Muted-Loan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$50

Unrealized P&L

+$116

Hit rate

91.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$369

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$341

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 21:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% +$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Up	+188	$125	100¢	$188	+$63	05-05 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	Up	+109	$50	100¢	$109	+$59	05-05 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5PM ET	Up	+152	$50	30¢	$45	$-5	05-05 21:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	5	$164	256	68	+188	open	—	05-05 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5PM ET	1	$50	152	0	+152	open	—	05-05 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	2	$50	109	0	+109	open	—	05-05 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	1	$37	0	45	-45	Up	+$37	05-04 23:24
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$25	39	0	+39	open	—	05-05 19:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	1	$23	38	0	+38	Up	+$15	05-05 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$15	37	0	+37	open	—	05-05 19:57
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$4	0	4	-4	Up	$-0	05-04 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-05 04:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 21:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0xe448d5…
05-05 20:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xe419a2…
05-05 20:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xaa6ca5…
05-05 19:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xcd1b5f…
05-05 19:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x702431…
05-05 19:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x1e931e…
05-05 19:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xb868e7…
05-05 19:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x0f9528…
05-05 19:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	68	20¢	$14	0x7d2c66…
05-05 19:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xca318a…
05-05 19:31:24	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	39	65¢	$25	0xfe2b22…
05-05 19:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x8f50e7…
05-05 04:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xdbf382…
05-05 02:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	38	60¢	$23	0x87d171…
05-04 23:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	45	82¢	$37	0xf941ef…
05-04 23:14:56	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x477b5a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	6	$1.81K	38	05-05 21:15
Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c	4	$1.76K	21	05-05 21:15
Yummy-Stacking 0x6566…478b	4	$929	61	05-05 21:19
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	4	$589	27	05-05 19:58