Smug-Misnomer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

83.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$51

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 02:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 83% $-3

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	+2	$1	99¢	$2	+$0	05-06 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	05-06 02:49
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	05-06 02:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-05 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 22:44
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	$-5	05-05 00:44
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 03:29
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-04 21:09
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-04 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-05 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-06 00:44
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-06 02:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-06 01:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$1	0	3	-3	open	—	05-05 17:54
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$1	1	1	+0	open	—	05-06 02:14
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-06 02:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-06 01:44
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$1	0	6	-6	open	—	05-05 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$1	0	2	-2	open	—	05-05 15:34
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$1	0	2	-2	open	—	05-05 20:54
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-05 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$0	0	1	-1	open	—	05-05 17:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 02:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf9550f…
05-06 02:19:10	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe73905…
05-06 02:14:28	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0xe0d95a…
05-06 02:14:18	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc0781f…
05-06 02:14:10	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x6f5c46…
05-06 01:44:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2b4eac…
05-06 01:29:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8c25b1…
05-06 00:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x3fee4d…
05-05 20:54:52	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x2f6133…
05-05 20:49:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x9b4871…
05-05 20:39:52	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfeea1a…
05-05 18:24:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xc13bfa…
05-05 18:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x669ddf…
05-05 18:24:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x91a797…
05-05 17:54:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x7340f6…
05-05 17:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x7c1004…
05-05 15:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xaa9e76…
05-05 03:29:24	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa06050…
05-05 00:44:40	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb9c59b…
05-05 00:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x40eb49…
05-04 22:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa23205…
05-04 21:09:24	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x2f30ad…
05-04 20:54:34	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$5	0x4f4c91…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	9	$558	50	05-06 01:44
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	8	$3.16K	29	05-06 02:49
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	7	$564	29	05-06 02:49
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	5	$574	16	05-05 18:24
United-Designer 0xa2a0…15a1	4	$2.78K	4	05-06 02:49
Noisy-Death 0x2eb8…310f	4	$1.17K	4	05-06 02:49
Slow-Minute 0xdf0d…9f79	3	$4.63K	4	05-06 02:49
Tremendous-Sunlamp 0x95e2…7e07	3	$1.37K	28	05-06 02:49