Aromatic-Infancy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$454

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 08-21 15:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

78% 32% +$0

Crypto

17% 0% $0

Tech

3% 0% $0

Sports

2% 80% +$0

Politics

1% 75% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xrp above 1pt3 on june 12 2026	2	$23	12	11	+1	No	$0	06-12 04:07
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the September interest rate announcement?	2	$21	11	10	+1	No	$0	08-21 15:00
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C or below on June 13?	2	$20	11	10	+1	No	$0	06-12 04:14
will nflx close below 50 week march 13 2026	2	$19	10	9	+1	No	$0	03-11 05:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	2	$19	10	9	+1	No	$0	05-14 03:34
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $705 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$19	10	9	+1	No	$0	05-14 03:36
will wti reach 120 by june 8 2026	2	$18	10	9	+1	No	$0	06-12 04:14
will global temperature increase by less than 1pt05c in february 2026	2	$17	9	8	+1	No	$0	03-11 05:04
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 22?	2	$17	9	8	+1	No	$0	08-21 15:02
will the bank of canada announce a 50 bps decrease at the march meeting	2	$15	8	7	+1	No	$0	03-11 05:10
Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	2	$15	8	7	+1	No	$0	05-14 03:40
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?	2	$15	8	7	+1	No	$0	07-07 05:27
will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month 196	2	$14	8	7	+1	Yes	$0	03-31 04:26
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	2	$14	8	7	+1	Yes	$0	06-12 04:22
will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$13	7	6	+1	No	$0	03-26 08:18
xrp above 1pt2 on march 11	2	$13	7	6	+1	Yes	$0	03-11 05:14
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on July 8?	2	$13	7	6	+1	No	$0	07-07 05:23
ethereum above 1600 on july 7 2026	2	$13	7	6	+1	Yes	$0	07-07 05:27
will russia capture all of prymorske by march 31 2026 597	2	$13	7	6	+1	No	$0	03-26 08:26
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	2	$12	7	5	+1	No	$0	08-21 15:07
will cuba win the 2026 world baseball classic	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	$0	03-11 05:15
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$11	6	5	+1	No	$0	02-08 13:43
will sp 500 spx hit 7500 high in march 2026	2	$11	6	5	+1	No	$0	03-26 08:25
Will Jenna Lewis-Dougherty win Survivor Season 50?	2	$10	6	5	+1	No	$0	03-11 05:17
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	2	$10	6	4	+1	No	$0	08-21 15:10
will 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the united states in january 2026	2	$9	5	4	+1	No	$0	02-08 10:59
will xauusd dip to 3300 in july 2026	2	$9	5	4	+1	No	$0	07-07 05:22
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	2	$8	5	3	+1	No	$0	08-21 15:17
will a dozen eggs cost 4pt00 in january	2	$8	4	3	+1	No	$0	02-08 13:31
will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on february 8	2	$7	4	3	+1	No	$0	02-08 13:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 15:19:24	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x94505c…
08-21 15:17:31	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x704529…
08-21 15:17:06	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0x972b0e…
08-21 15:10:16	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf0faa8…
08-21 15:09:42	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x7e04a3…
08-21 15:07:22	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x521feb…
08-21 15:06:03	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xe28510…
08-21 15:05:16	wti closes above 83 on august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xedc8cf…
08-21 15:05:04	wti closes above 83 on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x78353a…
08-21 15:03:19	cs2 hon1 bw 2026 08 21	Bushido Wildcats	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xab56f5…
08-21 15:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 22?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x8f0a20…
08-21 15:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x431b75…
08-21 15:00:54	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the September interest rate announcement?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x339de5…
08-21 15:00:18	Will "Tires: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5278bc…
08-21 14:59:06	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the September interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4c3452…
07-07 05:27:47	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf33f77…
07-07 05:27:38	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x157ce4…
07-07 05:27:10	ethereum above 1600 on july 7 2026	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf3f329…
07-07 05:26:01	ethereum above 1600 on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x20d6b9…
07-07 05:23:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on July 8?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xaa4b36…
07-07 05:22:44	will xauusd dip to 3300 in july 2026	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x10e1de…
07-07 05:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on July 8?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8b87cc…
07-07 05:21:20	will xauusd dip to 3300 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c6d9a…
06-12 04:22:39	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5744b4…
06-12 04:22:19	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1eb3f…
06-12 04:15:33	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6bc15f…
06-12 04:14:46	will wti reach 120 by june 8 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe6a6eb…
06-12 04:14:34	will wti reach 120 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x02741a…
06-12 04:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C or below on June 13?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$9	0x06e7d1…
06-12 04:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C or below on June 13?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7f1642…
06-12 04:07:15	xrp above 1pt3 on june 12 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xce827c…
06-12 04:06:04	xrp above 1pt3 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xabfaae…
05-14 03:41:53	San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5748c1…
05-14 03:40:12	Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4e0344…
05-14 03:39:58	Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d6842…
05-14 03:36:58	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $705 Week of May 11 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe6cd60…
05-14 03:36:42	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $705 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7003b1…
05-14 03:34:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xfcc8e3…
05-14 03:33:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7573d9…
03-31 04:26:01	will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month 196	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x068869…
03-31 04:25:37	will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month 196	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7bc48b…
03-26 08:26:27	will russia capture all of prymorske by march 31 2026 597	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6f4d20…
03-26 08:26:15	will russia capture all of prymorske by march 31 2026 597	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1fcfe1…
03-26 08:25:55	highest temperature in miami on march 27 2026 71forbelow	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf29a0b…
03-26 08:25:39	will sp 500 spx hit 7500 high in march 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x15f5f2…
03-26 08:25:19	highest temperature in miami on march 27 2026 71forbelow	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xed1519…
03-26 08:23:31	will sp 500 spx hit 7500 high in march 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5d28ea…
03-26 08:18:59	will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1e9d8d…
03-26 08:18:45	will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x16f7fd…
03-26 08:18:23	will swim bts be the 1 song on spotify this week	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa59f54…
03-15 15:14:31	bun wer mai 2026 03 15 spread home 1pt5	1. FSV Mainz 05	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x05d931…
03-11 05:17:45	will vox vox win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 141	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5f73c5…
03-11 05:17:29	Will Jenna Lewis-Dougherty win Survivor Season 50?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x98082c…
03-11 05:17:19	Will Jenna Lewis-Dougherty win Survivor Season 50?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1e556f…
03-11 05:15:31	will cuba win the 2026 world baseball classic	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc695a5…
03-11 05:14:45	will cuba win the 2026 world baseball classic	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x13fffe…
03-11 05:14:01	xrp above 1pt2 on march 11	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x484ec3…
03-11 05:11:35	xrp above 1pt2 on march 11	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x770636…
03-11 05:10:49	will the bank of canada announce a 50 bps decrease at the march meeting	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x27156f…
03-11 05:10:31	nba min lal 2026 03 10	Lakers	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8d35f4…
03-11 05:09:35	cxm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 11 2026 0pt1	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x092666…
03-11 05:08:31	will the bank of canada announce a 50 bps decrease at the march meeting	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c47f0…
03-11 05:04:27	will global temperature increase by less than 1pt05c in february 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe4cc37…
03-11 05:04:11	will global temperature increase by less than 1pt05c in february 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdf8697…
03-11 05:03:31	will nflx close below 50 week march 13 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb75002…
03-11 05:03:17	will nflx close below 50 week march 13 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0a1f36…
02-08 13:56:15	will paprika recipe manager 3 be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on february 13	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9ce33c…
02-08 13:55:33	will ernest jones win the super bowl lx mvp	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe6907b…
02-08 13:54:59	will ernest jones win the super bowl lx mvp	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6051b9…
02-08 13:53:45	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 5 be between 50 and 60	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc0bbd4…
02-08 13:48:25	will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on february 8	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc6c286…
02-08 13:47:01	will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on february 8	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x750ed1…
02-08 13:44:49	will jd vance attend super bowl lx	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x44865c…
02-08 13:43:53	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x59abd9…
02-08 13:43:39	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x227ac0…
02-08 13:31:29	will a dozen eggs cost 4pt00 in january	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5f96ab…
02-08 11:01:33	will grok 4pt20 be released on february 9 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x41c7de…
02-08 10:59:57	will 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the united states in january 2026	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xacf753…
02-08 10:58:41	will 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the united states in january 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x745f17…
02-08 10:58:19	will a dozen eggs cost 4pt00 in january	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0d7f1b…
02-08 10:56:17	will ldp win a majority in the 2026 japanese snap election	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2cdba2…
02-08 10:55:05	cs2 ace1 ecf 2026 02 08	Acend	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd3de22…
01-17 19:54:12	us mobileinternet outages caused by iran	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x2ceaf9…
01-17 19:53:24	si hit 25 low jan 2026 271 644 727	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8c00db…
01-17 19:52:26	will 28 years later the bone temple score at least 89 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3f9949…
01-17 19:50:48	will valve launch premier season 4 by january 31	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4a2399…
01-17 19:49:30	will melania say career during ai talk on friday	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x06950f…
01-17 19:45:24	will nvda dip to 108 in january	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x37b81e…