Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$586

Unrealized P&L

+$378

Hit rate

66.6%

Resolved

Trades

325

lifetime

Volume

$24.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

$947

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-27 15:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

81% 50% +$379

Politics

19% 18% -$964

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	+549	$181	80¢	$437	+$255	08-19 06:17
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	+525	$200	82¢	$433	+$234	08-20 03:15
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	No	+200	$48	22¢	$45	-$3	10-27 15:28
us canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by october 31	Yes	+1,000	$140	3¢	$32	-$108	08-30 14:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	20	$7.3K	7,000	4,300	+2,700	No	+$763	04-18 01:57
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	167	$5.2K	29,087	23,473	+5,614	Yes	-$410	04-07 02:26
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$1.8K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$180	01-16 03:24
maduro mugshot released by monday	1	$1.8K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$203	01-05 14:02
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	7	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$98	08-29 14:07
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$1.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	-$870	04-17 03:40
no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	4	$1.3K	1,463	0	+1,463	Yes	+$147	02-23 06:27
will team mirai loose any seats in japanese snap election	1	$659	732	0	+732	No	+$73	01-27 12:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	6	$643	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	09-20 02:10
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	5	$550	580	0	+580	Yes	+$30	01-19 11:42
us x russia nuclear deal by february 4	5	$326	200	200	+0	No	+$14	01-18 11:38
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$230	1,600	1,600	+0	No	-$154	03-04 11:52
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	2	$201	330	0	+330	No	+$129	03-16 00:13
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	1	$200	525	0	+525	open	—	08-20 03:15
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	6	$181	549	0	+549	open	—	08-19 06:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$180	500	0	+500	No	-$180	09-10 17:12
will the democratic party for the people loose any seats in japanese snap election	5	$144	371	100	+271	No	-$137	02-08 14:32
us canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by october 31	1	$140	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	08-30 14:30
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for finland by feburary 1	7	$138	474	479	-5	No	-$127	01-22 10:55
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	9	$125	300	300	+0	No	-$73	08-15 03:50
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for sweden by feburary 1	9	$118	400	400	+0	No	-$110	01-22 10:55
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for norway by feburary 1	8	$83	264	265	-1	No	-$76	01-22 10:55
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for germany by feburary 1	2	$70	40	40	+0	No	+$10	02-02 02:46
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	1	$48	200	0	+200	open	—	10-27 15:28
will the centrist reform alliance win fewer than 150 seats in the 2026 japanese snap general election	2	$36	100	100	+0	Yes	-$24	02-02 14:04
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	4	$35	1,450	0	+1,450	No	-$35	01-28 15:44
will the centrist reform alliance win between 150 and 159 seats in the 2026 japanese snap general election	8	$12	100	100	+0	No	-$8	02-02 14:04
will the centrist reform alliance win between 160 and 169 seats in the 2026 japanese snap general election	6	$8	100	100	+0	No	-$6	02-02 14:04
will the centrist reform alliance win between 180 and 189 seats in the 2026 japanese snap general election	9	$8	100	100	+0	No	-$6	02-02 14:04
will the centrist reform alliance win between 170 and 179 seats in the 2026 japanese snap general election	7	$8	100	100	+0	No	-$6	02-02 14:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:28:08	Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	No	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0xb1b5da…
09-20 02:10:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	490	66¢	$323	0xc5b4bc…
09-10 17:12:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	36¢	$180	0xcc0d84…
08-30 14:30:21	us canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by october 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	14¢	$140	0x97533f…
08-29 14:07:19	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	SELL	1,000	75¢	$746	0xe1649e…
08-29 05:09:07	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	142	65¢	$92	0xde12bb…
08-29 04:00:15	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6f5500…
08-29 03:52:27	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xdf2e00…
08-29 03:49:21	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	210	65¢	$136	0x97954c…
08-29 03:49:21	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x5e0b57…
08-29 03:49:21	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	441	64¢	$285	0x2710d4…
08-20 03:15:52	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	525	38¢	$200	0xae4b14…
08-19 17:30:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696	No	SELL	510	49¢	$250	0x88db0a…
08-19 06:17:21	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xf8dc70…
08-18 21:38:39	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	149	33¢	$49	0x130a49…
08-18 21:38:31	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	149	33¢	$49	0xe7419b…
08-18 20:38:54	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xb420f7…
08-18 18:54:34	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	127	33¢	$42	0xa5a6e6…
08-18 18:53:48	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0x0722e1…
08-15 03:50:45	Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	Yes	SELL	300	9¢	$26	0xacd9cb…
08-14 17:40:21	Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	Yes	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0xddba61…
08-09 05:46:46	Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	Yes	BUY	140	33¢	$46	0xb34298…
08-07 13:07:55	Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	Yes	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x223e73…
08-07 02:43:09	Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3670ec…
08-07 02:35:00	Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9e780b…
08-06 17:31:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	No	BUY	51	7¢	$4	0xac964a…
08-06 17:17:23	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	No	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x3a056c…
08-06 15:14:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	No	BUY	642	7¢	$45	0xd3d281…
08-06 14:04:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	No	BUY	300	7¢	$21	0x321552…
08-06 09:20:08	Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	Yes	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x50e766…
08-06 07:53:03	Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	Yes	BUY	77	33¢	$26	0xdb7eea…
08-05 16:27:03	Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0d2dd5…
04-18 01:57:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,000	63¢	$630	0xe3b166…
04-17 12:16:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	700	73¢	$511	0xd24767…
04-17 03:40:10	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	2,000	12¢	$240	0x3b51a8…
04-12 14:34:35	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	2,000	56¢	$1,110	0x340543…
04-12 14:33:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,000	88¢	$878	0x857c02…
04-07 02:26:37	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	90	0¢	$0	0x1dbdda…
04-07 02:26:29	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	179	0¢	$0	0x315f6c…
04-07 02:26:21	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	358	0¢	$0	0x3f90af…
04-07 02:26:13	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	717	0¢	$1	0x9b1d9e…
04-07 02:24:07	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xb7ce81…
04-07 02:23:59	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x359801…
04-07 02:23:51	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x024889…
04-07 02:23:43	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x6320c6…
04-07 02:23:35	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xbc0a85…
04-07 02:23:27	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x58b11f…
04-07 02:23:19	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0x8740ac…
04-07 02:22:59	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	148	0¢	$0	0x660658…
04-07 02:22:55	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xaa721e…
04-07 02:22:55	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	2,150	0¢	$2	0x82ff6f…
04-07 02:18:57	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	249	100¢	$249	0xb4ac52…
04-07 02:18:51	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	2,125	100¢	$2,121	0x9e8511…
04-07 02:18:31	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	513	0¢	$1	0x208fe7…
04-07 02:18:21	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x0dc26d…
04-07 02:17:55	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	400	0¢	$2	0xc1c291…
04-07 02:17:55	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	248	0¢	$1	0xb06acc…
04-07 02:17:55	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x54cdaf…
04-07 02:16:21	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0x23196c…
04-07 02:16:17	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	2,222	0¢	$9	0x431d96…
04-07 02:16:07	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0x0d7c79…
04-07 02:15:47	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	3,500	0¢	$10	0x82d8e1…
04-07 02:15:37	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	2,135	0¢	$9	0xdcab9a…
04-07 02:15:37	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x970301…
04-07 02:15:27	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0x368c7b…
04-07 02:15:07	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	75	1¢	$0	0x30543e…
04-07 02:15:01	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	98	1¢	$1	0xa0d7c5…
04-07 02:14:49	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xe1baf3…
04-07 02:14:39	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	144	1¢	$1	0x5500e9…
03-28 18:38:05	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	2,000	3¢	$60	0xf24b88…
03-28 14:14:57	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x32cda7…
03-28 03:27:33	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0x905abb…
03-28 03:27:13	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	449	4¢	$18	0xba5df1…
03-27 11:17:03	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	187	5¢	$9	0x233c24…
03-25 13:25:21	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0x76fb09…
03-25 12:57:33	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	338	5¢	$17	0xbaf144…
03-25 12:40:43	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x136f7b…
03-25 11:41:13	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	175	5¢	$9	0x3f72bb…
03-25 11:07:53	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	89	5¢	$4	0x5275b5…
03-25 10:57:21	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	44	5¢	$2	0x32f594…
03-25 10:57:09	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x7f1702…
03-25 10:56:57	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x084e6b…
03-25 10:56:45	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	32	5¢	$2	0x20ebaa…
03-24 00:38:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1,000	66¢	$660	0x3f0a26…
03-23 14:01:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	272	60¢	$163	0x9fd8ed…
03-23 13:48:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	728	60¢	$437	0x3b13f4…
03-23 00:59:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1,320	60¢	$792	0x3e8cf4…
03-23 00:58:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1,980	61¢	$1,210	0x0b3d81…
03-16 00:35:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2,282	60¢	$1,369	0xb4a37e…
03-16 00:27:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x63bf95…
03-16 00:24:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	52	60¢	$31	0xbe0e2c…
03-16 00:13:05	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	214	61¢	$131	0x1b5e9b…
03-16 00:12:55	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	116	61¢	$71	0xb87da6…
03-16 00:01:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x077322…
03-15 23:53:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	710	60¢	$426	0xbbffe3…
03-15 23:50:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x058b34…
03-15 23:46:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0x1020a0…
03-15 23:31:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xd50e89…
03-15 23:29:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x1fefcf…
03-15 23:26:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0xbd1df4…