Muted-Loan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$133

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.7%

Resolved

167

Trades

1,230

lifetime

Volume

$27.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 05-13 15:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% $-133

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 236 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5PM ET	28	$1.2K	1,044	927	+117	Down	+$54	05-07 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	14	$1.1K	844	844	+0	Down	+$61	05-12 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6PM ET	29	$910	1,425	580	+845	Up	$-453	05-07 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12PM ET	18	$740	411	411	+0	Up	+$40	05-11 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11AM ET	7	$719	369	513	-144	Down	$-5	05-08 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12AM ET	10	$601	332	332	+0	Up	+$61	05-08 05:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	15	$564	436	436	+0	Up	+$114	05-05 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10AM ET	11	$553	356	257	+99	Up	+$51	05-08 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	24	$517	355	355	+0	Down	+$115	05-12 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	21	$516	423	423	+0	Up	+$66	05-05 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10AM ET	17	$510	457	411	+46	Down	$-119	05-06 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1PM ET	6	$509	367	367	+0	Up	+$109	05-11 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9AM ET	19	$505	393	209	+184	Down	+$89	05-08 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11AM ET	7	$479	285	285	+0	open	—	05-01 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	17	$471	496	373	+123	Up	$-159	05-06 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3PM ET	14	$381	210	210	+0	open	—	04-30 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11PM ET	5	$347	205	205	+0	Up	+$47	05-08 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	4	$346	204	204	+0	Up	+$46	05-13 06:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET	5	$344	198	198	+0	Down	+$44	05-08 02:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1AM ET	4	$321	209	209	+0	Down	+$81	05-08 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9PM ET	4	$313	167	167	+0	Up	+$13	05-06 01:41
bitcoin up or down april 11 2026 5pm et	4	$300	176	173	+3	open	—	04-11 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	4	$297	180	180	+0	Down	+$62	05-07 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1PM ET	8	$292	363	172	+192	Up	$-96	05-07 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2PM ET	13	$291	188	188	+0	open	—	04-30 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12PM ET	9	$273	172	172	+0	open	—	04-30 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2PM ET	9	$263	257	257	+0	open	—	05-01 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	3	$262	153	153	+0	Down	+$42	05-11 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3PM ET	4	$255	143	143	+0	Down	+$29	05-07 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3PM ET	11	$253	205	205	+0	Up	$-12	05-08 19:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 15:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xbbc321…
05-13 06:44:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0x649b41…
05-13 06:43:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x1d5b58…
05-13 06:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x1ec32e…
05-13 06:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x246294…
05-13 06:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x205918…
05-13 06:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x261017…
05-13 06:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x03fcc9…
05-13 06:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	64	10¢	$6	0x9d2187…
05-13 06:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc0303a…
05-13 06:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	14	96¢	$14	0xa51c95…
05-13 06:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x887d27…
05-13 06:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x5f0f9a…
05-13 06:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x42599e…
05-13 06:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x62d5dd…
05-13 06:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x8624e1…
05-13 06:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x377c17…
05-13 06:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x2a762c…
05-13 06:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	204	96¢	$196	0x984fdc…
05-13 06:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x6e9bfc…
05-13 06:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xdb9e59…
05-13 06:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xa788af…
05-13 06:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x2f2031…
05-12 16:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	98	98¢	$96	0x8b4e59…
05-12 16:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0x8ac9b9…
05-12 16:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x62c6a6…
05-12 16:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	148	96¢	$143	0x8305bb…
05-12 16:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	99	94¢	$93	0x59493a…
05-12 16:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	30	92¢	$27	0xabf7bb…
05-12 16:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	28	92¢	$26	0x6b3b82…
05-12 16:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x357d89…
05-12 16:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x515024…
05-12 16:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x80f0d5…
05-12 16:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xaef12a…
05-12 16:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	95	53¢	$50	0x13a6a5…
05-12 16:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x90cd60…
05-12 16:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	388	32¢	$125	0x489a1d…
05-12 16:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x3f70a8…
05-12 16:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	60	89¢	$53	0xf0ea94…
05-12 16:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xf07221…
05-12 16:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0xcd7eca…
05-12 16:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xbe4dcc…
05-12 16:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	60	89¢	$53	0xbd92d5…
05-12 16:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xb5ad6b…
05-12 16:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0x9da160…
05-12 16:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x84c4d2…
05-12 16:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x80fb83…
05-12 16:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x736527…
05-12 16:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x705867…
05-12 16:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x6f6e0c…
05-12 16:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0x5c3811…
05-12 16:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x558966…
05-12 16:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x533552…
05-12 16:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x50ef2a…
05-12 16:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x24ff89…
05-12 16:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x140c93…
05-12 16:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0x13ce4f…
05-12 16:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x00c297…
05-12 16:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xade193…
05-12 16:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xf20ca0…
05-12 16:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2514df…
05-12 16:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xcc69f8…
05-12 16:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x8cc239…
05-12 16:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x43cfce…
05-12 16:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x793a6c…
05-11 21:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x7a99ad…
05-11 20:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x333f17…
05-11 20:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x7295ae…
05-11 20:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xa3cf2a…
05-11 20:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x6bc5a2…
05-11 20:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	153	99¢	$152	0x8f16bd…
05-11 20:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x5caea4…
05-11 20:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x7ee2da…
05-11 20:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x82e445…
05-11 19:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xb958ba…
05-11 19:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x6289fe…
05-11 19:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x67cb26…
05-11 19:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	55	89¢	$49	0x0d10e6…
05-11 19:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xfc4087…
05-11 19:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	81	53¢	$43	0x5f3d12…
05-11 19:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x1dcef7…
05-11 19:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xce2fbd…
05-11 18:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x68d486…
05-11 18:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x2ab636…
05-11 18:51:26	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x4c5725…
05-11 18:49:57	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x7d49c8…
05-11 18:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xc2df41…
05-11 18:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0xf201d7…
05-11 18:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0xefb022…
05-11 18:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	22	80¢	$18	0xb755e2…
05-11 18:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	21	80¢	$17	0x9f401c…
05-11 18:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	76	80¢	$61	0x63a4dc…
05-11 18:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x5cf8de…
05-11 18:47:12	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x058942…
05-11 18:47:09	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xe363ff…
05-11 18:47:05	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x142ed9…
05-11 18:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xb4cff9…
05-11 18:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0xbf2f14…
05-11 17:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	275	85¢	$234	0x5bfcde…
05-11 17:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	92	81¢	$74	0x1b2c74…