Nutty-Credenza-Gum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.6%

Resolved

Trades

102

lifetime

Volume

$11.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$117

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 07-26 07:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

73% 70% -$43

Tech

25% 50% -$7

Politics

2% 100% +$0

Crypto

0% 100% +$2

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-26).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	16	$2.7K	2,775	2,775	+0	No	-$8	03-24 01:55
Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	14	$1.8K	1,528	1,528	+0	No	-$42	03-31 04:23
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 140 164	6	$1.3K	681	680	+1	No	+$3	03-23 16:15
Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.0K	554	554	+0	No	+$2	03-23 11:18
Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in April 2026?	3	$1.0K	532	532	+0	No	-$1	03-23 08:52
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$998	511	511	+0	No	+$1	03-23 08:36
will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	6	$484	475	473	+2	No	$0	03-24 01:02
Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	7	$439	232	232	+0	No	+$1	03-23 21:20
Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?	7	$282	403	403	+0	No	$0	03-23 20:46
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	6	$255	399	399	+0	Yes	-$1	03-24 02:42
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	4	$235	273	273	+0	No	+$0	03-23 18:04
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$230	119	119	+0	No	+$1	03-23 15:41
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1280 1319	2	$229	122	122	+0	No	+$0	03-23 15:09
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?	2	$229	120	119	+1	No	$0	03-23 17:33
Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in April 2026?	2	$220	116	116	+0	No	+$0	03-23 18:52
Will Germany be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	2	$206	105	105	+0	No	+$1	03-23 23:25
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 4pt5	1	$20	22	0	+22	Over	-$20	06-17 05:55
epl tot not 2026 03 22 spread home 2pt5	1	$20	21	0	+21	Nottingham Forest FC	+$1	03-22 07:26
Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 1.5	1	$20	21	0	+21	Over	+$1	06-03 00:18
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 4.5	1	$18	20	0	+20	Under	+$2	05-08 08:20
bitcoin up or down on july 13 2026	1	$17	19	0	+19	Down	+$2	07-13 07:35
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Group D	1	$17	18	0	+18	Riyadh Falcons	+$1	05-15 04:10
por alv spo 2026 03 22 alv	1	$17	18	0	+18	No	+$1	03-22 06:50
kor san jej 2026 07 05 total 4pt5	1	$16	18	0	+18	Under	+$2	07-05 09:00
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Belgium?	1	$13	14	0	+14	No	+$1	07-10 05:33
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $260-$265 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	05-22 08:44
Spread: Spurs (-24.5)	1	$12	13	0	+13	Knicks	+$1	06-03 03:03
Will Elon Musk post 1840-1919 tweets in April 2026?	4	$12	204	204	+0	No	$0	03-23 22:39
per1 cdg fcc 2026 07 26 total 4pt5	1	$11	12	0	+12	Under	+$1	07-26 07:17
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	06-26 07:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 07:17:34	per1 cdg fcc 2026 07 26 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xdcd87c…
07-13 07:35:07	bitcoin up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0xc534f9…
07-10 05:33:22	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Belgium?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x886bab…
07-05 09:00:53	kor san jej 2026 07 05 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0x7df521…
06-26 07:48:55	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x82eb4b…
06-17 05:55:02	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xefab63…
06-12 08:20:18	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 spread away 1pt5	United States	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xe4c432…
06-03 03:03:53	Spread: Spurs (-24.5)	Knicks	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xc1fd66…
06-03 00:18:29	Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xe4bbbd…
05-22 08:44:24	Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $260-$265 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x4e6179…
05-15 04:10:40	Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Group D	Riyadh Falcons	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0x8f48c5…
05-08 08:20:26	Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xbc654d…
03-31 04:23:55	Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	4¢	$3	0x5eff0b…
03-24 02:42:57	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	SELL	278	4¢	$12	0x435038…
03-24 02:37:47	Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	5¢	$4	0xe6ed55…
03-24 02:37:47	Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$1	0x9b6083…
03-24 02:37:47	Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	491	95¢	$464	0x3c3a99…
03-24 01:55:15	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	484	93¢	$450	0xc66f89…
03-24 01:49:01	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	484	93¢	$451	0xb196a4…
03-24 01:02:47	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	229	4¢	$10	0x164c68…
03-24 00:53:05	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	231	5¢	$11	0xf798df…
03-24 00:31:21	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	298	94¢	$281	0xc7f968…
03-24 00:31:21	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	163	94¢	$154	0x67bbda…
03-24 00:31:21	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x180e24…
03-24 00:24:25	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	116	95¢	$110	0x455be8…
03-24 00:24:25	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	366	95¢	$347	0x22f9e7…
03-24 00:07:19	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	183	94¢	$173	0xb09332…
03-24 00:05:31	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	243	95¢	$231	0x531afc…
03-23 23:58:11	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	326	95¢	$309	0x99f627…
03-23 23:58:11	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x6bb185…
03-23 23:53:37	Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0xccd67d…
03-23 23:53:37	Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	128	82¢	$105	0x25c2b9…
03-23 23:51:45	Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	145	92¢	$133	0xf8c6ff…
03-23 23:51:45	Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	170	92¢	$156	0xa149a9…
03-23 23:51:45	Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x13299e…
03-23 23:44:59	Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	8¢	$4	0x221670…
03-23 23:44:59	Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	8¢	$11	0x0c05d0…
03-23 23:25:57	Will Germany be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	105	98¢	$103	0x122aeb…
03-23 23:18:59	Will Germany be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	105	98¢	$103	0x863dc7…
03-23 23:02:21	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	115	5¢	$6	0xf5bdbc…
03-23 23:02:21	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	141	5¢	$7	0xb4b98c…
03-23 23:02:21	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xa454f2…
03-23 22:39:03	Will Elon Musk post 1840-1919 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	3¢	$1	0xbd2885…
03-23 22:31:23	Will Elon Musk post 1840-1919 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	3¢	$1	0xf2a4cc…
03-23 22:09:07	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	SELL	117	96¢	$112	0xe73f71…
03-23 21:58:57	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	117	96¢	$112	0xad2d95…
03-23 21:20:59	Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x8e7b6b…
03-23 21:19:19	Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	109	96¢	$104	0x853359…
03-23 21:13:07	Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	116	95¢	$110	0x1e6903…
03-23 20:46:13	Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0xd15bd5…
03-23 20:45:23	Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	10¢	$6	0x2d10e3…
03-23 20:39:35	Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x8fccce…
03-23 20:28:01	Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	116	94¢	$109	0x0696cd…
03-23 20:22:33	Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xa9c46a…
03-23 20:22:33	Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	70	94¢	$66	0x67bab0…
03-23 20:22:33	Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	39	94¢	$37	0x3465f1…
03-23 20:14:43	Will Elon Musk post 1840-1919 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	155	3¢	$4	0x9c0887…
03-23 20:05:07	Will Elon Musk post 1840-1919 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	155	3¢	$5	0x8011d7…
03-23 19:58:53	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	121	95¢	$115	0x9d326c…
03-23 19:48:59	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	121	95¢	$114	0x55b5ca…
03-23 18:52:31	Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	116	95¢	$110	0x17d9e4…
03-23 18:45:33	Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	116	95¢	$110	0xb6439c…
03-23 18:23:49	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	SELL	127	94¢	$119	0xd2368e…
03-23 18:14:03	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	127	94¢	$120	0x288251…
03-23 18:04:51	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	SELL	115	95¢	$109	0x89bec6…
03-23 17:58:03	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	BUY	115	95¢	$109	0x0cacf3…
03-23 17:48:57	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	158	5¢	$9	0x2c9bf9…
03-23 17:39:51	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	158	5¢	$9	0xad0254…
03-23 17:33:35	Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	119	96¢	$114	0x012b9a…
03-23 17:23:27	Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	120	96¢	$115	0xa0b8ba…
03-23 16:15:49	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 140 164	No	SELL	118	95¢	$112	0xb9fee0…
03-23 16:05:17	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 140 164	No	BUY	119	94¢	$112	0xae83c3…
03-23 15:41:09	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	119	97¢	$116	0xa29aab…
03-23 15:34:13	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	119	96¢	$114	0x183c89…
03-23 15:24:43	Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	209	9¢	$18	0xd272b7…
03-23 15:17:45	Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	230	10¢	$23	0xac769e…
03-23 15:09:37	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1280 1319	No	SELL	122	94¢	$115	0xd1a484…
03-23 15:01:21	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1280 1319	No	BUY	122	94¢	$115	0x4d6f51…
03-23 14:20:13	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	199	2¢	$4	0x583203…
03-23 14:12:03	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	199	3¢	$5	0x0e23ef…
03-23 14:03:07	Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	127	91¢	$116	0xfe1bd5…
03-23 13:55:37	Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	127	89¢	$113	0x7edf16…
03-23 13:30:09	Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	944	96¢	$902	0x3eb3b0…
03-23 11:56:29	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 140 164	No	SELL	562	93¢	$523	0x42c228…
03-23 11:48:33	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 140 164	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x86f937…
03-23 11:48:33	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 140 164	No	BUY	504	93¢	$467	0x7a1001…
03-23 11:48:33	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 140 164	No	BUY	44	93¢	$41	0x46ebad…
03-23 11:18:47	Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	554	95¢	$524	0x9723e8…
03-23 11:10:55	Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	554	94¢	$522	0x1ca3b9…
03-23 09:54:21	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	452	2¢	$11	0x636712…
03-23 09:54:21	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	732	2¢	$18	0x1623dd…
03-23 09:48:27	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,184	3¢	$33	0x92f21d…
03-23 08:52:53	Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x6d3ef1…
03-23 08:51:03	Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	526	98¢	$513	0xaf099f…
03-23 08:44:29	Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	532	98¢	$519	0x240475…
03-23 08:36:17	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	511	98¢	$499	0x60e6e0…
03-23 08:27:53	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	511	98¢	$499	0x582b6d…
03-23 08:04:55	Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	405	5¢	$20	0x2a2528…
03-23 07:55:49	Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	405	5¢	$21	0x56629a…
03-22 07:26:19	epl tot not 2026 03 22 spread home 2pt5	Nottingham Forest FC	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x65c70d…