Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$111

Unrealized P&L

-$208

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

547 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.81K

$24.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

$546

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 11-09 22:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Politics

63% 64% +$1,488

Other

22% 43% +$652

Sports

14% 22% -$1,628

Crypto

1% 50% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	+380	$319	100¢	$379	+$60	11-04 02:49
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	+180	$99	56¢	$102	+$3	11-08 15:49
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	+86	$24	45¢	$39	+$15	11-04 15:32
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	+160	$13	8¢	$12	-$1	11-05 02:37
Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	+50	$50	16¢	$8	-$42	11-04 07:10
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+640	$45	0¢	$3	-$42	11-06 08:16
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+230	$172	1¢	$2	-$171	11-04 05:41
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	+100	$32	2¢	$2	-$30	11-05 17:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran strike on us military by february 28	15	$1.9K	1,222	755	+467	Yes	+$40	03-01 09:51
hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	19	$1.6K	1,556	1,500	+56	Yes	+$85	03-02 00:54
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	8	$1.4K	1,766	0	+1,766	Yes	+$342	02-28 10:25
Iran leadership change by March 13?	4	$1.1K	800	450	+350	No	+$72	03-10 21:45
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	5	$956	274	900	-626	No	-$125	01-14 23:24
will iran strike nine or more countries in march	10	$862	1,050	0	+1,050	Yes	+$188	03-03 13:07
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	6	$830	730	550	+180	No	-$131	01-14 20:37
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	11	$797	1,157	0	+1,157	Yes	-$797	02-09 02:12
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$690	750	0	+750	No	+$60	03-10 08:45
miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	2	$688	800	0	+800	No	+$112	03-17 19:44
spx up or down on february 23 2026	6	$661	500	459	+41	Down	+$281	02-23 17:11
will drake perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$636	767	0	+767	No	+$131	02-08 21:34
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	6	$594	764	100	+664	No	+$233	03-19 09:12
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes 363	26	$570	732	382	+350	No	+$138	01-25 02:25
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	7	$537	650	500	+150	Yes	-$173	03-04 00:48
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	13	$463	523	423	+100	No	+$193	03-10 23:05
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	3	$403	331	180	+151	No	+$8	01-14 20:17
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	5	$379	550	0	+550	No	+$170	03-19 10:12
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$346	450	0	+450	Yes	+$104	11-03 17:16
will iran strike cyprus in march	5	$320	500	0	+500	No	+$180	03-02 00:38
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	1	$319	380	0	+380	open	—	11-04 02:49
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	6	$304	600	0	+600	Yes	-$304	07-30 05:51
will karol g perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	1	$300	311	0	+311	Yes	-$300	02-09 01:33
will uae strike iran by march 31	5	$292	360	210	+150	No	+$95	03-11 11:57
nfl la car 2026 01 10	4	$268	84	234	-150	Rams	+$14	01-11 00:46
wbc dor usa 2026 03 15	1	$234	360	0	+360	USA	+$126	03-16 01:22
us strikes iraq by february 28	13	$233	336	298	+39	Yes	-$79	03-02 01:00
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 10 468	2	$232	332	0	+332	Yes	+$100	03-08 11:35
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	4	$216	300	0	+300	Yes	+$84	03-01 13:38
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	4	$215	250	100	+150	No	+$114	03-22 03:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 22:25:27	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0xca33c1…
11-09 22:25:03	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	112	98¢	$110	0x6a5184…
11-08 15:49:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xbdfede…
11-08 15:49:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xbb74c8…
11-08 15:43:39	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	28	55¢	$15	0xc84cb9…
11-08 15:40:00	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	32	55¢	$18	0xe58549…
11-08 15:39:34	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xacc7c9…
11-08 13:56:28	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x0a1719…
11-08 13:56:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xec58b8…
11-08 13:36:48	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x690bdc…
11-08 13:02:28	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x05b411…
11-08 13:02:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9a1c38…
11-08 13:02:06	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xabe739…
11-08 13:01:31	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5dc702…
11-08 13:01:19	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4cf0a0…
11-06 08:16:45	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	2¢	$2	0xfd3a04…
11-06 07:40:18	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	320	2¢	$6	0x187623…
11-06 07:11:48	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xcc1d2a…
11-05 17:06:24	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	57	32¢	$18	0x8d24ea…
11-05 17:06:24	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	43	32¢	$14	0x7ffdeb…
11-05 02:37:34	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	160	8¢	$13	0xa1ddbb…
11-04 18:30:00	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	9¢	$11	0xae1729…
11-04 15:32:51	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xf7e4c9…
11-04 07:10:00	Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x57c502…
11-04 06:18:34	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0xe4fdb2…
11-04 06:18:22	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	22¢	$22	0xacaa11…
11-04 05:41:36	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	190	75¢	$142	0xf56b5c…
11-04 05:41:24	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	18	75¢	$14	0x83b1d4…
11-04 05:41:22	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	22	75¢	$16	0xd88a29…
11-04 04:16:49	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0xba9c3a…
11-04 03:57:54	Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x3a8dc3…
11-04 03:57:49	Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xcd84d0…
11-04 03:56:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0x5e243c…
11-04 03:56:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0xf06196…
11-04 03:53:21	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	27	24¢	$6	0x3f6fe7…
11-04 03:52:21	Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	BUY	82	39¢	$32	0x849696…
11-04 03:52:06	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	19	24¢	$5	0xa71441…
11-04 03:51:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xfcf695…
11-04 03:51:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	19	24¢	$5	0x177973…
11-04 03:51:18	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0xb3e67e…
11-04 03:51:16	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	27	24¢	$6	0x771667…
11-04 03:35:01	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0xd4b498…
11-04 03:35:01	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x7e6066…
11-04 03:23:12	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0xcaf12b…
11-04 03:18:31	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xf27375…
11-04 03:18:24	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x9b4407…
11-04 03:18:24	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x41a337…
11-04 03:17:03	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x7368aa…
11-04 02:49:42	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	380	84¢	$319	0xed1875…
11-04 02:45:28	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xea0b09…
11-04 02:45:28	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x96910b…
11-04 02:45:24	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0xba39c1…
11-04 02:45:22	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x178030…
11-04 01:56:04	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	165	42¢	$69	0xb8fa43…
11-03 20:02:34	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	60¢	$48	0x44315e…
11-03 18:24:45	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xdaf839…
11-03 17:16:40	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	150	75¢	$112	0xcaa3b8…
11-03 15:13:21	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	31¢	$28	0xb20da5…
11-03 14:47:12	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	300	78¢	$234	0x32ab02…
11-03 14:42:39	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xab6224…
11-02 14:34:12	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	150	32¢	$48	0x2c0345…
10-29 17:48:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	150	43¢	$65	0xe2acde…
10-28 01:18:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	150	48¢	$72	0x3fd835…
07-30 05:51:41	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	51	46¢	$24	0x27c9a5…
07-30 05:49:50	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	87	46¢	$40	0xa45d80…
07-30 05:49:27	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0x9b6469…
07-30 05:49:00	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	86	46¢	$40	0x5319f4…
07-19 21:26:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x72d366…
07-19 21:21:04	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	75	30¢	$22	0x4dbc44…
07-19 19:48:00	Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xba4bb8…
07-19 19:20:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x74c108…
07-18 22:47:54	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xa1ea11…
07-18 22:46:45	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	72	12¢	$8	0xcf1ab9…
07-18 22:46:43	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x1d2369…
07-18 22:46:01	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	101	12¢	$12	0x94a4ab…
07-18 22:38:19	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	250	50¢	$126	0x64a2f4…
07-18 22:21:49	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$33	0x554e43…
07-13 00:13:35	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	297	54¢	$161	0xd89ee6…
07-12 14:00:02	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	53	54¢	$28	0x1a8977…
07-04 20:19:40	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,776	2¢	$43	0x37720c…
05-28 01:48:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x345a98…
05-27 22:04:02	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	250	15¢	$38	0x59170d…
04-20 03:44:04	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	92	25¢	$23	0xa69f99…
04-20 03:40:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	33¢	$53	0x23ff71…
04-20 03:38:34	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x34ad8d…
04-20 03:34:32	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	27	25¢	$7	0x16772e…
04-20 03:14:18	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	17	25¢	$4	0x90ca6b…
04-20 02:58:50	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xd66774…
04-20 02:58:26	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x6e3929…
04-20 02:55:28	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xbea7c1…
04-20 02:48:52	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x9f23ab…
04-20 02:48:24	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x74253c…
04-20 02:38:54	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x9a480e…
04-20 02:38:26	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x0af87b…
04-20 02:28:52	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xf0e1b2…
04-20 02:26:26	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x3f7920…
04-20 02:18:40	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x88881e…
04-20 02:09:02	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x50f6f7…
04-20 02:08:36	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x8a484f…
04-20 02:08:14	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x518ba9…