10 08 first set winner Dzumhur vs Shelbayh	Damir Dzumhur	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2eeb3d…
10-07 13:52:43	Set 1 Winner: Ann Li vs Elina Svitolina	Ann Li	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x8f5e6e…
10-07 12:29:46	Set 1 Winner: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic	Marin Cilic	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb07c08…
10-07 10:38:48	LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner	Shopify Rebellion	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x7b68e6…
10-07 10:25:35	Set 1 Winner: Mattia Bellucci vs Yi Zhou	Yi Zhou	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x16f3de…
10-07 09:28:05	Set 1 Winner: Fiona Crawley vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Fiona Crawley	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x05096f…
10-07 09:05:44	Set 1 Winner: Quentin Halys vs Coleman Wong	Quentin Halys	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x87fd41…
10-07 08:56:03	Set 1 Winner: Rinky Hijikata vs Roman Safiullin	Rinky Hijikata	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb19194…
10-06 15:44:23	Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner	Yellow Submarine	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x10aa20…
10-06 13:06:52	Set 1 Winner: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Carole Monnet	Carole Monnet	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xed8166…
10-06 11:12:36	Set 1 Winner: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Lola Radivojevic	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xaab729…
10-06 09:49:04	Set 1 Winner: Antonia Ruzic vs Alicia Dudeney	Alicia Dudeney	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xec2b47…
10-06 09:47:52	Set 1 Winner: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka	Jiri Lehecka	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x30d629…
10-06 09:09:28	Set 1 Winner: Emiliana Arango vs Ayla Aksu	Ayla Aksu	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe068dc…
10-06 09:03:24	Set 1 Winner: Emerson Jones vs Mai Hontama	Emerson Jones	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xceb227…
10-06 07:18:30	Set 1 Winner: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka	Naomi Osaka	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x705d17…
10-06 06:26:28	Set 1 Winner: Kyoka Okamura vs Darja Vidmanova	Kyoka Okamura	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xcc894c…
10-06 04:48:28	Set 1 Winner: Linda Noskova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Ekaterina Alexandrova	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x59be7d…
10-06 03:42:16	Set 1 Winner: Han Shi vs Renata Zarazua	Han Shi	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x53ecd1…
10-06 02:35:58	Set 1 Winner: Hanyu Guo vs Aliona Falei	Aliona Falei	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd96135…
10-06 02:14:29	Set 1 Winner: Moyuka Uchijima vs Zhuoxuan Bai	Zhuoxuan Bai	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3f6105…
10-05 18:16:01	Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x70877e…
07-26 04:13:37	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0xf8ac32…
07-25 02:10:34	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$8	0x493121…
07-25 01:26:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	58	19¢	$11	0x1b7bcf…
07-25 01:10:54	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xfbe2fb…
07-25 01:10:07	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0x31f90f…
07-25 01:10:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xe3f07b…
07-25 00:55:40	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	35	27¢	$10	0xe0406c…
07-25 00:55:04	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x49be0e…
07-25 00:41:58	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0x49b7ce…
07-25 00:40:04	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xb58f3f…
07-25 00:26:18	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x1c2b63…
07-25 00:25:40	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0xb33de0…
07-25 00:25:04	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0x3967a6…
07-25 00:10:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	23	41¢	$9	0xa62b11…
07-24 23:55:49	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	70¢	$9	0x6e31e4…