Scientific-Molar — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$11

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

68.4%

Resolved (90d)

100

Trades (90d)

102

2,347 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$172

$12.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-11 19:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 78% -$82

Other

2% 40% -$37

Sports

0% 20% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 12?	Yes		+2	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	11-11 19:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 13:25 UTC	3	$177	340	-340	Up	+$7	04-10 13:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 13:30 UTC	3	$177	350	-350	Down	+$2	04-10 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 13:20 UTC	5	$171	330	-330	Up	+$6	04-10 13:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 20:25 UTC	4	$165	320	-320	Down	+$5	04-09 20:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 20:15 UTC	2	$158	310	-310	Up	+$3	04-09 20:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 20:10 UTC	2	$157	310	-310	Up	+$2	04-09 20:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 18:55 UTC	2	$154	300	-300	Up	+$4	04-09 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 18:40 UTC	2	$148	290	-290	Down	+$3	04-09 18:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 13:50 UTC	11	$144	280	-280	Down	+$4	04-10 13:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 13:40 UTC	2	$141	258	-258	Up	+$12	04-10 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 18:25 UTC	2	$140	260	-260	Up	+$10	04-09 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 18:20 UTC	2	$138	260	-260	Down	+$8	04-09 18:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 17:45 UTC	13	$132	240	-240	Down	+$12	04-09 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 17:50 UTC	2	$131	260	-260	Down	+$1	04-09 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 13:35 UTC	2	$131	350	-350	Down	-$44	04-10 13:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 17:40 UTC	2	$120	240	-240	Down	$0	04-09 17:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 17:35 UTC	2	$120	230	-230	Up	+$5	04-09 17:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 17:25 UTC	2	$116	230	-230	Down	+$1	04-09 17:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 16:55 UTC	2	$113	220	-220	Up	+$3	04-09 16:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 11:45 UTC	2	$107	200	-200	Down	+$7	04-06 11:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 15:50 UTC	2	$106	200	-200	Up	+$6	04-09 15:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 13:20 UTC	2	$106	200	-200	Down	+$6	04-09 13:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 14:30 UTC	3	$104	200	-200	Up	+$4	04-09 14:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 11:40 UTC	4	$104	200	-200	Down	+$4	04-06 11:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 14:50 UTC	2	$102	200	-200	Up	+$2	04-09 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 11:30 UTC	3	$100	190	-190	Up	+$5	04-06 11:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 13:15 UTC	7	$99	190	-190	Up	+$4	04-09 13:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 14:25 UTC	2	$98	200	-200	Down	-$2	04-09 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 19:15 UTC	2	$96	180	-180	Up	+$6	04-05 19:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 14:15 UTC	1	$95	100	-100	Down	-$5	04-09 14:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 19:14:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3e9267…
11-06 22:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc9936f…
11-06 22:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x04fdac…
11-03 19:19:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb5c270…
11-02 20:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6c5e81…
10-31 19:29:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc1fc93…
10-31 07:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xd943f4…
10-31 06:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x103bfa…
10-30 23:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x070db5…
10-30 23:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb41ed3…
10-30 15:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe17391…
10-30 09:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x891587…
10-30 00:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0bc702…
10-29 16:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x755def…
10-28 23:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8baa94…
10-28 00:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7cf588…
10-27 15:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xdb8c23…
10-27 07:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0237f1…
10-26 19:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x93439c…
10-26 19:17:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe4105d…
10-26 19:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x798ac5…
10-26 19:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfee300…
10-26 19:16:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa88dd3…
10-26 19:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf3a079…
10-25 23:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4120b5…
10-25 20:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xaf5c89…
10-25 19:16:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xec9ee5…
10-25 19:16:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x5dab29…
10-25 19:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x155d6b…
10-25 19:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1a95be…
10-25 19:16:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3fde36…
10-25 19:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xdd71b6…
10-25 17:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x63d43e…
10-24 18:41:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2f0b5f…
10-24 18:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x4b0d7f…
10-24 18:15:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7c106f…
10-24 18:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3da335…
10-24 18:15:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9ddbb1…
10-24 18:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7f1346…
10-24 18:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xdd84d5…
10-23 18:16:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x458ded…
10-23 18:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc65c6d…
10-23 18:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x06bdc0…
10-23 18:15:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x396e27…
10-23 18:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xcb9470…
10-23 18:15:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x55114b…
10-22 20:44:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf43b54…
10-22 18:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x17342e…
10-22 18:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc1842a…
10-22 18:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xebd466…
10-22 18:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x186d30…
10-22 18:15:47	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x8a83fa…
10-22 18:15:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1c7bfe…
10-21 18:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8071a5…
10-21 18:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6743fe…
10-21 18:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2a6ec1…
10-21 18:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe8a17d…
10-21 18:15:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb4da4f…
10-21 18:15:35	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xefa8c9…
10-21 02:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x839c7e…
10-20 18:17:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x60be8d…
10-20 18:15:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x32b739…
10-20 18:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa68bca…
10-20 18:15:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc73202…
10-20 18:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x5655d3…
10-20 18:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x41d90b…
10-19 18:55:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9f5097…
10-19 18:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x986ef4…
10-19 18:55:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x532a04…
10-19 18:55:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x610972…
10-19 18:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9f0023…
10-18 18:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x6fab62…
10-18 18:15:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x17ffbb…
10-18 18:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x556c68…
10-18 18:15:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x50685c…
10-18 18:15:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb84679…
10-18 18:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x930593…
10-17 18:26:35	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x551061…
10-17 18:25:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3bd383…
10-17 18:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd4769c…
10-17 18:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x218d9e…
10-17 18:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8e028c…
10-17 18:23:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x678260…
10-16 18:58:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x98df2d…
10-16 18:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd90d60…
10-16 18:53:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x702bfe…
10-16 18:51:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf5ed36…
10-16 18:50:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb5d5d4…
10-16 18:50:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x85d01e…
10-15 18:25:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdbb66c…
10-15 18:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfd332f…
10-15 18:24:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xabf2f1…
10-15 18:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x75fe45…
10-15 18:23:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb15575…
10-15 18:19:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc3ca19…
10-14 19:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x002a42…
10-14 19:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5a719a…
10-14 19:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2a34cf…
10-14 19:05:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe0d187…
10-14 19:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x244eaf…