Dangerous-Rivulet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$128

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.8%

Resolved

Trades

117

lifetime

Volume

$713

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 07-23 08:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 53% -$63

Other

41% 17% -$67

Politics

9% 17% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-23).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner	4	$133	126	126	+0	Virtus.pro	-$45	05-20 10:29
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner	4	$46	64	64	+0	Team Spirit	-$13	05-19 15:58
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	4	$36	107	107	+0	Team Spirit	-$13	05-19 15:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$36	56	55	+1	No	-$5	07-03 17:28
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	1	$25	39	0	+39	No	+$14	05-19 22:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	5	$23	33	0	+33	Yes	+$10	05-20 15:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	1	$22	42	0	+42	Up	-$22	05-20 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Up	+$6	05-20 16:41
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-20 16:41
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	3	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-20 17:13
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	2	$15	17	17	+0	Yes	-$2	07-12 05:56
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	3	$15	505	5	+500	Up	-$5	05-20 21:43
Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)	2	$14	18	18	+0	Virtus.pro	-$5	05-20 10:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-20 15:59
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	4	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-20 16:41
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	1	$12	22	0	+22	Up	-$12	05-20 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	1	$12	22	0	+22	Up	-$12	05-20 17:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Up	-$10	05-20 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-20 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-20 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-20 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-20 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-20 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-20 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-20 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-20 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-20 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-20 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-20 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-20 15:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 08:50:51	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	Yes	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0xcf534e…
07-23 07:25:52	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xb499f2…
07-12 05:56:59	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	17	38¢	$6	0x544f00…
07-12 05:28:53	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0x8575dc…
07-03 17:28:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	33	23¢	$8	0x1ac29d…
07-01 19:24:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xa1d1ec…
06-28 00:35:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	22	36¢	$8	0xcc5ba1…
06-24 16:42:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	22	47¢	$11	0xbf1395…
06-15 05:54:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	11	14¢	$2	0x2cfcd8…
06-15 04:20:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x449442…
06-01 13:23:19	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x80c2c6…
05-31 17:26:59	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xe4f97f…
05-31 17:23:57	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x55d58d…
05-31 17:14:27	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xee1958…
05-26 03:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x4c1f19…
05-26 03:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x57a83e…
05-21 17:28:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12	24¢	$3	0x8db748…
05-20 21:43:33	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x126543…
05-20 21:42:05	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x17c103…
05-20 21:40:03	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf6705a…
05-20 20:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd6c270…
05-20 20:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x107346…
05-20 20:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6b28cc…
05-20 20:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x78d414…
05-20 18:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc2e70e…
05-20 18:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x384c98…
05-20 18:15:20	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x36e18a…
05-20 18:00:20	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x65a056…
05-20 17:46:17	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x445a59…
05-20 17:44:47	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xb5eedc…
05-20 17:31:29	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x25f605…
05-20 17:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa33076…
05-20 17:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8dfd46…
05-20 17:15:13	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x97f471…
05-20 17:15:09	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xc18686…
05-20 17:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0xd99599…
05-20 17:14:59	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xd10ad9…
05-20 17:14:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	42	53¢	$22	0x0e6226…
05-20 17:13:03	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x965b58…
05-20 17:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x59be1d…
05-20 17:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x2087e8…
05-20 17:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x18ece5…
05-20 17:01:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xa8914b…
05-20 17:00:31	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8342d3…
05-20 17:00:08	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb802c1…
05-20 17:00:08	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1e181e…
05-20 16:45:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xf3dcb0…
05-20 16:45:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x050ba1…
05-20 16:45:10	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xadb2a7…
05-20 16:45:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4bc59e…
05-20 16:45:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x45d2de…
05-20 16:45:05	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xa2abbb…
05-20 16:45:05	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3adad3…
05-20 16:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfba636…
05-20 16:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x1e117e…
05-20 16:41:26	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xd2b8f3…
05-20 16:41:26	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x42f2bd…
05-20 16:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xec2fba…
05-20 16:30:20	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd4d626…
05-20 16:30:07	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc26ca0…
05-20 16:30:04	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0cb30c…
05-20 16:29:36	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0x6f8af2…
05-20 16:29:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1388cb…
05-20 16:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcde023…
05-20 16:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc35f2b…
05-20 16:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x50fc1c…
05-20 16:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc48833…
05-20 16:15:48	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xf24176…
05-20 16:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe3381c…
05-20 16:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xeaa8e7…
05-20 16:14:03	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x22e28d…
05-20 16:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x794e50…
05-20 16:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x74704b…
05-20 16:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaeb5ba…
05-20 15:59:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x63b922…
05-20 15:59:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xcdda91…
05-20 15:59:04	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2904ef…
05-20 15:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2ee278…
05-20 15:45:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa2dd61…
05-20 15:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x13854d…
05-20 15:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xee5bbc…
05-20 15:45:14	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x870e1a…
05-20 15:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5f8ae0…
05-20 15:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x26c37f…
05-20 15:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x30aa7b…
05-20 15:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x894111…
05-20 15:30:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xbf6434…
05-20 15:30:20	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xef34d9…
05-20 15:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7b76d0…
05-20 15:29:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x086733…
05-20 15:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x681ba4…
05-20 15:29:03	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xbbd120…
05-20 15:28:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xd29c91…
05-20 15:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2fd6e3…
05-20 15:27:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	71¢	$13	0xcd23f2…
05-20 15:27:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x094fce…
05-20 15:25:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x0cc572…
05-20 15:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc7e586…
05-20 15:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xaedf25…
05-20 15:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf45135…